Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with ESD-related topics, the recent preprints posted in ESD’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in ESD.
10 Dec 2024
Potential effect of the marine carbon cycle on the multiple equilibria window of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Amber A. Boot, Anna S. von der Heydt, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1567–1590, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1567-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1567-2024, 2024
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09 Dec 2024
The State of Global Catastrophic Risk Research: A Bibliometric Review
Florian Ulrich Jehn, John-Oliver Engler, Constantin W. Arnscheidt, Magdalena Wache, Ekaterina Ilin, Laura Cook, Lalitha S. Sundaram, Frederic Hanusch, and Luke Kemp
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.31223/X52X4V,https://doi.org/10.31223/X52X4V, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Dec 2024
100-kyr ice age cycles as a timescale matching problem
Takahito Mitsui, Peter Ditlevsen, Niklas Boers, and Michel Crucifix
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-39,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-39, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Dec 2024
Multi-fold increase in rainforest tipping risk beyond 1.5–2 °C warming
Chandrakant Singh, Ruud van der Ent, Ingo Fetzer, and Lan Wang-Erlandsson
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1543–1565, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1543-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1543-2024, 2024
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02 Dec 2024
Effect of horizontal resolution in North Atlantic mixing and ocean circulation in the EC-Earth3P HighResMIP simulations
Eneko Martin-Martinez, Amanda Frigola, Eduardo Moreno-Chamarro, Daria Kuznetsova, Saskia Loosveldt-Tomas, Margarida Samsó Cabré, Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière, and Pablo Ortega
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3625,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3625, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Dec 2024
Inconclusive Early warning signals for Dansgaard-Oeschger events across Greenland ice cores
Clara Hummel, Niklas Boers, and Martin Rypdal
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3567,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3567, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Nov 2024
Future changes in runoff over western and central Europe: disentangling the hydrological behavior of CMIP6 models
Juliette Deman and Julien Boé
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3225,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3225, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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28 Nov 2024
Early warnings of the transition to a superrotating atmospheric state
Mark S. Williamson and Timothy M. Lenton
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1483–1508, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1483-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1483-2024, 2024
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28 Nov 2024
| Highlight paper
Cross-scale causal information flow from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China
Yasir Latif, Kaiyu Fan, Geli Wang, and Milan Paluš
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1509–1526, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1509-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1509-2024, 2024
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28 Nov 2024
| ESD Letters
| Highlight paper
Modeling 2020 regulatory changes in international shipping emissions helps explain anomalous 2023 warming
Ilaria Quaglia and Daniele Visioni
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1527–1541, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1527-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1527-2024, 2024
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27 Nov 2024
Multi-centennial climate change in a warming world beyond 2100
Sun-Seon Lee, Sahil Sharma, Nan Rosenbloom, Keith B. Rodgers, Ji-Eun Kim, Eun Young Kwon, Christian L. E. Franzke, In-Won Kim, Mohanan Geethalekshmi Sreeush, and Karl Stein
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3377,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3377, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Nov 2024
Environmental drivers and remote sensing proxies of post-fire thaw depth in eastern Siberian larch forests
Lucas R. Diaz, Clement J. F. Delcourt, Moritz Langer, Michael M. Loranty, Brendan M. Rogers, Rebecca C. Scholten, Tatiana A. Shestakova, Anna C. Talucci, Jorien E. Vonk, Sonam Wangchuk, and Sander Veraverbeke
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1459–1482, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1459-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1459-2024, 2024
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19 Nov 2024
Intensity and dynamics of extreme cold spells of the 21st century in France from CMIP6 data
Camille Cadiou and Pascal Yiou
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3473,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3473, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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19 Nov 2024
Effects of Warming and Stratospheric Aerosol Injection on Tropical Cyclone Distribution and Frequency in a High-Resolution Global Circulation Model
Andrew Feder, David Randall, and Donald Dazlich
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3526,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3526, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Nov 2024
The aerosol pathway is crucial for observationally constraining climate sensitivity and anthropogenic forcing
Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie, Magne Aldrin, Terje K. Berntsen, Marit Holden, Ragnar Bang Huseby, Gunnar Myhre, and Trude Storelvmo
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1435–1458, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1435-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1435-2024, 2024
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12 Nov 2024
Generalized stability landscape of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
