Research article
05 Dec 2024
Multi-fold increase in rainforest tipping risk beyond 1.5–2 °C warming
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1543–1565,
2024 02 Dec 2024
Effect of horizontal resolution in North Atlantic mixing and ocean circulation in the EC-Earth3P HighResMIP simulations
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
02 Dec 2024
Inconclusive Early warning signals for Dansgaard-Oeschger events across Greenland ice cores
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
29 Nov 2024
Future changes in runoff over western and central Europe: disentangling the hydrological behavior of CMIP6 models
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
28 Nov 2024
Early warnings of the transition to a superrotating atmospheric state
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1483–1508,
2024 28 Nov 2024
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Cross-scale causal information flow from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1509–1526,
2024 27 Nov 2024
Multi-centennial climate change in a warming world beyond 2100
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
20 Nov 2024
Environmental drivers and remote sensing proxies of post-fire thaw depth in eastern Siberian larch forests
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1459–1482,
2024 19 Nov 2024
Intensity and dynamics of extreme cold spells of the 21st century in France from CMIP6 data
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
19 Nov 2024
Effects of Warming and Stratospheric Aerosol Injection on Tropical Cyclone Distribution and Frequency in a High-Resolution Global Circulation Model
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
13 Nov 2024
The aerosol pathway is crucial for observationally constraining climate sensitivity and anthropogenic forcing
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1435–1458,
2024 12 Nov 2024
Generalized stability landscape of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1417–1434,
2024 08 Nov 2024
Extrapolation is not enough: impacts of extreme land use change on wind profiles and wind energy according to regional climate models
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1385–1400,
2024 08 Nov 2024
Dakar Niño under global warming investigated by a high-resolution regionally coupled model
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1401–1416,
2024 30 Oct 2024
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Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1353–1383,
2024 30 Oct 2024
Future changes in spatiotemporal precipitation patterns of the East Asian summer monsoon and associated uncertainty factors
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
29 Oct 2024
Food trade disruption after global catastrophes
External preprint server,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
29 Oct 2024
Nonlinear causal dependencies as a signature of the complexity of the climate dynamics
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
18 Oct 2024
Water vapour fluxes at a Mediterranean coastal site during the summer of 2021: observations, comparison with atmospheric reanalysis, and implications for extreme events
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
15 Oct 2024
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Uncertainty-informed selection of CMIP6 Earth system model subsets for use in multisectoral and impact models
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1301–1318,
2024 14 Oct 2024
Diagnosing Aerosol-Meteorological Interactions on Snow within the Earth System: A Proof-of-Concept Study over High Mountain Asia
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
14 Oct 2024
A causality-based method for multi-model comparison: Application to relationships between atmospheric and marine biogeochemical variables
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
10 Oct 2024
Ensemble design for seasonal climate predictions: Studying extreme Arctic sea ice lows with a rare event algorithm
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
10 Oct 2024
Influence of Floodplains and Groundwater Dynamics on the Present-Day Climate simulated by the CNRM Model
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 3 comments)
08 Oct 2024
Quantifying the feedback between Antarctic meltwater release and subsurface Southern Ocean warming
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
02 Oct 2024
Snowball Earth transitions from Last Glacial Maximum conditions provide an independent upper limit on Earth’s climate sensitivity
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
30 Sep 2024
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1277–1300,
2024 27 Sep 2024
Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO2 uptake
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1255–1275,
2024 23 Sep 2024
Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social-ecological multi-layer network model
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
12 Sep 2024
Projected changes in land carbon store over the 21st century: what contributions from land use change and atmospheric nitrogen deposition?
