The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with ESD-related topics, the recent preprints posted in ESD’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in ESD.
08 Jun 2023
Temperature Trends, Climate Attribution and the Nonstationarity Question
Ross McKitrick, Timothy Vogelsang, and John Christy
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-11,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-11, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Jun 2023
The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models
Steven J. De Hertog, Felix Havermann, Inne Vanderkelen, Suqi Guo, Fei Luo, Iris Manola, Dim Coumou, Edouard L. Davin, Gregory Duveiller, Quentin Lejeune, Julia Pongratz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia I. Seneviratne, and Wim Thiery
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 629–667, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-629-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-629-2023, 2023
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05 Jun 2023
Synchronization phenomena observed in glacial-interglacial cycles simulated in an Earth system model of intermediate complexity
Takahito Mitsui, Matteo Willeit, and Niklas Boers
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-16,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-16, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 May 2023
Testing the assumptions in emergent constraints: Why does the 'Emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability' work for CMIP5 and not CMIP6?
Mark S. Williamson, Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, and Femke J. M. M. Nijsse
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1093,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1093, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 May 2023
Impact of AMV on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African Monsoon in DCPP-C-like simulations
Elsa Mohino, Paul-Arthur Monerie, Juliette Mignot, Moussa Diakhaté, Markus Donat, Christopher David Roberts, and Francisco Doblas-Reyes
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-962,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-962, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 May 2023
A missing link in the carbon cycle: phytoplankton light absorption under RCP scenarios
Rémy Asselot, Frank Lunkeit, Philip Holden, and Inga Hense
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-921,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-921, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 May 2023
Effects of idealised land cover and land management changes on the atmospheric water cycle
Steven J. De Hertog, Carmen E. Lopez-Fabara, Ruud van der Ent, Jessica Keune, Diego G. Miralles, Raphael Portmann, Sebastian Schemm, Felix Havermann, Suqi Guo, Fei Luo, Iris Manola, Quentin Lejeune, Julia Pongratz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia I. Seneviratne, and Wim Thiery
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-953,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-953, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 May 2023
Representing inter-annual land cover and vegetation variability based on satellite observations in the HTESSEL land surface model
Fransje van Oorschot, Ruud J. van der Ent, Markus Hrachowitz, Emanuele Di Carlo, Franco Catalano, Souhail Boussetta, Gianpaolo Balsamo, and Andrea Alessandri
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-803,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-803, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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16 May 2023
Stable stadial and interstadial states of the last glacial's climate identified in a combined stable water isotope and dust record from Greenland
Keno Riechers, Leonardo Rydin Gorjão, Forough Hassanibesheli, Pedro G. Lind, Dirk Witthaut, and Niklas Boers
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 593–607, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-593-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-593-2023, 2023
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16 May 2023
Continental heat storage: contributions from the ground, inland waters, and permafrost thawing
Francisco José Cuesta-Valero, Hugo Beltrami, Almudena García-García, Gerhard Krinner, Moritz Langer, Andrew H. MacDougall, Jan Nitzbon, Jian Peng, Karina von Schuckmann, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Wim Thiery, Inne Vanderkelen, and Tonghua Wu
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 609–627, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-609-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-609-2023, 2023
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12 May 2023
The rate of information transfer as a measure of ocean–atmosphere interactions
David Docquier, Stéphane Vannitsem, and Alessio Bellucci
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 577–591, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-577-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-577-2023, 2023
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12 May 2023
Estimating freshwater flux amplification with ocean tracers via linear response theory
Aurora Basinski-Ferris and Laure Zanna
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-14,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-14, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 May 2023
Multi-centennial evolution of the climate response and deep ocean heat uptake in a set of abrupt stabilization scenarios with EC-Earth3
Federico Fabiano, Paolo Davini, Virna Meccia, Giuseppe Zappa, Alessio Bellucci, Valerio Lembo, Katinka Bellomo, and Susanna Corti
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-15,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-15, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 May 2023
Detecting the human fingerprint in the summer 2022 West-Central European soil drought
Dominik L. Schumacher, Mariam Zachariah, Friederike Otto, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Dorothy Heinrich, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Mathias Hauser, Martin Hirschi, Verena Bessenbacher, Lukas Gudmundsson, Hiroko K. Beaudoing, Matthew Rodell, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Luke J. Harrington, Flavio Lehner, Gianpaolo Balsamo, and Sonia I. Seneviratne
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-717,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-717, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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09 May 2023
ESD Ideas: Arctic Amplification’s Contribution to Breaches of the Paris Agreement
Alistair Duffey, Robbie Mallett, Peter J. Irvine, Michel Tsamados, and Julienne Stroeve
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-810,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-810, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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05 May 2023
Opening Pandora's box: reducing global circulation model uncertainty in Australian simulations of the carbon cycle
Lina Teckentrup, Martin G. De Kauwe, Gab Abramowitz, Andrew J. Pitman, Anna M. Ukkola, Sanaa Hobeichi, Bastien François, and Benjamin Smith
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 549–576, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-549-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-549-2023, 2023
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03 May 2023
