Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD

Research article

18 Feb 2025
Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability
Justine Caillet, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Pierre Mathiot, Fabien Gillet-Chaulet, Benoit Urruty, Clara Burgard, Charles Amory, Mondher Chekki, and Christoph Kittel
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 293–315, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-293-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-293-2025, 2025
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18 Feb 2025
Joint evolution of irrigation, the water cycle and water resources under a strong climate change scenario from 1950 to 2100 in the IPSL-CM6
Pedro Felipe Arboleda-Obando, Agnès Ducharne, Frédérique Cheruy, and Josefine Ghattas
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-41,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-41, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Feb 2025
Sensitivity of winter Arctic amplification in NorESM2
Lise Seland Graff, Jerry Tjiputra, Ada Gjermundsen, Andreas Born, Jens Boldingh Debernard, Heiko Goelzer, Yan-Chun He, Petra Margaretha Langebroek, Aleksi Nummelin, Dirk Olivié, Øyvind Seland, Trude Storelvmo, Mats Bentsen, Chuncheng Guo, Andrea Rosendahl, Dandan Tao, Thomas Toniazzo, Camille Li, Stephen Outten, and Michael Schulz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-472,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-472, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Feb 2025
AR6 updates to RF by GHGs and aerosols lowers the probability of accomplishing the Paris Agreement compared to AR5 formulations
Endre Z. Farago, Laura A. McBride, Austin P. Hope, Timothy P. Canty, Brian F. Bennett, and Ross J. Salawitch
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-342,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-342, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Feb 2025
Seamless seasonal to multi-annual predictions of temperature and standardized precipitation index by constraining transient climate model simulations
Juan C. Acosta Navarro, Alvise Aranyossy, Paolo De Luca, Markus G. Donat, Arthur Hrast Essenfelder, Rashed Mahmood, Andrea Toreti, and Danila Volpi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-319,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-319, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Feb 2025
Carbon cycle and climate feedbacks under CO2 and non-CO2 overshoot pathways
Irina Melnikova, Philippe Ciais, Katsumasa Tanaka, Hideo Shiogama, Kaoru Tachiiri, Tokuta Yokohata, and Olivier Boucher
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 257–273, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-257-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-257-2025, 2025
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04 Feb 2025
Large scale climate response of the Southern Ocean and Antarctica to reduced ice sheets
Katherine Power, Fernanda Matos, and Qiong Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4061,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4061, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Feb 2025
The European summer heatwave of 2019 – a regional storyline perspective
Tatiana Klimiuk, Patrick Ludwig, Antonio Sanchez-Benitez, Helge F. Goessling, Peter Braesicke, and Joaquim G. Pinto
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 239–255, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-239-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-239-2025, 2025
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03 Feb 2025
Climate change metrics: IPCC AR6 updates, discussions and dynamic assessment applications
Vladimir Zieger, Thibaut Lecompte, Simon Guihéneuf, Yann Guevel, Manuel Bazzana, Thomas Gasser, and Yue He
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3918,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3918, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Feb 2025
Evaluating Dynamic Global Vegetation Models in China: Challenges in capturing trends in Leaf Area and Gross Primary Productivity, but effective seasonal variation representation
Anzhou Zhao, Ziyang Li, Lidong Zou, Jianshen Wu, Kayla Stan, and Arturo Sanchez-Azofeif
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-44,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-44, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 Jan 2025
Global terrestrial moisture recycling in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Arie Staal, Pim Meijer, Maganizo Kruger Nyasulu, Obbe A. Tuinenburg, and Stefan C. Dekker
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 215–238, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-215-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-215-2025, 2025
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28 Jan 2025
The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority
Jordan P. Everall, Fabian Tschofenig, Jonathan F. Donges, and Ilona M. Otto
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 189–214, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-189-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-189-2025, 2025
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27 Jan 2025
Past, Present, and Future Variability of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP6 Ensembles
Arthur Coquereau, Florian Sévellec, Thierry Huck, Joël J.-M. Hirschi, and Quentin Jamet
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-17,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-17, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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24 Jan 2025
Global Stability and Tipping Point Prediction of the Coral Reef Ecosystem
Li Xu, Denis Patterson, Simon Asher Levin, and Jin Wang
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.12.17.627631,https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.12.17.627631, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Jan 2025
Limited global effect of climate-Greenland ice sheet coupling in NorESM2 under a high-emission scenario
Konstanze Haubner, Heiko Goelzer, and Andreas Born
