Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
European climate change at global mean temperature increases of 1.5 and 2 °C above pre-industrial conditions as simulated by the EURO-CORDEX regional climate models
Rossby Centre, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), 601 76 Norrköping, Sweden
Department of Meteorology (MISU), Stockholm University, 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden
Grigory Nikulin
Rossby Centre, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), 601 76 Norrköping, Sweden
Gustav Strandberg
Rossby Centre, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), 601 76 Norrköping, Sweden
Ole Bøssing Christensen
Danish Climate Centre, Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI), Copenhagen, Denmark
Daniela Jacob
Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Hamburg, Germany
Klaus Keuler
Environmental Meteorology, Brandenburg University of Technology, Cottbus, Germany
Geert Lenderink
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Erik Meijgaard
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Christoph Schär
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, Universitätstrasse 16, 8092 Zürich, Switzerland
Samuel Somot
CNRM UMR 3589, Météo-France/CNRS, Toulouse, France
Silje Lund Sørland
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, Universitätstrasse 16, 8092 Zürich, Switzerland
Claas Teichmann
Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Hamburg, Germany
Robert Vautard
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, IPSL, CEA/CNRS//UVSQ, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
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Latest update: 23 Mar 2023
Short summary
Based on high-resolution regional climate models we investigate European climate change at 1.5 and 2 °C of global warming compared to pre-industrial levels. Considerable near-surface warming exceeding that of the global mean is found for most of Europe, already at the lower 1.5 °C of warming level. Changes in precipitation and near-surface wind speed are identified. The 1.5 °C of warming level shows significantly less change compared to the 2 °C level, indicating the importance of mitigation.
Based on high-resolution regional climate models we investigate European climate change at 1.5...
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