The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with ESD-related topics, the recent preprints posted in ESD’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in ESD.
19 May 2022
Spatiotemporal changes in the boreal forest in Siberia over the period 1985–2015 against the background of climate change
Wenxue Fu, Lei Tian, and Yu Tao
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-18,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-18, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 May 2022
| Highlight paper
Downscaling of climate change scenarios for a high-resolution, site-specific assessment of drought stress risk for two viticultural regions with heterogeneous landscapes
Marco Hofmann, Claudia Volosciuk, Martin Dubrovský, Douglas Maraun, and Hans R. Schultz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 911–934, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-911-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-911-2022, 2022
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18 May 2022
Time varying changes and uncertainties in the CMIP6 ocean carbon sink from global to regional to local scale
Parsa Gooya, Neil C. Swart, and Roberta C. Hamme
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-19,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-19, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 May 2022
| Highlight paper
Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios
Charles D. Koven, Vivek K. Arora, Patricia Cadule, Rosie A. Fisher, Chris D. Jones, David M. Lawrence, Jared Lewis, Keith Lindsay, Sabine Mathesius, Malte Meinshausen, Michael Mills, Zebedee Nicholls, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Neil C. Swart, William R. Wieder, and Kirsten Zickfeld
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 885–909, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-885-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-885-2022, 2022
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10 May 2022
Inarticulate past: similarity properties of the ice–climate system and their implications for paleo-record attribution
Mikhail Y. Verbitsky
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 879–884, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-879-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-879-2022, 2022
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10 May 2022
Climate Response to Severe Forestation: A Regional Climate Model Intercomparison Study
Olivier Asselin, Martin Leduc, Dominique Paquin, Katja Winger, Alejandro Di Luca, Melissa Bukovsky, Biljana Music, and Michel Giguère
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-291,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-291, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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04 May 2022
Impact of an acceleration of ice sheet melting on monsoon systems
Alizée Chemison, Dimitri Defrance, Gilles Ramstein, and Cyril Caminade
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-197,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-197, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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29 Apr 2022
Governing Change: A Dynamical Systems Approach to Understanding the Stability of Environmental Governance
Nusrat Molla, John DeIonno, Thilo Gross, and Jonathan Herman
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-16,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-16, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Apr 2022
Deploying Solar Radiation Modification to limit warming under a current climate policy scenario results in a multi-century commitment
Susanne Baur, Alexander Nauels, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-17,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-17, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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28 Apr 2022
MESMER-M: an Earth system model emulator for spatially resolved monthly temperature
Shruti Nath, Quentin Lejeune, Lea Beusch, Sonia I. Seneviratne, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 851–877, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-851-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-851-2022, 2022
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27 Apr 2022
Extreme wet-cold compound events investigation under climate change in Greece
Iason Markantonis, Diamando Vlachogiannis, Athanasios Sfetsos, and Ioannis Kioutsioukis
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-48,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-48, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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26 Apr 2022
The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends
Manoj Joshi, Robert Hall, David Stevens, and Ed Hawkins
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-151,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-151, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 5 comments)
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25 Apr 2022
STITCHES: creating new scenarios of climate model output by stitching together pieces of existing simulations
Claudia Tebaldi, Abigail Snyder, and Kalyn Dorheim
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-14,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-14, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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22 Apr 2022
To weight or not to weight: assessing sensitivities of climate model weighting to multiple methods, variables, and domains
Adrienne Wootten, Elias Massoud, Duane Waliser, and Huikyo Lee
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-15,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-15, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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20 Apr 2022
Present and future European heat wave magnitudes: climatologies, trends, and their associated uncertainties in GCM-RCM model chains
Changgui Lin, Erik Kjellström, Renate Anna Irma Wilcke, and Deliang Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-215,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-215, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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19 Apr 2022
Divergent historical GPP trends among state-of-the-art multi-model simulations and satellite-based products
Ruqi Yang, Jun Wang, Ning Zeng, Stephen Sitch, Wenhan Tang, Matthew Joseph McGrath, Qixiang Cai, Di Liu, Danica Lombardozzi, Hanqin Tian, Atul K. Jain, and Pengfei Han
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 833–849, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-833-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-833-2022, 2022
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19 Apr 2022
Potential for bias in effective climate sensitivity from state-dependent energetic balance
Benjamin Sanderson and Maria Rugenstein
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-167,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-167, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Apr 2022
