The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with ESD-related topics, the recent preprints posted in ESD’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in ESD.
02 Oct 2024
Snowball Earth transitions from Last Glacial Maximum conditions provide an independent upper limit on Earth’s climate sensitivity
Martin Renoult, Navjit Sagoo, Johannes Hörner, and Thorsten Mauritsen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2981,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2981, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 Sep 2024
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics
Liqing Peng, Justin Sheffield, Zhongwang Wei, Michael Ek, and Eric F. Wood
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1277–1300, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1277-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1277-2024, 2024
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27 Sep 2024
Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO2 uptake
Raffaele Bernardello, Valentina Sicardi, Vladimir Lapin, Pablo Ortega, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Etienne Tourigny, and Eric Ferrer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1255–1275, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024, 2024
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23 Sep 2024
The visible and hidden climatic effects on Earth's denudation
Ivan Vergara, Fernanda Santibañez, René Garreaud, and Germán Aguilar
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-27,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-27, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Sep 2024
Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social-ecological multi-layer network model
Max Bechthold, Wolfram Barfuss, André Butz, Jannes Breier, Sara M. Constantino, Jobst Heitzig, Luana Schwarz, Sanam N. Vardag, and Jonathan F. Donges
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Sep 2024
Projected changes in land carbon store over the 21st century: what contributions from land use change and atmospheric nitrogen deposition?
Jaime A. Riano Sanchez, Nicolas Vuichard, and Philippe Peylin
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1227–1253, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1227-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1227-2024, 2024
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12 Sep 2024
| ESD Letters
Climatology and trends of concurrent temperature extremes in the global extratropics
Gabriele Messori, Antonio Segalini, and Alexandre M. Ramos
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1207–1225, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1207-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1207-2024, 2024
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10 Sep 2024
Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization
Viktoria Spaiser, Sirkku Juhola, Sara M. Constantino, Weisi Guo, Tabitha Watson, Jana Sillmann, Alessandro Craparo, Ashleigh Basel, John T. Bruun, Krishna Krishnamurthy, Jürgen Scheffran, Patricia Pinho, Uche T. Okpara, Jonathan F. Donges, Avit Bhowmik, Taha Yasseri, Ricardo Safra de Campos, Graeme S. Cumming, Hugues Chenet, Florian Krampe, Jesse F. Abrams, James G. Dyke, Stefanie Rynders, Yevgeny Aksenov, and Bryan M. Spears
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1179–1206, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1179-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1179-2024, 2024
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06 Sep 2024
Potential for Equation Discovery with AI in the Climate Sciences
Chris Huntingford, Andrew J. Nicoll, Cornelia Klein, and Jawairia A. Ahmad
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-30,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-30, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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06 Sep 2024
Constraining uncertainty in projected precipitation over land with causal discovery
Kevin Debeire, Lisa Bock, Peer Nowack, Jakob Runge, and Veronika Eyring
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2656,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2656, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Sep 2024
Change in negative emission burden between an overshoot versus peak-shaved Stratospheric Aerosol Injections pathway
Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, and Laurent Terray
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2344,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2344, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Sep 2024
Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes
Yigit Uckan, Melissa Ruiz-Vásquez, Kelley De Polt, and René Orth
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2540,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2540, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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28 Aug 2024
Estimating lateral nitrogen transfer through the global river network using a land surface model
Minna Ma, Haicheng Zhang, Ronny Lauerwald, Philippe Ciais, and Pierre Regnier
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-29,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-29, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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27 Aug 2024
Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6
Amali A. Amali, Clemens Schwingshackl, Akihiko Ito, Alina Barbu, Christine Delire, Daniele Peano, David M. Lawrence, David Wårlind, Eddy Robertson, Edouard L. Davin, Elena Shevliakova, Ian N. Harman, Nicolas Vuichard, Paul A. Miller, Peter J. Lawrence, Tilo Ziehn, Tomohiro Hajima, Victor Brovkin, Yanwu Zhang, Vivek K. Arora, and Julia Pongratz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2460,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2460, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Aug 2024
Storylines of summer Arctic climate change constrained by Barents–Kara seas and Arctic tropospheric warming for climate risk assessment
Xavier J. Levine, Ryan S. Williams, Gareth Marshall, Andrew Orr, Lise Seland Graff, Dörthe Handorf, Alexey Karpechko, Raphael Köhler, René R. Wijngaard, Nadine Johnston, Hanna Lee, Lars Nieradzik, and Priscilla A. Mooney
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1161–1177, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1161-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1161-2024, 2024
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26 Aug 2024
| Highlight paper
Cautionary remarks on the planetary boundary visualisation
Miguel D. Mahecha, Guido Kraemer, and Fabio Crameri
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1153–1159, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1153-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1153-2024, 2024
