The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with ESD-related topics, the recent preprints posted in ESD’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in ESD.
27 Sep 2023
Gaia: Complex systems prediction for time to adapt to climate shocks
Allen G. Hunt, Muhammad Sahimi, Boris Faybishenko, Markus Egli, Zbigniew J. Kabala, Behzad Ghanbarian, and Fang Yu
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-21,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-21, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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27 Sep 2023
An Enhanced SPEI Drought Monitoring Method Integrating Land Surface Characteristics
Liqing Peng, Justin Sheffield, Zhongwang Wei, Michael Ek, and Eric F. Wood
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2100,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2100, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Sep 2023
Changes in apparent temperature and PM2.5 around the Beijing–Tianjin megalopolis under greenhouse gas and stratospheric aerosol intervention scenarios
Jun Wang, John C. Moore, and Liyun Zhao
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 989–1013, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-989-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-989-2023, 2023
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26 Sep 2023
Regionally optimized high resolution input datasets enhance the representation of snow cover and ecophysiological processes in CLM5
Johanna Teresa Malle, Giulia Mazzotti, Dirk Nikolaus Karger, and Tobias Jonas
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1832,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1832, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Sep 2023
Possible role of anthropogenic climate change in the record-breaking 2020 Lake Victoria levels and floods
Rosa Pietroiusti, Inne Vanderkelen, Friederike E. L. Otto, Clair Barnes, Lucy Temple, Mary Akurut, Philippe Bally, Nicole P. M. van Lipzig, and Wim Thiery
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1827,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1827, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Sep 2023
Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Ann Kristin Klose, Jonathan F. Donges, Ulrike Feudel, and Ricarda Winkelmann
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-20,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-20, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Sep 2023
Diagnosing the AMOC slowdown in a coupled model: a cautionary tale
Justin Gérard and Michel Crucifix
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2001,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2001, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Sep 2023
Weather persistence on sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales: a methodological review
Alexandre Tuel and Olivia Martius
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 955–987, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-955-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-955-2023, 2023
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08 Sep 2023
A 20-year satellite-reanalysis-based climatology of extreme precipitation characteristics over the Sinai Peninsula
Mohsen Soltani, Bert Hamelers, Abbas Mofidi, Christopher G. Fletcher, Arie Staal, Stefan C. Dekker, Patrick Laux, Joel Arnault, Harald Kunstmann, Ties van der Hoeven, and Maarten Lanters
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 931–953, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-931-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-931-2023, 2023
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08 Sep 2023
Carbon fluxes in spring wheat agroecosystem in India
Kangari Narender Reddy, Shilpa Gahlot, Somnath Baidya Roy, Gudimetla Venkateswara Varma, Vinay Kumar Sehgal, and Gayatri Vangala
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 915–930, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-915-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-915-2023, 2023
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08 Sep 2023
Consistent but more intense atmospheric circulation response to Arctic sea ice loss in CMIP6 experiments compared to PAMIP experiments
Steve Delhaye, Rym Msadek, Thierry Fichefet, François Massonnet, and Laurent Terray
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1748,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1748, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Sep 2023
Impacts of anthropogenic water regulation on global riverine dissolved organic carbon transport
Yanbin You, Zhenghui Xie, Binghao Jia, Yan Wang, Longhuan Wang, Ruichao Li, Heng Yan, Yuhang Tian, and Si Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 897–914, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-897-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-897-2023, 2023
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04 Sep 2023
Negative Social Tipping Dynamics Resulting from and Reinforcing Earth System Destabilisation
Viktoria Spaiser, Sirkku Juhola, Sara M. Constantino, Weisi Guo, Tabitha Watson, Jana Sillmann, Alessandro Craparo, Ashleigh Basel, John T. Bruun, Krishna Krishnamurthy, Jürgen Scheffran, Patricia Pinho, Uche T. Okpara, Jonathan F. Donges, Avit Bhowmik, Taha Yasseri, Ricardo Safra de Campos, Graeme S. Cumming, Hugues Chenet, Florian Krampe, and Jesse F. Abrams
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1475,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1475, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Sep 2023
Driving sustainability transitions through financial tipping points
Nadia Ameli, Hugues Chenet, Max Falkenberg, Sumit Kothari, Jamie Rickman, and Francesco Lamperti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1750,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1750, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Sep 2023
Missing the (Tipping) Point: The Role of Climate Tipping Points on Public Risk Perceptions in Norway
Christina Nadeau, Manjana Milkoreit, Thomas Hylland Eriksen, and Dag Olav Hessen
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-23,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-23, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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04 Sep 2023
Physiological and ecological tipping points caused by ocean acidification
Christopher Cornwall, Steeve Comeau, and Ben Harvey
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-24,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-24, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Sep 2023
Tipping cascades between conflict and cooperation in climate change
Jürgen Scheffran, Weisi Guo, Florian Krampe, and Uche Okpara
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1766,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1766, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Sep 2023
