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Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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The following lists the preprints and final revised papers published within the last 60 days.
18 Sep 2020
Reconstructing coupled time series in climate systems using three kinds of machine-learning methods
Yu Huang, Lichao Yang, and Zuntao Fu
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 835–853, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-835-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-835-2020, 2020
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17 Sep 2020
A dynamical and thermodynamic mechanism to explain heavy snowfalls in current and future climate over Italy during cold spells
Miriam D'Errico, Pascal Yiou, Cesare Nardini, Frank Lunkeit, and Davide Faranda
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-61,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-61, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Sep 2020
An investigation of weighting schemes suitable for incorporating large ensembles into multi-model ensembles
Anna Louise Merrifield, Lukas Brunner, Ruth Lorenz, Iselin Medhaug, and Reto Knutti
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 807–834, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-807-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-807-2020, 2020
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16 Sep 2020
Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6
Claudia Tebaldi, Kevin Debeire, Veronika Eyring, Erich Fischer, John Fyfe, Pierre Friedlingstein, Reto Knutti, Jason Lowe, Brian O'Neill, Benjamin Sanderson, Detlef van Vuuren, Keywan Riahi, Malte Meinshausen, Zebedee Nicholls, George Hurtt, Elmar Kriegler, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Gerald Meehl, Richard Moss, Susanne E. Bauer, Olivier Boucher, Victor Brovkin, Jean-Christophe Golaz, Silvio Gualdi, Huan Guo, Jasmin G. John, Slava Kharin, Tsuyoshi Koshiro, Libin Ma, Dirk Olivié, Swapna Panickal, Fangli Qiao, Nan Rosenbloom, Martin Schupfner, Roland Seferian, Zhenya Song, Christian Steger, Alistair Sellar, Neil Swart, Kaoru Tachiiri, Hiroaki Tatebe, Aurore Voldoire, Evgeny Volodin, Klaus Wyser, Xiaoge Xin, Rong Xinyao, Shuting Yang, Yongqiang Yu, and Tilo Ziehn
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-68,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-68, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Sep 2020
Assessment of a full-field initialised decadal climate prediction system with the CMIP6 version of EC-Earth
Roberto Bilbao, Simon Wild, Pablo Ortega, Juan Acosta-Navarro, Thomas Arsouze, Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière, Louis-Philippe Caron, Miguel Castrillo, Rubén Cruz-García, Ivana Cvijanovic, Francisco Javier Doblas-Reyes, Markus Donat, Emanuel Dutra, Pablo Echevarría, An-Chi Ho, Saskia Loosveldt-Tomas, Eduardo Moreno-Chamarro, Núria Pérez-Zanon, Arthur Ramos, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Valentina Sicardi, Etienne Tourigny, and Javier Vegas-Regidor
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-66,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-66, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Sep 2020
Comparison of CMIP6 Historical Climate Simulations and Future Projected Warming to an Empirical Model of Global Climate
Laura A. McBride, Austin P. Hope, Timoth P. Canty, Brian F. Bennett, Walter R. Tribett, and Ross J. Salawitch
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-67,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-67, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Sep 2020
Earth System Economics: a bio-physical approach to the human component of the Earth System
Eric Galbraith
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-65,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-65, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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28 Aug 2020
Compound warm–dry and cold–wet events over the Mediterranean
Paolo De Luca, Gabriele Messori, Davide Faranda, Philip J. Ward, and Dim Coumou
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 793–805, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-793-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-793-2020, 2020
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27 Aug 2020
Groundwater storage dynamics in the world's large aquifer systems from GRACE: uncertainty and role of extreme precipitation
Mohammad Shamsudduha and Richard G. Taylor
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 755–774, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-755-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-755-2020, 2020
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27 Aug 2020
Climate–groundwater dynamics inferred from GRACE and the role of hydraulic memory
Simon Opie, Richard G. Taylor, Chris M. Brierley, Mohammad Shamsudduha, and Mark O. Cuthbert
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 775–791, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-775-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-775-2020, 2020
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24 Aug 2020
Rankings of extreme and widespread dry and wet events in the Iberian Peninsula between 1901–2016
Margarida L. R. Liberato, Irene Montero, Célia Gouveia, Ana Russo, Alexandre M. Ramos, and Ricardo M. Trigo
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-46,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-46, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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19 Aug 2020
ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments
Rowan T. Sutton and Ed Hawkins
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 751–754, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-751-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-751-2020, 2020
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19 Aug 2020
The sensitivity of the ENSO to volcanic aerosol spatial distribution in the MPI large ensemble
Benjamin Ward, Francesco S. R. Pausata, and Nicola Maher
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-63,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-63, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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17 Aug 2020
Emergent constraints on transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models
Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, and Mark S. Williamson
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 737–750, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-737-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-737-2020, 2020
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13 Aug 2020