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22 Aug 2024
Consistent increase in East Asian Summer Monsoon rainfall and its variability under climate change over China in CMIP6
Anja Katzenberger and Anders Levermann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1137–1151, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1137-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1137-2024, 2024
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22 Aug 2024
Impact of Greenland Ice Sheet Disintegration on Atmosphere and Ocean Disentangled
Malena Andernach, Marie-Luise Kapsch, and Uwe Mikolajewicz
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-24,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-24, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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19 Aug 2024
| Highlight paper
Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems
Vasilis Dakos, Chris A. Boulton, Joshua E. Buxton, Jesse F. Abrams, Beatriz Arellano-Nava, David I. Armstrong McKay, Sebastian Bathiany, Lana Blaschke, Niklas Boers, Daniel Dylewsky, Carlos López-Martínez, Isobel Parry, Paul Ritchie, Bregje van der Bolt, Larissa van der Laan, Els Weinans, and Sonia Kéfi
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1117–1135, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1117-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1117-2024, 2024
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19 Aug 2024
Future land-use pattern projections and their differences within the ISIMIP3b framework
Edna Johanna Molina Bacca, Miodrag Stevanović, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jonathan C. Doelman, Louise Parsons Chini, Jan Volkholz, Katja Frieler, Christopher Reyer, George Hurtt, Florian Humpenöder, Kristine Karstens, Jens Heinke, Christoph Müller, Jan Philipp Dietrich, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Elke Stehfest, and Alexander Popp
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2441,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2441, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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16 Aug 2024
Regionally optimized high-resolution input datasets enhance the representation of snow cover in CLM5
Johanna Teresa Malle, Giulia Mazzotti, Dirk Nikolaus Karger, and Tobias Jonas
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1073–1115, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1073-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1073-2024, 2024
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15 Aug 2024
Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways
Felix Jäger, Jonas Schwaab, Yann Quilcaille, Michael Windisch, Jonathan Doelman, Stefan Frank, Mykola Gusti, Petr Havlik, Florian Humpenöder, Andrey Lessa Derci Augustynczik, Christoph Müller, Kanishka Balu Narayan, Ryan Sebastian Padrón, Alexander Popp, Detlef van Vuuren, Michael Wögerer, and Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1055–1071, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1055-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1055-2024, 2024
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13 Aug 2024
Regional non-reversibility of mean and extreme climate conditions in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios linked to large-scale temperature asymmetries
Pedro José Roldán-Gómez, Paolo De Luca, Raffaele Bernardello, and Markus Donat
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-26,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-26, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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09 Aug 2024
Earth’s future climate and its variability simulated at 9 km global resolution
Ja-Yeon Moon, Jan Streffing, Sun-Seon Lee, Tido Semmler, Miguel Andrés-Martínez, Jiao Chen, Eun-Byeoul Cho, Jung-Eun Chu, Christian Franzke, Jan P. Gärtner, Rohit Ghosh, Jan Hegewald, Songyee Hong, Nikolay Koldunov, June-Yi Lee, Zihao Lin, Chao Liu, Svetlana Loza, Wonsun Park, Woncheol Roh, Dmitry V. Sein, Sahil Sharma, Dmitry Sidorenko, Jun-Hyeok Son, Malte F. Stuecker, Qiang Wang, Gyuseok Yi, Martina Zapponini, Thomas Jung, and Axel Timmermann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2491,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2491, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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08 Aug 2024
Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate
Arthur Merlijn Oldeman, Michiel L. J. Baatsen, Anna S. von der Heydt, Frank M. Selten, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1037–1054, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1037-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1037-2024, 2024
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06 Aug 2024
Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models
Saloua Peatier, Benjamin M. Sanderson, and Laurent Terray
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 987–1014, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-987-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-987-2024, 2024
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06 Aug 2024
Contrasting responses of vegetation productivity to intraseasonal rainfall in Earth system models
Bethan L. Harris, Tristan Quaife, Christopher M. Taylor, and Phil P. Harris
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1019–1035, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1019-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1019-2024, 2024
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06 Aug 2024
| ESD Letters
| Highlight paper
Absence of causality between seismic activity and global warming
Mikhail Y. Verbitsky, Michael E. Mann, and Dmitry Volobuev
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1015–1017, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1015-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1015-2024, 2024
Short summary Chief editor
06 Aug 2024
Observation based temperature and freshwater noise over the Atlantic Ocean
Amber A. Boot and Henk A. Dijkstra
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2431,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2431, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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05 Aug 2024
Remote carbon cycle changes are overlooked impacts of land-cover and land management changes
Suqi Guo, Felix Havermann, Steven J. De Hertog, Fei Luo, Iris Manola, Thomas Raddatz, Hongmei Li, Wim Thiery, Quentin Lejeune, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, David Wårlind, Lars Nieradzik, and Julia Pongratz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2387,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2387, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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