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1227–1253,
2024 06 Sep 2024
Constraining uncertainty in projected precipitation over land with causal discovery
EGUsphere,
2024Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
05 Sep 2024
Change in negative emission burden between an overshoot versus peak-shaved Stratospheric Aerosol Injections pathway
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
02 Sep 2024
Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 8 comments)
28 Aug 2024
Estimating lateral nitrogen transfer through the global river network using a land surface model
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
27 Aug 2024
Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
26 Aug 2024
Storylines of summer Arctic climate change constrained by Barents–Kara seas and Arctic tropospheric warming for climate risk assessment
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1161–1177,
2024 22 Aug 2024
Consistent increase in East Asian Summer Monsoon rainfall and its variability under climate change over China in CMIP6
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1137–1151,
2024 22 Aug 2024
Impact of Greenland Ice Sheet Disintegration on Atmosphere and Ocean Disentangled
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.,
2024Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
19 Aug 2024
Future land-use pattern projections and their differences within the ISIMIP3b framework
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
16 Aug 2024
Regionally optimized high-resolution input datasets enhance the representation of snow cover in CLM5
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1073–1115,
2024 13 Aug 2024
Regional non-reversibility of mean and extreme climate conditions in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios linked to large-scale temperature asymmetries
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.,
2024Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 4 comments)
09 Aug 2024
Earth’s future climate and its variability simulated at 9 km global resolution
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
08 Aug 2024
Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1037–1054,
2024 06 Aug 2024
Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 987–1014,
2024 06 Aug 2024
Contrasting responses of vegetation productivity to intraseasonal rainfall in Earth system models
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1019–1035,
2024 06 Aug 2024
Observation based temperature and freshwater noise over the Atlantic Ocean
EGUsphere,
2024Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
05 Aug 2024
Remote carbon cycle changes are overlooked impacts of land-cover and land management changes
EGUsphere,
2024Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
02 Aug 2024
Missing the (tipping) point: the effect of information about climate tipping points on public risk perceptions in Norway
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 969–985,
2024 29 Jul 2024
Chaotic oceanic excitation of low-frequency polar motion variability
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.,
2024Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 6 comments)
26 Jul 2024
Concurrent modes of climate variability linked to spatially compounding wind and precipitation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
24 Jul 2024
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Observation-inferred resilience loss of the Amazon rainforest possibly due to internal climate variability
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 913–927,
2024 19 Jul 2024
Uncertainty quantification for overshoots of tipping thresholds
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
19 Jul 2024
An evaluation of multi-fidelity methods for quantifying uncertainty in projections of ice-sheet mass-change
EGUsphere,
2024Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
19 Jul 2024
Impacts of North American forest cover changes on the North Atlantic ocean circulation
EGUsphere,
2024Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
18 Jul 2024
A climate suitability index for ecological habitats applied to terrestrial arthropods in the Mediterranean Region
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
17 Jul 2024
Variability and predictability of a reduced-order land–atmosphere coupled model
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 893–912,
2024 17 Jul 2024
Paleogeographic numerical modelling of marginal seas for the Holocene – an exemplary study of the Baltic Sea
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 8 comments)
15 Jul 2024
A missing link in the carbon cycle: phytoplankton light absorption under RCP emission scenarios
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 875–891,
2024 15 Jul 2024
The European summer heatwave 2019 – a regional storyline perspective
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.,
2024Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 4 comments)
12 Jul 2024
AMOC stability amid tipping ice sheets: the crucial role of rate and noise
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 859–873,
2024 11 Jul 2024
Testing the assumptions in emergent constraints: why does the “emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability” work for CMIP5 and not CMIP6?
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 829–852,
2024 10 Jul 2024
Simple physics-based adjustments reconcile the results of Eulerian and Lagrangian techniques for moisture tracking
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
27 Jun 2024
Leveraging the satellite-based climate data record CLARA-A3 to understand trends and climate regimes relevant for solar energy applications over Europe
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
26 Jun 2024
Underestimation of Anaerobic Decomposition Rates in Sphagnum Litterbag Experiments by the Holocene Peatland Model Depends on Initial Leaching Losses
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
25 Jun 2024
A simple physical model for glacial cycles
EGUsphere,
2024Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 11 comments)
24 Jun 2024
Global cropland expansion enhances cropping potential and reduces its inequality among countries
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 817–828,
2024 24 Jun 2024
Future Changes of Compound Explosive Cyclones and Atmospheric Rivers in the North Atlantic
EGUsphere,
2024Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: final response, 8 comments)
21 Jun 2024
Natural marine bromoform emissions in the fully coupled ocean–atmosphere model NorESM2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 801–816,
2024 19 Jun 2024
Cross-system interactions for positive tipping cascades
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 789–800,
2024 18 Jun 2024
Freshwater input from glacier melt outside Greenland alters modeled northern high-latitude ocean circulation
EGUsphere,
2024Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
14 Jun 2024
Unveiling amplified isolation in climate networks due to global warming
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 779–788,
2024 13 Jun 2024
Distribution-based pooling for combination and multi-model bias correction of climate simulations
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 735–762,
2024 13 Jun 2024
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The impacts of elevated CO2 on forest growth, mortality, and recovery in the Amazon rainforest
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 763–778,
2024 11 Jun 2024
Intensified future heat extremes linked with increasing ecosystem water limitation
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 717–734,
2024 11 Jun 2024
Changing effects of external forcing on Atlantic–Pacific interactions
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 689–715,
2024