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Volume 9, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 459–478, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue: The Earth system at a global warming of 1.5°C and 2.0°C

Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 459–478, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 09 May 2018

Research article | 09 May 2018

European climate change at global mean temperature increases of 1.5 and 2 °C above pre-industrial conditions as simulated by the EURO-CORDEX regional climate models

Erik Kjellström et al.

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Cited articles

Aalbers, E. E., Lenderink, G., van Meijgaard, E., and van den Hurk, B. J. J.: Local-scale changes in mean and heavy precipitation in Western Europe, climate change or internal variability? Clim. Dynam., https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3901-9, 2017.
Alfieri, L., Burek, P., Feyen, L., and Forzieri, G.: Global warming increases the frequency of river floods in Europe, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2247–2260, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2247-2015, 2015.
Bador, M., Terray, L., Boé J., Somot, S., Alias, A., Gibelin, A.-L., and Dubuisson, B.: Future summer mega-heatwave and record-breaking temperatures in a warmer France climate, Environ. Res. Lett., 12, 074025, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa751c, 2017.
Bärring, L. and Strandberg, G.: Does the projected pathway to global warming targets matter?, Environ. Res. Lett., 13, 024029, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa9f72, 2018.
Christensen, J. H. and Christensen, O. B.: A summary of the PRUDENCE model projections of changes in European climate by the end of the century, Clim. Change, 81(1, Suppl.), 7–30, 2007.
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Based on high-resolution regional climate models we investigate European climate change at 1.5 and 2 °C of global warming compared to pre-industrial levels. Considerable near-surface warming exceeding that of the global mean is found for most of Europe, already at the lower 1.5 °C of warming level. Changes in precipitation and near-surface wind speed are identified. The 1.5 °C of warming level shows significantly less change compared to the 2 °C level, indicating the importance of mitigation.
Based on high-resolution regional climate models we investigate European climate change at 1.5...
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