Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
The Earth system at a global warming of 1.5°C and 2.0°C
Special issues
Special issues
The Earth system at a global warming of 1.5°C and 2.0°C
Editor(s): R. Aalto, J. Canadell, M. Crucifix, A. Kleidon, B. Kravitz, V. Lucarini, R. A. P. Perdigão, F. Sun, N. Zeng and Z. Xie
Recent climate policy focuses on global warming targets of 1.5°C and 2.0°C above preindustrial levels. This Special Issue in Earth System Dynamics solicits scientific contributions that relate to these warming targets and take an interdisciplinary Earth systems perspective that goes beyond a disciplinary focus on individual processes or technologies. This includes contributions on emission and mitigation pathways, related climate changes, carbon cycle and climate feedbacks, and impacts on land, biosphere, and fluvial and coastal systems from regional to global scales.

Download citations of all papers

02 Apr 2019
Freshwater resources under success and failure of the Paris climate agreement
Jens Heinke, Christoph Müller, Mats Lannerstad, Dieter Gerten, and Wolfgang Lucht
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 205–217, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-205-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-205-2019, 2019
09 Oct 2018
The effect of overshooting 1.5 °C global warming on the mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet
Martin Rückamp, Ulrike Falk, Katja Frieler, Stefan Lange, and Angelika Humbert
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 1169–1189, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1169-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1169-2018, 2018
Short summary
29 Aug 2018
| Highlight paper
Population exposure to droughts in China under the 1.5 °C global warming target
Jie Chen, Yujie Liu, Tao Pan, Yanhua Liu, Fubao Sun, and Quansheng Ge
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 1097–1106, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1097-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1097-2018, 2018
Short summary
21 Jun 2018
Assessments of the Northern Hemisphere snow cover response to 1.5 and 2.0 °C warming
Aihui Wang, Lianlian Xu, and Xianghui Kong
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 865–877, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-865-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-865-2018, 2018
Short summary
13 Jun 2018
| Highlight paper
Hazards of decreasing marine oxygen: the near-term and millennial-scale benefits of meeting the Paris climate targets
Gianna Battaglia and Fortunat Joos
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 797–816, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-797-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-797-2018, 2018
Short summary
13 Jun 2018
Climate, ocean circulation, and sea level changes under stabilization and overshoot pathways to 1.5 K warming
Jaime B. Palter, Thomas L. Frölicher, David Paynter, and Jasmin G. John
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 817–828, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-817-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-817-2018, 2018
Short summary
07 Jun 2018
Spatial–temporal changes in runoff and terrestrial ecosystem water retention under 1.5 and 2 °C warming scenarios across China
Ran Zhai, Fulu Tao, and Zhihui Xu
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 717–738, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-717-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-717-2018, 2018
Short summary
05 Jun 2018
Euro-Atlantic winter storminess and precipitation extremes under 1.5 °C vs. 2 °C warming scenarios
Monika J. Barcikowska, Scott J. Weaver, Frauke Feser, Simone Russo, Frederik Schenk, Dáithí A. Stone, Michael F. Wehner, and Matthias Zahn
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 679–699, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-679-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-679-2018, 2018
18 May 2018
Impacts of climate change and climate extremes on major crops productivity in China at a global warming of 1.5 and 2.0 °C
Yi Chen, Zhao Zhang, and Fulu Tao
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 543–562, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-543-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-543-2018, 2018
Short summary
09 May 2018
European climate change at global mean temperature increases of 1.5 and 2 °C above pre-industrial conditions as simulated by the EURO-CORDEX regional climate models
Erik Kjellström, Grigory Nikulin, Gustav Strandberg, Ole Bøssing Christensen, Daniela Jacob, Klaus Keuler, Geert Lenderink, Erik van Meijgaard, Christoph Schär, Samuel Somot, Silje Lund Sørland, Claas Teichmann, and Robert Vautard
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 459–478, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018, 2018
Short summary
16 Apr 2018
Midlatitude atmospheric circulation responses under 1.5 and 2.0 °C warming and implications for regional impacts
Camille Li, Clio Michel, Lise Seland Graff, Ingo Bethke, Giuseppe Zappa, Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Erich Fischer, Ben J. Harvey, Trond Iversen, Martin P. King, Harinarayan Krishnan, Ludwig Lierhammer, Daniel Mitchell, John Scinocca, Hideo Shiogama, Dáithí A. Stone, and Justin J. Wettstein
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 359–382, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-359-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-359-2018, 2018
Short summary
28 Mar 2018
Changes in extremely hot days under stabilized 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming scenarios as simulated by the HAPPI multi-model ensemble
Michael Wehner, Dáithí Stone, Dann Mitchell, Hideo Shiogama, Erich Fischer, Lise S. Graff, Viatcheslav V. Kharin, Ludwig Lierhammer, Benjamin Sanderson, and Harinarayan Krishnan
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 299–311, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-299-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-299-2018, 2018
Short summary
19 Mar 2018
Global drought and severe drought-affected populations in 1.5 and 2 °C warmer worlds
Wenbin Liu, Fubao Sun, Wee Ho Lim, Jie Zhang, Hong Wang, Hideo Shiogama, and Yuqing Zhang
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 267–283, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-267-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-267-2018, 2018
Short summary
05 Mar 2018
Irreversible ocean thermal expansion under carbon dioxide removal
Dana Ehlert and Kirsten Zickfeld
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 197–210, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-197-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-197-2018, 2018
Short summary
28 Feb 2018
Changes in tropical cyclones under stabilized 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming scenarios as simulated by the Community Atmospheric Model under the HAPPI protocols
Michael F. Wehner, Kevin A. Reed, Burlen Loring, Dáithí Stone, and Harinarayan Krishnan
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 187–195, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-187-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-187-2018, 2018
Short summary
20 Feb 2018
Projected changes in crop yield mean and variability over West Africa in a world 1.5 K warmer than the pre-industrial era
Ben Parkes, Dimitri Defrance, Benjamin Sultan, Philippe Ciais, and Xuhui Wang
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 119–134, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-119-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-119-2018, 2018
Short summary
19 Sep 2017
| Highlight paper
Community climate simulations to assess avoided impacts in 1.5 and 2  °C futures
Benjamin M. Sanderson, Yangyang Xu, Claudia Tebaldi, Michael Wehner, Brian O'Neill, Alexandra Jahn, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Flavio Lehner, Warren G. Strand, Lei Lin, Reto Knutti, and Jean Francois Lamarque
Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 827–847, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-827-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-827-2017, 2017
Short summary
14 Jul 2017
Flexible parameter-sparse global temperature time profiles that stabilise at 1.5 and 2.0  °C
Chris Huntingford, Hui Yang, Anna Harper, Peter M. Cox, Nicola Gedney, Eleanor J. Burke, Jason A. Lowe, Garry Hayman, William J. Collins, Stephen M. Smith, and Edward Comyn-Platt
Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 617–626, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-617-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-617-2017, 2017
Short summary
CC BY 4.0