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3785,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3785, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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23 Jan 2025
Permafrost response and feedback under temperature stabilization and overshoot scenarios with different global warming levels
Min Cui, Duoying Ji, and Yangxin Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4100,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4100, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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22 Jan 2025
Dynamic vegetation reveals unavoidable climate feedbacks and their dependence on climate mean state
Pascale Braconnot, Nicolas Viovy, and Olivier Marti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4075,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4075, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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21 Jan 2025
Compensatory effects conceal large uncertainties in the modelled processes behind the relationship between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and CO2
István Dunkl, Ana Bastos, and Tatiana Ilyina
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 151–167, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-151-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-151-2025, 2025
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21 Jan 2025
Future changes in compound explosive cyclones and atmospheric rivers in the North Atlantic
Ferran Lopez-Marti, Mireia Ginesta, Davide Faranda, Anna Rutgersson, Pascal Yiou, Lichuan Wu, and Gabriele Messori
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 169–187, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-169-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-169-2025, 2025
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21 Jan 2025
A Saddle-Node Bifurcation is Causing the AMOC Collapse in the Community Earth System Model
René M. van Westen, Elian Vanderborght, and Henk A. Dijkstra
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-14,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-14, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Jan 2025
Physical characterization of the boundary separating safe and unsafe AMOC overshoot behaviour
Aurora Faure Ragani and Henk A. Dijkstra
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-45,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-45, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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20 Jan 2025
Observation-based temperature and freshwater noise over the Atlantic Ocean
Amber A. Boot and Henk A. Dijkstra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 115–150, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-115-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-115-2025, 2025
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16 Jan 2025
Using Optimization Tools to Explore Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Strategies
Ezra Brody, Yan Zhang, Douglas G. MacMartin, Daniele Visioni, Ben Kravitz, and Ewa M. Bednarz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3974,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3974, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Jan 2025
Estimating ocean heat content from the ocean thermal expansion parameters using satellite data
Vijay Prakash Kondeti and Shanmugam Palanisamy
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 91–114, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-91-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-91-2025, 2025
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13 Jan 2025
Nitrogen deposition and climate drive plant nitrogen uptake while soil factors drive nitrogen use efficiency in terrestrial ecosystems
Helena Vallicrosa, Katrin Fleischer, Manuel Delgado-Baquerizo, Marcos Fernández-Martínez, Jakub Cerny, Di Tian, Angeliki Kourmouli, Carolina Mayoral, Diego Grados, Mingzhen Lu, and César Terrer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3661,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3661, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Jan 2025
Does the pace of carbon emissions matter in an atmospheric general circulation model?
Anja Katzenberger and Anders Levermann
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-40,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-40, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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09 Jan 2025
Chaotic oceanic excitation of low-frequency polar motion variability
Lara Börger, Michael Schindelegger, Mengnan Zhao, Rui M. Ponte, Anno Löcher, Bernd Uebbing, Jean-Marc Molines, and Thierry Penduff
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 75–90, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-75-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-75-2025, 2025
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08 Jan 2025
Assessing coupling between soil temperature and potential air temperature using PALM-4U: implications for idealized scenarios
Patricia Glocke, Christopher C. Holst, Basit Khan, and Susanne A. Benz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 55–74, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-55-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-55-2025, 2025
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07 Jan 2025
A first attempt to model global hydrology at hyper-resolution
Barry van Jaarsveld, Niko Wanders, Edwin H. Sutanudjaja, Jannis Hoch, Bram Droppers, Joren Janzing, Rens L. P. H. van Beek, and Marc F. P. Bierkens
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 29–54, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-29-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-29-2025, 2025
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07 Jan 2025
Regional irreversibility of mean and extreme surface air temperature and precipitation in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios associated with interhemispheric temperature asymmetries
Pedro José Roldán-Gómez, Paolo De Luca, Raffaele Bernardello, and Markus G. Donat
