The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with ESD-related topics, the recent preprints posted in ESD’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in ESD.
28 Feb 2024
AERA-MIP: Emission pathways, remaining budgets and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 ºC and 2 ºC global warming stabilization
Yona Silvy, Thomas L. Frölicher, Jens Terhaar, Fortunat Joos, Friedrich A. Burger, Fabrice Lacroix, Myles Allen, Raffaele Bernadello, Laurent Bopp, Victor Brovkin, Jonathan R. Buzan, Patricia Cadule, Martin Dix, John Dunne, Pierre Friedlingstein, Goran Georgievski, Tomohiro Hajima, Stuart Jenkins, Michio Kawamiya, Nancy Y. Kiang, Vladimir Lapin, Donghyun Lee, Paul Lerner, Nadine Mengis, Estela A. Monteiro, David Paynter, Glen P. Peters, Anastasia Romanou, Jörg Schwinger, Sarah Sparrow, Eric Stofferahn, Jerry Tjiputra, Etienne Tourigny, and Tilo Ziehn
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-488,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-488, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
27 Feb 2024
Cross-scale causal information flow from El Niño Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China
Yasir Latif, Kaiyu Fan, Geli Wang, and Milan Palus
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-400,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-400, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
22 Feb 2024
Towards robust community assessments of the Earth's climate sensitivity
Kate Marvel and Mark Webb
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-391,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-391, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
21 Feb 2024
The Long Game to mitigate earth system tipping points
Avit Bhowmik, Mark S. McCaffrey, and Oliver Kunkel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2588,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2588, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
21 Feb 2024
Compensatory effects conceal large uncertainties in the modelled processes behind the ENSO-CO2 relationship
István Dunkl, Ana Bastos, and Tatiana Ilyina
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-7,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-7, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
19 Feb 2024
Atmospheric teleconnections between the Arctic and the Baltic Sea region as simulated by CESM1-LE
Erko Jakobson and Liisi Jakobson
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 155–165, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-155-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-155-2024, 2024
Short summary
19 Feb 2024
Bayesian analysis of early warning signals using a time-dependent model
Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen, Luc Hallali, and Martin Rypdal
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-436,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-436, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
19 Feb 2024
Bringing it all together: Science and modelling priorities to support international climate policy
Colin Gareth Jones, Fanny Adloff, Ben Booth, Peter Cox, Veronika Eyring, Pierre Friedlingstein, Katja Frieler, Helene Hewitt, Hazel Jeffery, Sylvie Joussaume, Torben Koenigk, Bryan N. Lawrence, Eleanor O'Rourke, Malcolm Roberts, Benjamin Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Samuel Somot, Pier-Luigi Vidale, Detlef van Vuuren, Mario Acosta, Mats Bentsen, Raffaele Bernardello, Richard Betts, Ed Blockley, Julien Boé, Tom Bracegirdle, Pascale Braconnot, Victor Brovkin, Carlo Buontempo, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Markus G. Donat, Italo Epicoco, Pete Falloon, Sandro Fiore, Thomas Froelicher, Neven Fuckar, Matthew Gidden, Helge Goessling, Rune Grand Graversen, Silvio Gualdi, Jose Manuel Gutiérrez, Tatiana Ilyina, Daniela Jacob, Chris Jones, Martin Juckes, Elizabeth Kendon, Erik Kjellström, Reto Knutti, Jason A. Lowe, Matthew Mizielinski, Paola Nassisi, Michael Obersteiner, Pierre Regnier, Romain Roehrig, David Salas y Melia, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Michael Schulz, Enrico Scoccimarro, Laurent Terray, Hannes Thiemann, Richard Wood, Shuting Yang, and Sönke Zaehle
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-453,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-453, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
Short summary
16 Feb 2024
| Highlight paper
Detecting the human fingerprint in the summer 2022 western–central European soil drought
Dominik L. Schumacher, Mariam Zachariah, Friederike Otto, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Dorothy Heinrich, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Mathias Hauser, Martin Hirschi, Verena Bessenbacher, Lukas Gudmundsson, Hiroko K. Beaudoing, Matthew Rodell, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Luke J. Harrington, Flavio Lehner, Gianpaolo Balsamo, and Sonia I. Seneviratne
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 131–154, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-131-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-131-2024, 2024
Short summary Chief editor
13 Feb 2024
Can large-scale tree cover change negate climate change impacts on future water availability?