Exploring the relationship between temperature forecast errors and Earth system variables
Melissa Ruiz-Vásquez, Sungmin O, Alexander Brenning, Randal D. Koster, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Ulrich Weber, Gabriele Arduini, Ana Bastos, Markus Reichstein, and René Orth
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-183,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-183, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Apr 2022
Indian Ocean marine biogeochemical variability and its feedback on simulated South Asia climate
Dmitry V. Sein, Anton Y. Dvornikov, Stanislav D. Martyanov, William Cabos, Vladimir A. Ryabchenko, Matthias Gröger, Daniela Jacob, Alok Kumar Mishra, and Pankaj Kumar
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 809–831, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-809-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-809-2022, 2022
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13 Apr 2022
| Highlight paper
Impact of bioenergy crop expansion on climate–carbon cycle feedbacks in overshoot scenarios
Irina Melnikova, Olivier Boucher, Patricia Cadule, Katsumasa Tanaka, Thomas Gasser, Tomohiro Hajima, Yann Quilcaille, Hideo Shiogama, Roland Séférian, Kaoru Tachiiri, Nicolas Vuichard, Tokuta Yokohata, and Philippe Ciais
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 779–794, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-779-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-779-2022, 2022
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13 Apr 2022
| Highlight paper
Coupling human and natural systems for sustainability: experience from China's Loess Plateau
Bojie Fu, Xutong Wu, Zhuangzhuang Wang, Xilin Wu, and Shuai Wang
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 795–808, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-795-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-795-2022, 2022
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11 Apr 2022
Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean
Assaf Hochman, Francesco Marra, Gabriele Messori, Joaquim G. Pinto, Shira Raveh-Rubin, Yizhak Yosef, and Georgios Zittis
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 749–777, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-749-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-749-2022, 2022
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11 Apr 2022
Global climate change and the Baltic Sea ecosystem: direct and indirect effects on species, communities and ecosystem functioning
Markku Viitasalo and Erik Bonsdorff
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 711–747, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-711-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-711-2022, 2022
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11 Apr 2022
Constraining low-frequency variability in climate projections to predict climate on decadal to multi-decadal time scales – a ‘poor-man’ initialized prediction system
Rashed Mahmood, Markus G. Donat, Pablo Ortega, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Carlos Delgado-Torres, Margarida Samsó, and Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-98,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-98, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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08 Apr 2022
Contrasting projection of the ENSO-driven CO2 flux variability in the Equatorial Pacific under high warming scenario
Pradeebane Vaittinada Ayar, Jerry Tjiputra, Laurent Bopp, Jim R. Christian, Tatiana Ilyina, John P. Krasting, Roland Séférian, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Michio Watanabe, and Andrew Yool
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-12,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-12, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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05 Apr 2022
CO2 surface variability: from the stratosphere or not?
Michael J. Prather
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 703–709, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-703-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-703-2022, 2022
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04 Apr 2022
Inter–annual global carbon cycle variations linked to atmospheric circulation variability
Na Li, Sebastian Sippel, Alexander Winkler, Miguel D. Mahecha, Markus Reichstein, and Ana Bastos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-96,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-96, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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01 Apr 2022
Evaluation of convection-permitting extreme precipitation simulations for the south of France
Linh N. Luu, Robert Vautard, Pascal Yiou, and Jean-Michel Soubeyroux
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 687–702, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-687-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-687-2022, 2022
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31 Mar 2022
Biogeochemical functioning of the Baltic Sea
Karol Kuliński, Gregor Rehder, Eero Asmala, Alena Bartosova, Jacob Carstensen, Bo Gustafsson, Per O. J. Hall, Christoph Humborg, Tom Jilbert, Klaus Jürgens, H. E. Markus Meier, Bärbel Müller-Karulis, Michael Naumann, Jørgen E. Olesen, Oleg Savchuk, Andreas Schramm, Caroline P. Slomp, Mikhail Sofiev, Anna Sobek, Beata Szymczycha, and Emma Undeman
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 633–685, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-633-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-633-2022, 2022
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30 Mar 2022
Atmospheric rivers in CMIP5 climate ensembles downscaled with a high-resolution regional climate model
Matthias Gröger, Christian Dieterich, Cyril Dutheil, H. E. Markus Meier, and Dmitry V. Sein
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 613–631, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-613-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-613-2022, 2022
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29 Mar 2022
Widespread greening suggests increased dry-season plant water availability in the Rio Santa valley, Peruvian Andes
Lorenz Hänchen, Cornelia Klein, Fabien Maussion, Wolfgang Gurgiser, Pierluigi Calanca, and Georg Wohlfahrt
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 595–611, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-595-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-595-2022, 2022
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28 Mar 2022
Insignificant but robust decrease of ENSO predictability in an equilibrium warmer climate
Yiyu Zheng, Maria Rugenstein, Patrick Pieper, Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga, and Johanna Baehr
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-89,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-89, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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