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1–27, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1-2025, 2025
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06 Jan 2025
Eco-evolutionary Modelling of Global Vegetation Dynamics and the Impact of CO2 during the late Quaternary: Insights from Contrasting Periods
Jierong Zhao, Boya Zhou, Sandy P. Harrison, and I. Colin Prentice
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3897,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3897, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Jan 2025
Modeling Total Phosphorus Transport in the European Riverine System: Parameterization and Projections under Climate and Socioeconomic Scenarios
Alberto Elizalde, Gibran Romero-Mujalli, Tobias Stacke, and Stefan Hagemann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3645,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3645, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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02 Jan 2025
Climate Oscillations influence on GOM Circulation
Gabriel Gallegos D. B. and Alejandro Jose Souza
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-38,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-38, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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18 Dec 2024
AERA-MIP: emission pathways, remaining budgets, and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 and 2 °C global warming stabilization
Yona Silvy, Thomas L. Frölicher, Jens Terhaar, Fortunat Joos, Friedrich A. Burger, Fabrice Lacroix, Myles Allen, Raffaele Bernardello, Laurent Bopp, Victor Brovkin, Jonathan R. Buzan, Patricia Cadule, Martin Dix, John Dunne, Pierre Friedlingstein, Goran Georgievski, Tomohiro Hajima, Stuart Jenkins, Michio Kawamiya, Nancy Y. Kiang, Vladimir Lapin, Donghyun Lee, Paul Lerner, Nadine Mengis, Estela A. Monteiro, David Paynter, Glen P. Peters, Anastasia Romanou, Jörg Schwinger, Sarah Sparrow, Eric Stofferahn, Jerry Tjiputra, Etienne Tourigny, and Tilo Ziehn
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1591–1628, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1591-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1591-2024, 2024
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16 Dec 2024
Analysis of spatio temporal geophysical data using spatial entropy: application to comparison of SST datasets
Juan Gancio, Giulio Tirabassi, Cristina Masoller, and Marcelo Barreiro
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-37,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-37, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Dec 2024
Potential effect of the marine carbon cycle on the multiple equilibria window of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Amber A. Boot, Anna S. von der Heydt, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1567–1590, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1567-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1567-2024, 2024
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06 Dec 2024
100-kyr ice age cycles as a timescale matching problem
Takahito Mitsui, Peter Ditlevsen, Niklas Boers, and Michel Crucifix
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-39,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-39, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 7 comments)
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05 Dec 2024
Multi-fold increase in rainforest tipping risk beyond 1.5–2 °C warming
Chandrakant Singh, Ruud van der Ent, Ingo Fetzer, and Lan Wang-Erlandsson
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1543–1565, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1543-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1543-2024, 2024
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02 Dec 2024
Effect of horizontal resolution in North Atlantic mixing and ocean circulation in the EC-Earth3P HighResMIP simulations
Eneko Martin-Martinez, Amanda Frigola, Eduardo Moreno-Chamarro, Daria Kuznetsova, Saskia Loosveldt-Tomas, Margarida Samsó Cabré, Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière, and Pablo Ortega
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3625,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3625, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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02 Dec 2024
Inconclusive Early warning signals for Dansgaard-Oeschger events across Greenland ice cores
Clara Hummel, Niklas Boers, and Martin Rypdal
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3567,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3567, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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29 Nov 2024
Future changes in runoff over western and central Europe: disentangling the hydrological behavior of CMIP6 models
Juliette Deman and Julien Boé
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3225,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3225, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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28 Nov 2024
Early warnings of the transition to a superrotating atmospheric state
Mark S. Williamson and Timothy M. Lenton
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1483–1508, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1483-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1483-2024, 2024
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28 Nov 2024
| Highlight paper
Cross-scale causal information flow from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China
Yasir Latif, Kaiyu Fan, Geli Wang, and Milan Paluš
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1509–1526, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1509-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1509-2024, 2024
Short summary Chief editor
27 Nov 2024
Multi-centennial climate change in a warming world beyond 2100
Sun-Seon Lee, Sahil Sharma, Nan Rosenbloom, Keith B. Rodgers, Ji-Eun Kim, Eun Young Kwon, Christian L. E. Franzke, In-Won Kim, Mohanan Geethalekshmi Sreeush, and Karl Stein