Intensified future heat extremes linked with increasing ecosystem water limitation
Jasper M.C. Denissen, Adriaan J. Teuling, Sujan Koirala, Markus Reichstein, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Martha M. Vogel, Xin Yu, and Rene Orth
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1925,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1925, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 Aug 2023
Working at the limit: a review of thermodynamics and optimality of the Earth system
Axel Kleidon
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 861–896, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-861-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-861-2023, 2023
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30 Aug 2023
Regionally optimized fire parameterizations using feed-forward neural networks
Yoo-Geun Ham, Seon-Ho Nam, and Jin-Soo Kim
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-26,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-26, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Aug 2023
The global impact of the transport sectors on the atmospheric aerosol and the resulting climate effects under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)
Mattia Righi, Johannes Hendricks, and Sabine Brinkop
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 835–859, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-835-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-835-2023, 2023
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21 Aug 2023
Scaling Artificial Heat Islands to Enhance Precipitation in Arid Regions
Oliver Branch, Lisa Jach, Thomas Schwitalla, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, and Volker Wulfmeyer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1771,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1771, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Aug 2023
Understanding pattern scaling errors across a range of emissions pathways
Christopher D. Wells, Lawrence S. Jackson, Amanda C. Maycock, and Piers M. Forster
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 817–834, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-817-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-817-2023, 2023
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16 Aug 2023
Role of mean and variability change in changes in European annual and seasonal extreme precipitation events
Raul R. Wood
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 797–816, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-797-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-797-2023, 2023
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14 Aug 2023
Evaluating nitrogen cycling in terrestrial biosphere models: a disconnect between the carbon and nitrogen cycles
Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Vivek K. Arora, Christian Seiler, Almut Arneth, Stefanie Falk, Atul K. Jain, Fortunat Joos, Daniel Kennedy, Jürgen Knauer, Stephen Sitch, Michael O'Sullivan, Naiqing Pan, Qing Sun, Hanqin Tian, Nicolas Vuichard, and Sönke Zaehle
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 767–795, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-767-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-767-2023, 2023
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09 Aug 2023
Multi-fold increase in rainforests tipping risk beyond 1.5–2 °C warming
Chandrakant Singh, Ruud van der Ent, Ingo Fetzer, and Lan Wang-Erlandsson
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1486,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1486, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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07 Aug 2023
Tipping Point Detection and Early-Warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems
Vasilis Dakos, Chris A. Boulton, Josh E. Buxton, Jesse F. Abrams, David I. Armstrong McKay, Sebastian Bathiany, Lana Blaschke, Niklas Boers, Daniel Dylewsky, Carlos López-Martínez, Isobel Parry, Paul Ritchie, Bregje van der Bolt, Larissa van der Laan, Els Weinans, and Sonia Kéfi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1773,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1773, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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04 Aug 2023
The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence
Emma Holmberg, Gabriele Messori, Rodrigo Caballero, and Davide Faranda
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 737–765, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-737-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-737-2023, 2023
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04 Aug 2023
ESD Ideas: A 6-year oscillation in the whole Earth system?
Anny Cazenave, Julia Pfeffer, Mioara Mandea, and Veronique Dehant
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 733–735, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-733-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-733-2023, 2023
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04 Aug 2023
Lake ecosystem tipping points and climate feedbacks
Dag Olav Hessen, Tom Andersen, David Armstrong McKay, Sarian Kosten, Mariana Meerhoff, Amy Pickard, and Bryan Spears
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-22,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-22, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Aug 2023
Social tipping dynamics in the energy system
Floor Alkemade, Bart de Bruin, Amira El-Feiaz, Francesco Pasimeni, Leila Niamir, and Robert Wade
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-25,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-25, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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01 Aug 2023
Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: A review
Nico Wunderling, Anna von der Heydt, Yevgeny Aksenov, Stephen Barker, Robbin Bastiaansen, Victor Brovkin, Maura Brunetti, Victor Couplet, Thomas Kleinen, Caroline H. Lear, Johannes Lohmann, Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta, Sacha Sinet, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, Pallavi Anand, Jonathan Barichivich, Sebastian Bathiany, Mara Baudena, John T. Bruun, Christiano M. Chiessi, Helen K. Coxall, David Docquier, Jonathan F. Donges, Swinda K. J. Falkena, Ann Kristin Klose, David Obura, Juan Rocha, Stefanie Rynders, Norman Julius Steinert, and Matteo Willeit
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1576,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1576, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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01 Aug 2023
Enabling a political tipping point for rapid decarbonisation in the United Kingdom
Steven R. Smith
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1674,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1674, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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