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Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 9, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 459–478, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue: The Earth system at a global warming of 1.5°C and 2.0°C

Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 459–478, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 09 May 2018

Research article | 09 May 2018

European climate change at global mean temperature increases of 1.5 and 2 °C above pre-industrial conditions as simulated by the EURO-CORDEX regional climate models

Erik Kjellström et al.

Data sets

EUR-11 EURO-CORDEX community http://euro-cordex.net/060378/index.php.en

HadCRUT4.6.0.0 Global (NH+SH)/2 Annual Met Office Hadley Centre https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcrut4/data/current/time_series/HadCRUT.4.6.0.0.annual_ns_avg.txt

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Short summary
Based on high-resolution regional climate models we investigate European climate change at 1.5 and 2 °C of global warming compared to pre-industrial levels. Considerable near-surface warming exceeding that of the global mean is found for most of Europe, already at the lower 1.5 °C of warming level. Changes in precipitation and near-surface wind speed are identified. The 1.5 °C of warming level shows significantly less change compared to the 2 °C level, indicating the importance of mitigation.
Based on high-resolution regional climate models we investigate European climate change at 1.5...
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