Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
Research article
 | 
09 May 2018
Research article |  | 09 May 2018

European climate change at global mean temperature increases of 1.5 and 2 °C above pre-industrial conditions as simulated by the EURO-CORDEX regional climate models

Erik Kjellström, Grigory Nikulin, Gustav Strandberg, Ole Bøssing Christensen, Daniela Jacob, Klaus Keuler, Geert Lenderink, Erik van Meijgaard, Christoph Schär, Samuel Somot, Silje Lund Sørland, Claas Teichmann, and Robert Vautard

Supplement

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018-supplement

Data sets

EUR-11 EURO-CORDEX community http://euro-cordex.net/060378/index.php.en

HadCRUT4.6.0.0 Global (NH+SH)/2 Annual Met Office Hadley Centre https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcrut4/data/current/time_series/HadCRUT.4.6.0.0.annual_ns_avg.txt

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Short summary
Based on high-resolution regional climate models we investigate European climate change at 1.5 and 2 °C of global warming compared to pre-industrial levels. Considerable near-surface warming exceeding that of the global mean is found for most of Europe, already at the lower 1.5 °C of warming level. Changes in precipitation and near-surface wind speed are identified. The 1.5 °C of warming level shows significantly less change compared to the 2 °C level, indicating the importance of mitigation.
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Special issue
The Earth system at a global warming of 1.5°C and 2.0°C
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