Energetic regimes of the global economy – past, present and future
Andrew Jarvis and Carey King
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-59,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-59, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Aug 2020
Expanding the Design Space of Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering to Include Precipitation-Based Objectives and Explore Trade-offs
Walker Lee, Douglas MacMartin, Daniele Visioni, and Ben Kravitz
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-58,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-58, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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06 Aug 2020
How model paradigms affect our representation of future land-use change
Calum Brown, Ian Holman, and Mark Rounsevell
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-52,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-52, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
04 Aug 2020
Relating climate sensitivity indices to projection uncertainty
Benjamin Sanderson
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 721–735, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-721-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-721-2020, 2020
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04 Aug 2020
The Fractional Energy Balance Equation for Climate projections through 2100
Roman Procyk, Shaun Lovejoy, and Raphael Hébert
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-48,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-48, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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03 Aug 2020
Incremental improvements of 2030 targets insufficient to achieve the Paris Agreement goals
Andreas Geiges, Alexander Nauels, Paola Yanguas Parra, Marina Andrijevic, William Hare, Peter Pfleiderer, Michiel Schaeffer, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 697–708, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-697-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-697-2020, 2020
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03 Aug 2020
What could we learn about climate sensitivity from variability in the surface temperature record?
James D. Annan, Julia C. Hargreaves, Thorsten Mauritsen, and Bjorn Stevens
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 709–719, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-709-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-709-2020, 2020
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03 Aug 2020
ESD Reviews: Evidence of multiple inconsistencies between representations of terrestrial and marine ecosystems in Earth System Models
Félix Pellerin, Philipp Porada, and Inga Hense
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-55,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-55, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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31 Jul 2020
Climate engineering to mitigate the projected 21st-century terrestrial drying of the Americas: a direct comparison of carbon capture and sulfur injection
Yangyang Xu, Lei Lin, Simone Tilmes, Katherine Dagon, Lili Xia, Chenrui Diao, Wei Cheng, Zhili Wang, Isla Simpson, and Lorna Burnell
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 673–695, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-673-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-673-2020, 2020
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31 Jul 2020
The response of terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycling under different aerosol-based radiation management geoengineering
Hanna Lee, Helene Muri, Altug Ekici, Jerry Tjiputra, and Jörg Schwinger
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-57,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-57, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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30 Jul 2020
Mesoscale atmospheric circulation controls of local meteorological elevation gradients on Kersten Glacier near Kilimanjaro summit
Thomas Mölg, Douglas R. Hardy, Emily Collier, Elena Kropač, Christina Schmid, Nicolas J. Cullen, Georg Kaser, Rainer Prinz, and Michael Winkler
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 653–672, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-653-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-653-2020, 2020
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29 Jul 2020
A regional evaluation of the influence of climate change on long term trends in chlorophyll-a in large Italian lakes from satellite data
Gary Free, Mariano Bresciani, Monica Pinardi, Nicola Ghirardi, Giulia Luciani, Rossana Caroni, and Claudia Giardino
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-56,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-56, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
27 Jul 2020
Identifying meteorological drivers of extreme impacts: an application to simulated crop yields
Johannes Vogel, Pauline Rivoire, Cristina Deidda, Leila Rahimi, Christoph Alexander Sauter, Elisabeth Tschumi, Karin van der Wiel, Tianyi Zhang, and Jakob Zscheischler
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-47,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-47, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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24 Jul 2020
Impact of environmental changes and land management practices on wheat production in India
Shilpa Gahlot, Tzu-Shun Lin, Atul K. Jain, Somnath Baidya Roy, Vinay K. Sehgal, and Rajkumar Dhakar
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 641–652, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-641-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-641-2020, 2020
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24 Jul 2020
The response of small and shallow lakes to climate change: new insights from hindcast modelling
Francesco Piccioni, Céline Casenave, Bruno Jacques Lemaire, Patrick Le Moigne, Philippe Dubois, and Brigitte Vinçon-Leite
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-51,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-51, 2020
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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23 Jul 2020
Using a nested single-model large ensemble to assess the internal variability of the North Atlantic Oscillation and its climatic implications for central Europe
Andrea Böhnisch, Ralf Ludwig, and Martin Leduc
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 617–640, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-617-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-617-2020, 2020
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