Matteo Willeit and Andrey Ganopolski
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1417–1434, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1417-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1417-2024, 2024
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08 Nov 2024
Extrapolation is not enough: impacts of extreme land use change on wind profiles and wind energy according to regional climate models
Jan Wohland, Peter Hoffmann, Daniela C. A. Lima, Marcus Breil, Olivier Asselin, and Diana Rechid
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1385–1400, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1385-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1385-2024, 2024
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08 Nov 2024
Dakar Niño under global warming investigated by a high-resolution regionally coupled model
Shunya Koseki, Rubén Vázquez, William Cabos, Claudia Gutiérrez, Dmitry V. Sein, and Marie-Lou Bachèlery
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1401–1416, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1401-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1401-2024, 2024
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30 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5
Andrew D. King, Tilo Ziehn, Matthew Chamberlain, Alexander R. Borowiak, Josephine R. Brown, Liam Cassidy, Andrea J. Dittus, Michael Grose, Nicola Maher, Seungmok Paik, Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, and Aditya Sengupta
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1353–1383, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024, 2024
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30 Oct 2024
Future changes in spatiotemporal precipitation patterns of the East Asian summer monsoon and associated uncertainty factors
Yeon-Hee Kim and Seung-Ki Min
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-34,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-34, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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29 Oct 2024
Food trade disruption after global catastrophes
Florian Jehn, Łukasz Gajewski, Johanna Hedlund, Constantin Arnscheidt, Lili Xia, Nico Wunderling, and David Denkenberger
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.31223/X5MQ4R,https://doi.org/10.31223/X5MQ4R, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Oct 2024
Nonlinear causal dependencies as a signature of the complexity of the climate dynamics
Stéphane Vannitsem, X. San Liang, and Carlos A. Pires
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3308,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3308, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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18 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy
Colin G. Jones, Fanny Adloff, Ben B. B. Booth, Peter M. Cox, Veronika Eyring, Pierre Friedlingstein, Katja Frieler, Helene T. Hewitt, Hazel A. Jeffery, Sylvie Joussaume, Torben Koenigk, Bryan N. Lawrence, Eleanor O'Rourke, Malcolm J. Roberts, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Samuel Somot, Pier Luigi Vidale, Detlef van Vuuren, Mario Acosta, Mats Bentsen, Raffaele Bernardello, Richard Betts, Ed Blockley, Julien Boé, Tom Bracegirdle, Pascale Braconnot, Victor Brovkin, Carlo Buontempo, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Markus Donat, Italo Epicoco, Pete Falloon, Sandro Fiore, Thomas Frölicher, Neven S. Fučkar, Matthew J. Gidden, Helge F. Goessling, Rune Grand Graversen, Silvio Gualdi, José M. Gutiérrez, Tatiana Ilyina, Daniela Jacob, Chris D. Jones, Martin Juckes, Elizabeth Kendon, Erik Kjellström, Reto Knutti, Jason Lowe, Matthew Mizielinski, Paola Nassisi, Michael Obersteiner, Pierre Regnier, Romain Roehrig, David Salas y Mélia, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Michael Schulz, Enrico Scoccimarro, Laurent Terray, Hannes Thiemann, Richard A. Wood, Shuting Yang, and Sönke Zaehle
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1319–1351, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024, 2024
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18 Oct 2024
Water vapour fluxes at a Mediterranean coastal site during the summer of 2021: observations, comparison with atmospheric reanalysis, and implications for extreme events
Fabio Madonna, Benedetto De Rosa, Simone Gagliardi, Ilaria Gandolfi, Yassmina Hesham Essa, Domenico Madonna, Fabrizio Marra, Maria Assunta Menniti, Donato Summa, Emanuele Tramutola, Faezeh Karimian Saracks, Filomena Romano, and Marco Rosoldi
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-32,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-32, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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15 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Uncertainty-informed selection of CMIP6 Earth system model subsets for use in multisectoral and impact models
Abigail Snyder, Noah Prime, Claudia Tebaldi, and Kalyn Dorheim
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1301–1318, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024, 2024
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15 Oct 2024
ESD Ideas: Climate tipping is not instantaneous – the duration of an overshoot matters
Paul David Longden Ritchie, Chris Huntingford, and Peter Cox
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3023,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3023, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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14 Oct 2024
Diagnosing Aerosol-Meteorological Interactions on Snow within the Earth System: A Proof-of-Concept Study over High Mountain Asia
Chayan Roychoudhury, Cenlin He, Rajesh Kumar, and Avelino F. Arellano Jr.
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2298,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2298, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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14 Oct 2024
A causality-based method for multi-model comparison: Application to relationships between atmospheric and marine biogeochemical variables
Germain Bénard, Marion Gehlen, and Mathieu Vrac
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-31,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-31, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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