Tracing the Snowball bifurcation of aquaplanets through time reveals a fundamental shift in critical-state dynamics
Georg Feulner, Mona Bukenberger, and Stefan Petri
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 533–547, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-533-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-533-2023, 2023
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26 Apr 2023
Countries most exposed to individual and concurrent extremes and near-permanent extreme conditions at different global warming levels
Fulden Batibeniz, Mathias Hauser, and Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 485–505, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-485-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-485-2023, 2023
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26 Apr 2023
Direct and indirect application of univariate and multivariate bias corrections on heat-stress indices based on multiple regional-climate-model simulations
Liying Qiu, Eun-Soon Im, Seung-Ki Min, Yeon-Hee Kim, Dong-Hyun Cha, Seok-Woo Shin, Joong-Bae Ahn, Eun-Chul Chang, and Young-Hwa Byun
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 507–517, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-507-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-507-2023, 2023
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26 Apr 2023
Overview: The Baltic Earth Assessment Reports (BEAR)
H. E. Markus Meier, Marcus Reckermann, Joakim Langner, Ben Smith, and Ira Didenkulova
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 519–531, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-519-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-519-2023, 2023
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25 Apr 2023
Low confidence in multi-decadal trends of wind-driven upwelling across the Benguela upwelling system due to internal climate variability
Mohammad Hadi Bordbar, Volker Mohrholz, and Martin Schmidt
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-10,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-10, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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25 Apr 2023
MIROC6 Large Ensemble (MIROC6-LE): experimental design and initial analyses
Hide Shiogama, Hiroaki Tatebe, Michiya Hayashi, Manabu Abe, Miki Arai, Hiroshi Koyama, Yukiko Imada, Yu Kosaka, Tomoo Ogura, and Masahiro Watanabe
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-12,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-12, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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24 Apr 2023
Understanding variations in downwelling longwave radiation using Brutsaert's equation
Yinglin Tian, Deyu Zhong, Sarosh Alam Ghausi, Guangqian Wang, and Axel Kleidon
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-451,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-451, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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21 Apr 2023
Performance-based sub-selection of CMIP6 models for impact assessments in Europe
Tamzin E. Palmer, Carol F. McSweeney, Ben B. B. Booth, Matthew D. K. Priestley, Paolo Davini, Lukas Brunner, Leonard Borchert, and Matthew B. Menary
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 457–483, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-457-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-457-2023, 2023
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21 Apr 2023
Historical and projected future runoffs over the Mekong River Basin
Chao Wang, Stephen Leisz, Li Li, Xiaoying Shi, Jiafu Mao, Yi Zheng, and Anping Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-663,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-663, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Apr 2023
The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends
Manoj Joshi, Robert A. Hall, David P. Stevens, and Ed Hawkins
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 443–455, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-443-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-443-2023, 2023
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17 Apr 2023
Emergent constraints for the climate system as effective parameters of bulk differential equations
Chris Huntingford, Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson, Joseph J. Clarke, and Paul D. L. Ritchie
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 433–442, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-433-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-433-2023, 2023
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17 Apr 2023
Extending MESMER-X: A spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture
Yann Quilcaille, Lukas Gudmundsson, and Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-589,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-589, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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14 Apr 2023
The future of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation: using large ensembles to illuminate time-varying responses and inter-model differences
Nicola Maher, Robert C. Jnglin Wills, Pedro DiNezio, Jeremy Klavans, Sebastian Milinski, Sara C. Sanchez, Samantha Stevenson, Malte F. Stuecker, and Xian Wu
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 413–431, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-413-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-413-2023, 2023
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14 Apr 2023
A quantitative assessment of air-sea heat flux trends from ERA5 since 1950 in the North Atlantic basin
Johannes Mayer, Leopold Haimberger, and Michael Mayer
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-8,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-8, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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12 Apr 2023
How does the phytoplankton–light feedback affect the marine N2O inventory?
Sarah Berthet, Julien Jouanno, Roland Séférian, Marion Gehlen, and William Llovel
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 399–412, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-399-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-399-2023, 2023
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11 Apr 2023
Time-varying changes and uncertainties in the CMIP6 ocean carbon sink from global to local scale
Parsa Gooya, Neil C. Swart, and Roberta C. Hamme
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 383–398, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-383-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-383-2023, 2023
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11 Apr 2023
Extremely Warm European Summers driven by Sub-Decadal North Atlantic Heat Inertia
Lara Hellmich, Laura Suarez-Gutierrez, Daniela Matei, and Wolfgang A. Müller
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-653,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-653, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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11 Apr 2023
ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world
Ed Hawkins, Gilbert P. Compo, and Prashant D. Sardeshmukh
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-665,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-665, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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