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3377,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3377, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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20 Nov 2024
Environmental drivers and remote sensing proxies of post-fire thaw depth in eastern Siberian larch forests
Lucas R. Diaz, Clement J. F. Delcourt, Moritz Langer, Michael M. Loranty, Brendan M. Rogers, Rebecca C. Scholten, Tatiana A. Shestakova, Anna C. Talucci, Jorien E. Vonk, Sonam Wangchuk, and Sander Veraverbeke
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1459–1482, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1459-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1459-2024, 2024
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19 Nov 2024
Intensity and dynamics of extreme cold spells of the 21st century in France from CMIP6 data
Camille Cadiou and Pascal Yiou
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3473,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3473, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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19 Nov 2024
Effects of Warming and Stratospheric Aerosol Injection on Tropical Cyclone Distribution and Frequency in a High-Resolution Global Circulation Model
Andrew Feder, David Randall, and Donald Dazlich
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3526,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3526, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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13 Nov 2024
The aerosol pathway is crucial for observationally constraining climate sensitivity and anthropogenic forcing
Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie, Magne Aldrin, Terje K. Berntsen, Marit Holden, Ragnar Bang Huseby, Gunnar Myhre, and Trude Storelvmo
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1435–1458, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1435-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1435-2024, 2024
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12 Nov 2024
Generalized stability landscape of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
Matteo Willeit and Andrey Ganopolski
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1417–1434, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1417-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1417-2024, 2024
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08 Nov 2024
Extrapolation is not enough: impacts of extreme land use change on wind profiles and wind energy according to regional climate models
Jan Wohland, Peter Hoffmann, Daniela C. A. Lima, Marcus Breil, Olivier Asselin, and Diana Rechid
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1385–1400, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1385-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1385-2024, 2024
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08 Nov 2024
Dakar Niño under global warming investigated by a high-resolution regionally coupled model
Shunya Koseki, Rubén Vázquez, William Cabos, Claudia Gutiérrez, Dmitry V. Sein, and Marie-Lou Bachèlery
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1401–1416, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1401-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1401-2024, 2024
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30 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5
Andrew D. King, Tilo Ziehn, Matthew Chamberlain, Alexander R. Borowiak, Josephine R. Brown, Liam Cassidy, Andrea J. Dittus, Michael Grose, Nicola Maher, Seungmok Paik, Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, and Aditya Sengupta
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1353–1383, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024, 2024
Short summary Chief editor
30 Oct 2024
Future changes in spatiotemporal precipitation patterns of the East Asian summer monsoon and associated uncertainty factors
Yeon-Hee Kim and Seung-Ki Min
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-34,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-34, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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29 Oct 2024
Food trade disruption after global catastrophes
Florian Jehn, Łukasz Gajewski, Johanna Hedlund, Constantin Arnscheidt, Lili Xia, Nico Wunderling, and David Denkenberger
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.31223/X5MQ4R,https://doi.org/10.31223/X5MQ4R, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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29 Oct 2024
Nonlinear causal dependencies as a signature of the complexity of the climate dynamics
Stéphane Vannitsem, X. San Liang, and Carlos A. Pires
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3308,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3308, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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18 Oct 2024
Water vapour fluxes at a Mediterranean coastal site during the summer of 2021: observations, comparison with atmospheric reanalysis, and implications for extreme events
Fabio Madonna, Benedetto De Rosa, Simone Gagliardi, Ilaria Gandolfi, Yassmina Hesham Essa, Domenico Madonna, Fabrizio Marra, Maria Assunta Menniti, Donato Summa, Emanuele Tramutola, Faezeh Karimian Saracks, Filomena Romano, and Marco Rosoldi
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-32,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-32, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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15 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Uncertainty-informed selection of CMIP6 Earth system model subsets for use in multisectoral and impact models
Abigail Snyder, Noah Prime, Claudia Tebaldi, and Kalyn Dorheim
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1301–1318, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024, 2024
Short summary Chief editor
14 Oct 2024
Diagnosing Aerosol-Meteorological Interactions on Snow within the Earth System: A Proof-of-Concept Study over High Mountain Asia
Chayan Roychoudhury, Cenlin He, Rajesh Kumar, and Avelino F. Arellano Jr.
