Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
The following lists the preprints and final revised papers published within the last 60 days.
10 Jun 2021
Process-based analysis of terrestrial carbon flux predictability
István Dunkl, Aaron Spring, Pierre Friedlingstein, and Victor Brovkin
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-38,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-38, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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09 Jun 2021
Baltic Earth Assessment Report on the biogeochemistry of the Baltic Sea
Karol Kuliński, Gregor Rehder, Eero Asmala, Alena Bartosova, Jacob Carstensen, Bo Gustafsson, Per O. J. Hall, Christoph Humborg, Tom Jilbert, Klaus Jürgens, Markus Meier, Bärbel Müller-Karulis, Michael Naumann, Jørgen E. Olesen, Oleg Savchuk, Andreas Schramm, Caroline P. Slomp, Mikhail Sofiev, Anna Sobek, Beata Szymczycha, and Emma Undeman
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-33,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-33, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Jun 2021
Climate change signal in the ocean circulation of the Tyrrhenian Sea
Alba de la Vara, Iván Parras-Berrocal, Alfredo Izquierdo, Dmitry Sein, and William Cabos
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-37,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-37, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Jun 2021
Jarzynski equality and Crooks relation for local models of air–sea interaction
Achim Wirth and Florian Lemarié
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 689–708, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-689-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-689-2021, 2021
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04 Jun 2021
Salinity dynamics of the Baltic Sea
Andreas Lehmann, Kai Myrberg, Piia Post, Irina Chubarenko, Inga Dailidiene, Hans-Harald Hinrichsen, Karin Hüssy, Taavi Liblik, Urmas Lips, H. E. Markus Meier, and Tatiana Bukanova
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-15,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-15, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Jun 2021
Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming
Nico Wunderling, Jonathan F. Donges, Jürgen Kurths, and Ricarda Winkelmann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 601–619, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-601-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-601-2021, 2021
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27 May 2021
Earth system economics: a biophysical approach to the human component of the Earth system
Eric D. Galbraith
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 671–687, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-671-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-671-2021, 2021
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21 May 2021
Modelled land use and land cover change emissions – a spatio-temporal comparison of different approaches
Wolfgang A. Obermeier, Julia E. M. S. Nabel, Tammas Loughran, Kerstin Hartung, Ana Bastos, Felix Havermann, Peter Anthoni, Almut Arneth, Daniel S. Goll, Sebastian Lienert, Danica Lombardozzi, Sebastiaan Luyssaert, Patrick C. McGuire, Joe R. Melton, Benjamin Poulter, Stephen Sitch, Michael O. Sullivan, Hanqin Tian, Anthony P. Walker, Andrew J. Wiltshire, Soenke Zaehle, and Julia Pongratz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 635–670, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-635-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-635-2021, 2021
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19 May 2021
Space–time dependence of compound hot–dry events in the United States: assessment using a multi-site multi-variable weather generator
Manuela I. Brunner, Eric Gilleland, and Andrew W. Wood
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 621–634, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-621-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-621-2021, 2021
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12 May 2021
ESD Ideas: Planetary Antifragility: A new dimension in the definition of the Safe Operating Space for Humanity
Oliver López-Corona and Melanie Kolb
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-26,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-26, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 10 comments)
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10 May 2021
Comparison of CMIP6 historical climate simulations and future projected warming to an empirical model of global climate
Laura A. McBride, Austin P. Hope, Timothy P. Canty, Brian F. Bennett, Walter R. Tribett, and Ross J. Salawitch
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 545–579, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-545-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-545-2021, 2021
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10 May 2021
First assessment of the earth heat inventory within CMIP5 historical simulations
Francisco José Cuesta-Valero, Almudena García-García, Hugo Beltrami, and Joel Finnis
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 581–600, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-581-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-581-2021, 2021
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07 May 2021
Accounting for surface waves improves gas flux estimation at high wind speed in a large lake
Pascal Perolo, Bieito Fernández Castro, Nicolas Escoffier, Thibault Lambert, Damien Bouffard, and Marie-Elodie Perga
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-30,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-30, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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06 May 2021
Exploring how groundwater buffers the influence of heatwaves on vegetation function during multi-year droughts
Mengyuan Mu, Martin G. De Kauwe, Anna M. Ukkola, Andy J. Pitman, Weidong Guo, Sanaa Hobeichi, and Peter R. Briggs
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-31,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-31, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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05 May 2021