Freek Engel, Anne J. Hoek van Dijke, Caspar T. J. Roebroek, and Imme Benedict
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-313,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-313, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
08 Feb 2024
Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability
Justine Caillet, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Pierre Mathiot, Fabien Gillet-Chaulet, Benoit Urruty, Clara Burgard, Charles Amory, Christoph Kittel, and Mondher Chekki
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-128,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-128, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
01 Feb 2024
The impacts of elevated CO2 on forest growth, mortality and recovery in the Amazon rainforest
Yitong Yao, Philippe Ciais, Emilie Joetzjer, Wei Li, Lei Zhu, Yujie Wang, Christian Frankenberg, and Nicolas Viovy
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-5,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-5, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
30 Jan 2024
Scaling artificial heat islands to enhance precipitation in the United Arab Emirates
Oliver Branch, Lisa Jach, Thomas Schwitalla, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, and Volker Wulfmeyer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 109–129, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-109-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-109-2024, 2024
Short summary
29 Jan 2024
Historical and projected future runoff over the Mekong River basin
Chao Wang, Stephen Leisz, Li Li, Xiaoying Shi, Jiafu Mao, Yi Zheng, and Anping Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 75–90, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-75-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-75-2024, 2024
Short summary
29 Jan 2024
| Highlight paper
Future water storage changes over the Mediterranean, Middle East, and North Africa in response to global warming and stratospheric aerosol intervention
Abolfazl Rezaei, Khalil Karami, Simone Tilmes, and John C. Moore
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 91–108, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-91-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-91-2024, 2024
Short summary Chief editor
26 Jan 2024
Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review
Nico Wunderling, Anna S. von der Heydt, Yevgeny Aksenov, Stephen Barker, Robbin Bastiaansen, Victor Brovkin, Maura Brunetti, Victor Couplet, Thomas Kleinen, Caroline H. Lear, Johannes Lohmann, Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta, Sacha Sinet, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, Pallavi Anand, Jonathan Barichivich, Sebastian Bathiany, Mara Baudena, John T. Bruun, Cristiano M. Chiessi, Helen K. Coxall, David Docquier, Jonathan F. Donges, Swinda K. J. Falkena, Ann Kristin Klose, David Obura, Juan Rocha, Stefanie Rynders, Norman Julius Steinert, and Matteo Willeit
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 41–74, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-41-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-41-2024, 2024
Short summary
23 Jan 2024
Natural marine bromoform emissions in the fully coupled ocean-atmosphere-model NorESM2
Dennis Booge, Jerry F. Tjiputra, Dirk J. L. Olivié, Birgit Quack, and Kirstin Krüger
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-3,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-3, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
22 Jan 2024
Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5
Andrew D. King, Tilo Ziehn, Matthew Chamberlain, Alexander R. Borowiak, Josephine R. Brown, Liam Cassidy, Andrea J. Dittus, Michael Grose, Nicola Maher, Seungmok Paik, Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, and Aditya Sengupta
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2961,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2961, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
22 Jan 2024
Climatology and Trends in Concurrent Temperature Extremes in the Global Extratropics
Gabriele Messori, Antonio Segalini, and Alexandre M. Ramos
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-45,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-45, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
19 Jan 2024
Fire Weather Compromises Forestation-reliant Climate Mitigation Pathways
Felix Jäger, Jonas Schwaab, Yann Quilcaille, Michael Windisch, Jonathan Doelman, Stefan Frank, Mykola Gusti, Petr Havlik, Florian Humpenöder, Andrey Lessa Derci Augustynczik, Christoph Müller, Kanishka B. Narayan, Ryan S. Padrón, Alexander Popp, Detlef van Vuuren, Michael Wögerer, and Sonia I. Seneviratne
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-15,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-15, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
Short summary
19 Jan 2024
Contrasting responses of vegetation productivity to intraseasonal rainfall in Earth System Models
Bethan L. Harris, Tristan Quaife, Christopher M. Taylor, and Phil P. Harris
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-2,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-2, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
18 Jan 2024
Impact of Atlantic multidecadal variability on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African monsoon
Elsa Mohino, Paul-Arthur Monerie, Juliette Mignot, Moussa Diakhaté, Markus Donat, Christopher David Roberts, and Francisco Doblas-Reyes
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 15–40, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-15-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-15-2024, 2024
Short summary
16 Jan 2024
First comprehensive assessment of industrial era land heat uptake from multiple sources
Félix García-Pereira, Jesús Fidel González-Rouco, Camilo Melo-Aguilar, Norman Julius Steinert, Elena García-Bustamante, Philip de Vrese, Johann Jungclaus, Stephan Lorenz, Stefan Hagemann, Francisco José Cuesta-Valero, Almudena García-García, and Hugo Beltrami
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-44,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-44, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
Short summary
15 Jan 2024
Global Cropland Expansion Enhances Cropping Potential and Reduce its Inequality among Countries
Xiaoxuan Liu, Peng Zhu, Shu Liu, Le Yu, Yong Wang, Zhenrong Du, Dailiang Peng, Ece Aksoy, Hui Lu, and Peng Gong
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-47,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-47, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
Short summary
15 Jan 2024
Estimating ocean heat content from the ocean thermal expansion parameters using satellite data
Vijay Prakash Kondeti and Shanmugam Palanisamy
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-1,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-1, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
09 Jan 2024
Extremely warm European summers preceded by sub-decadal North Atlantic ocean heat accumulation
Lara Wallberg, Laura Suarez-Gutierrez, Daniela Matei, and Wolfgang A. Müller
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1–14, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1-2024, 2024
Short summary
09 Jan 2024
Distribution-based pooling for combination and multi-model bias correction of climate simulations
Mathieu Vrac, Denis Allard, Grégoire Mariéthoz, Soulivanh Thao, and Lucas Schmutz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-3004,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-3004, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
05 Jan 2024
Uncertainty-informed selection of CMIP6 Earth System Model subsets for use in multisectoral and impact models
Abigail Snyder, Noah Prime, Claudia Tebaldi, and Kalyn Dorheim
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-41,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-41, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
Short summary
02 Jan 2024
Assessment of warm-water coral reef tipping point thresholds
Paul Pearce-Kelly, Andrew H. Altier, John F. Bruno, Christopher E. Cornwall, Melanie McField, Aarón Israel Muñiz-Castillo, Juan Rocha, Renee O. Setter, Charles Sheppard, Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta, and Chris Yesson
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-35,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-35, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
CC BY 4.0