Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
The following lists the preprints and final revised papers published within the last 60 days.
21 Apr 2021
Biogeochemistry and Physics of the Southern Ocean-Atmosphere System Explored With Data Science
Sebastian Landwehr, Michele Volpi, F. Alexander Haumann, Charlotte M. Robinson, Iris Thurnherr, Valerio Ferracci, Andrea Baccarini, Jenny Thomas, Irina Gorodetskaya, Christian Tatzelt, Silvia Henning, Rob L. Modini, Heather J. Forrer, Yajuan Lin, Nicolas Cassar, Rafel Simó, Christel Hassler, Alireza Moallemi, Sarah E. Fawcett, Neil Harris, Ruth Airs, Marzieh H. Derkani, Alberto Alberello, Alessandro Toffoli, Gang Chen, Pablo Rodríguez Ros, Marina Zamanillo, Pau Cortés-Greus, Lei Xue, Conor G. Bolas, Katherine C. Leonard, Fernando Perez-Cruz, David Walton, and Julia Schmale
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-16,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-16, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Apr 2021
Identification of a 50-year scaling relating current global energy demands to historically cumulative economic production
Timothy J. Garrett, Matheus R. Grasselli, and Stephen Keen
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-21,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-21, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Apr 2021
Robust increase of Indian monsoon rainfall and its variability under future warming in CMIP6 models
Anja Katzenberger, Jacob Schewe, Julia Pongratz, and Anders Levermann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 367–386, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-367-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-367-2021, 2021
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08 Apr 2021
Seasonal discharge response to temperature-driven changes in evaporation and snow processes in the Rhine Basin
Joost Buitink, Lieke A. Melsen, and Adriaan J. Teuling
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 387–400, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-387-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-387-2021, 2021
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08 Apr 2021
Is time a variable like the others in multivariate statistical downscaling and bias correction?
Yoann Robin and Mathieu Vrac
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-12,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-12, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Apr 2021
Parameter uncertainty dominates C cycle forecast errors over most of Brazil for the 21st Century
Thomas Luke Smallman, David Thomas Milodowski, Eráclito Sousa Neto, Gerbrand Koren, Jean Ometto, and Mathew Williams
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-17,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-17, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Apr 2021
Natural Hazards and Extreme Events in the Baltic Sea region
Anna Rutgersson, Erik Kjellström, Jari Haapala, Martin Stendel, Irina Danilovich, Martin Drews, Kirsti Jylhä, Pentti Kujala, Xiaoli Guo Larsén, Kirsten Halsnæs, Ilari Lehtonen, Anna Luomaranta, Erik Nilsson, Taru Olsson, Jani Särkkä, Laura Tuomi, and Norbert Wasmund
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-13,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-13, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Apr 2021
Increased vulnerability of European ecosystems to two compound dry and hot summers in 2018 and 2019
Ana Bastos, René Orth, Markus Reichstein, Philippe Ciais, Nicolas Viovy, Sönke Zaehle, Peter Anthoni, Almut Arneth, Pierre Gentine, Emilie Joetzjer, Sebastian Lienert, Tammas Loughran, Patrick C. McGuire, Sungmin O, Julia Pongratz, and Stephen Sitch
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-19,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-19, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Apr 2021
Coupled regional Earth system modelling in the Baltic Sea region
Matthias Gröger, Christian Dieterich, Jari Haapala, Ha Thi Minh Ho-Hagemann, Stefan Hagemann, Jaromir Jakacki, Wilhelm May, H. E. Markus Meier, Paul A. Miller, Anna Rutgersson, and Lichuan Wu
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-14,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-14, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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31 Mar 2021
A climate network perspective on the intertropical convergence zone
Frederik Wolf, Aiko Voigt, and Reik V. Donner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 353–366, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-353-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-353-2021, 2021
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31 Mar 2021
Downscaling of climate change scenarios for a high resolution, site–specific assessment of drought stress risk for two viticultural regions with heterogeneous landscapes
Marco Hofmann, Claudia Volosciuk, Martin Dubrovský, Douglas Maraun, and Hans R. Schultz
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-9,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-9, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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30 Mar 2021
Diverging land-use projections cause large variability in their impacts on ecosystems and related indicators for ecosystem services
Anita D. Bayer, Richard Fuchs, Reinhard Mey, Andreas Krause, Peter H. Verburg, Peter Anthoni, and Almut Arneth
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 327–351, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-327-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-327-2021, 2021
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11 Mar 2021
The response of terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycling under different aerosol-based radiation management geoengineering
Hanna Lee, Helene Muri, Altug Ekici, Jerry Tjiputra, and Jörg Schwinger
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 313–326, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-313-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-313-2021, 2021
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08 Mar 2021
Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble
Guillaume Evin, Samuel Somot, and Benoit Hingray
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-8,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-8, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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03 Mar 2021
Spatiotemporal patterns of synchronous heavy rainfall events in East Asia during the Baiu season
Frederik Wolf, Ugur Ozturk, Kevin Cheung, and Reik V. Donner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 295–312, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-295-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-295-2021, 2021
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01 Mar 2021
Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6
Claudia Tebaldi, Kevin Debeire, Veronika Eyring, Erich Fischer, John Fyfe, Pierre Friedlingstein, Reto Knutti, Jason Lowe, Brian O'Neill, Benjamin Sanderson, Detlef van Vuuren, Keywan Riahi, Malte Meinshausen, Zebedee Nicholls, Katarzyna B. Tokarska, George Hurtt, Elmar Kriegler, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Gerald Meehl, Richard Moss, Susanne E. Bauer, Olivier Boucher, Victor Brovkin, Young-Hwa Byun, Martin Dix, Silvio Gualdi, Huan Guo, Jasmin G. John, Slava Kharin, YoungHo Kim, Tsuyoshi Koshiro, Libin Ma, Dirk Olivié, Swapna Panickal, Fangli Qiao, Xinyao Rong, Nan Rosenbloom, Martin Schupfner, Roland Séférian, Alistair Sellar, Tido Semmler, Xiaoying Shi, Zhenya Song, Christian Steger, Ronald Stouffer, Neil Swart, Kaoru Tachiiri, Qi Tang, Hiroaki Tatebe, Aurore Voldoire, Evgeny Volodin, Klaus Wyser, Xiaoge Xin, Shuting Yang, Yongqiang Yu, and Tilo Ziehn
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 253–293, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-253-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-253-2021, 2021
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01 Mar 2021
Evolution of the climate in the next million years: A reduced-complexity model for glacial cycles and impact of anthropogenic CO2 emissions
Stefanie Talento and Andrey Ganopolski
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-2,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-2, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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26 Feb 2021
A dynamical systems characterization of atmospheric jet regimes
Gabriele Messori, Nili Harnik, Erica Madonna, Orli Lachmy, and Davide Faranda
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 233–251, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-233-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-233-2021, 2021
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25 Feb 2021
Abrupt climate change as rate-dependent cascading tipping point
Johannes Lohmann, Daniele Castellana, Peter D. Ditlevsen, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-7,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-7, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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25 Feb 2021
Sea Level Dynamics and Coastal Erosion in the Baltic Sea Region
Ralf Weisse, Inga Dailidiene, Birgit Hünicke, Kimmo Kahma, Kristine Madsen, Anders Omstedt, Kevin Parnell, Tilo Schöne, Tarmo Soomere, Wenyan Zhang, and Eduardo Zorita
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-6,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-6, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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23 Feb 2021
How modelling paradigms affect simulated future land use change
Calum Brown, Ian Holman, and Mark Rounsevell
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 211–231, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-211-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-211-2021, 2021
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