Regional variation in the effectiveness of methane-based and land-based climate mitigation options
Garry D. Hayman, Edward Comyn-Platt, Chris Huntingford, Anna B. Harper, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, William Collins, Christopher Webber, Jason Lowe, Stephen Sitch, Joanna I. House, Jonathan C. Doelman, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Sarah E. Chadburn, Eleanor Burke, and Nicola Gedney
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 513–544, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-513-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-513-2021, 2021
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04 May 2021
The half-order energy balance equation – Part 1: The homogeneous HEBE and long memories
Shaun Lovejoy
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 469–487, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-469-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-469-2021, 2021
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04 May 2021
The half-order energy balance equation – Part 2: The inhomogeneous HEBE and 2D energy balance models
Shaun Lovejoy
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 489–511, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-489-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-489-2021, 2021
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03 May 2021
Weather extremes over Europe under 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming from HAPPI regional climate ensemble simulations
Kevin Sieck, Christine Nam, Laurens M. Bouwer, Diana Rechid, and Daniela Jacob
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 457–468, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-457-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-457-2021, 2021
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30 Apr 2021
The thermal response of small and shallow lakes to climate change: new insights from 3D hindcast modelling
Francesco Piccioni, Céline Casenave, Bruno Jacques Lemaire, Patrick Le Moigne, Philippe Dubois, and Brigitte Vinçon-Leite
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 439–456, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-439-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-439-2021, 2021
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28 Apr 2021
Wind speed stilling and its recovery due to internal climate variability
Jan Wohland, Doris Folini, and Bryn Pickering
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-29,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-29, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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26 Apr 2021
Labrador Sea subsurface density as a precursor of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study
Pablo Ortega, Jon I. Robson, Matthew Menary, Rowan T. Sutton, Adam Blaker, Agathe Germe, Jöel J.-M. Hirschi, Bablu Sinha, Leon Hermanson, and Stephen Yeager
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 419–438, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-419-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-419-2021, 2021
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22 Apr 2021
Impacts of hot-dry compound extremes on US soybean yields
Raed Hamed, Anne F. Van Loon, Jeroen Aerts, and Dim Coumou
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-24,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-24, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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22 Apr 2021
23rd Century surprises: Long-term dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios
Charles Koven, Vivek K. Arora, Patricia Cadule, Rosie A. Fisher, Chris D. Jones, David M. Lawrence, Jared Lewis, Keith Lindsey, Sabine Mathesius, Malte Meinshausen, Michael Mills, Zebedee Nicholls, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Neil C. Swart, William R. Wieder, and Kirsten Zickfeld
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-23,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-23, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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22 Apr 2021
Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble
Nicola Maher, Sebastian Milinski, and Ralf Ludwig
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 401–418, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-401-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-401-2021, 2021
21 Apr 2021
Biogeochemistry and Physics of the Southern Ocean-Atmosphere System Explored With Data Science
Sebastian Landwehr, Michele Volpi, F. Alexander Haumann, Charlotte M. Robinson, Iris Thurnherr, Valerio Ferracci, Andrea Baccarini, Jenny Thomas, Irina Gorodetskaya, Christian Tatzelt, Silvia Henning, Rob L. Modini, Heather J. Forrer, Yajuan Lin, Nicolas Cassar, Rafel Simó, Christel Hassler, Alireza Moallemi, Sarah E. Fawcett, Neil Harris, Ruth Airs, Marzieh H. Derkani, Alberto Alberello, Alessandro Toffoli, Gang Chen, Pablo Rodríguez Ros, Marina Zamanillo, Pau Cortés-Greus, Lei Xue, Conor G. Bolas, Katherine C. Leonard, Fernando Perez-Cruz, David Walton, and Julia Schmale
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-16,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-16, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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16 Apr 2021
Identification of a 50-year scaling relating current global energy demands to historically cumulative economic production
Timothy J. Garrett, Matheus R. Grasselli, and Stephen Keen
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-21,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-21, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 8 comments)
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14 Apr 2021
Robust increase of Indian monsoon rainfall and its variability under future warming in CMIP6 models
Anja Katzenberger, Jacob Schewe, Julia Pongratz, and Anders Levermann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 367–386, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-367-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-367-2021, 2021
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