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2298,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2298, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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14 Oct 2024
A causality-based method for multi-model comparison: Application to relationships between atmospheric and marine biogeochemical variables
Germain Bénard, Marion Gehlen, and Mathieu Vrac
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-31,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-31, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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10 Oct 2024
Ensemble design for seasonal climate predictions: Studying extreme Arctic sea ice lows with a rare event algorithm
Jerome Sauer, Francesco Ragone, François Massonnet, and Giuseppe Zappa
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3082,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3082, 2024
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: final response, 7 comments)
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10 Oct 2024
Influence of Floodplains and Groundwater Dynamics on the Present-Day Climate simulated by the CNRM Model
Bertrand Decharme and Jeanne Colin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3091,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3091, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 8 comments)
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08 Oct 2024
Quantifying the feedback between Antarctic meltwater release and subsurface Southern Ocean warming
Erwin Lambert, Dewi Le Bars, Eveline van der Linden, André Jüling, and Sybren Drijfhout
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2257,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2257, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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02 Oct 2024
Snowball Earth transitions from Last Glacial Maximum conditions provide an independent upper limit on Earth’s climate sensitivity
Martin Renoult, Navjit Sagoo, Johannes Hörner, and Thorsten Mauritsen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2981,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2981, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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30 Sep 2024
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics
Liqing Peng, Justin Sheffield, Zhongwang Wei, Michael Ek, and Eric F. Wood
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1277–1300, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1277-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1277-2024, 2024
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27 Sep 2024
Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO2 uptake
Raffaele Bernardello, Valentina Sicardi, Vladimir Lapin, Pablo Ortega, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Etienne Tourigny, and Eric Ferrer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1255–1275, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024, 2024
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23 Sep 2024
Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social-ecological multi-layer network model
Max Bechthold, Wolfram Barfuss, André Butz, Jannes Breier, Sara M. Constantino, Jobst Heitzig, Luana Schwarz, Sanam N. Vardag, and Jonathan F. Donges
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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12 Sep 2024
Projected changes in land carbon store over the 21st century: what contributions from land use change and atmospheric nitrogen deposition?
Jaime A. Riano Sanchez, Nicolas Vuichard, and Philippe Peylin
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1227–1253, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1227-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1227-2024, 2024
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06 Sep 2024
Constraining uncertainty in projected precipitation over land with causal discovery
Kevin Debeire, Lisa Bock, Peer Nowack, Jakob Runge, and Veronika Eyring
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2656,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2656, 2024
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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05 Sep 2024
Change in negative emission burden between an overshoot versus peak-shaved Stratospheric Aerosol Injections pathway
Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, and Laurent Terray
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2344,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2344, 2024
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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02 Sep 2024
Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes
Yigit Uckan, Melissa Ruiz-Vásquez, Kelley De Polt, and René Orth
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2540,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2540, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 8 comments)
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28 Aug 2024
Estimating lateral nitrogen transfer through the global river network using a land surface model
Minna Ma, Haicheng Zhang, Ronny Lauerwald, Philippe Ciais, and Pierre Regnier
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-29,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-29, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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27 Aug 2024
Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6
Amali A. Amali, Clemens Schwingshackl, Akihiko Ito, Alina Barbu, Christine Delire, Daniele Peano, David M. Lawrence, David Wårlind, Eddy Robertson, Edouard L. Davin, Elena Shevliakova, Ian N. Harman, Nicolas Vuichard, Paul A. Miller, Peter J. Lawrence, Tilo Ziehn, Tomohiro Hajima, Victor Brovkin, Yanwu Zhang, Vivek K. Arora, and Julia Pongratz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2460,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2460, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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26 Aug 2024
Storylines of summer Arctic climate change constrained by Barents–Kara seas and Arctic tropospheric warming for climate risk assessment
Xavier J. Levine, Ryan S. Williams, Gareth Marshall, Andrew Orr, Lise Seland Graff, Dörthe Handorf, Alexey Karpechko, Raphael Köhler, René R. Wijngaard, Nadine Johnston, Hanna Lee, Lars Nieradzik, and Priscilla A. Mooney
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1161–1177, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1161-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1161-2024, 2024
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