Articles | Volume 7, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 327–351, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-327-2016
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 327–351, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-327-2016
Research article
21 Apr 2016
Research article | 21 Apr 2016

Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C

Carl-Friedrich Schleussner et al.

Related authors

The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models
Steven J. De Hertog, Felix Havermann, Inne Vanderkelen, Suqi Guo, Fei Luo, Iris Manola, Dim Coumou, Edouard L. Davin, Gregory Duveiller, Quentin Lejeune, Julia Pongratz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia I. Seneviratne, and Wim Thiery
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1305–1350, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1305-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1305-2022, 2022
Short summary
Deploying Solar Radiation Modification to limit warming under a current climate policy scenario results in a multi-century commitment
Susanne Baur, Alexander Nauels, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-17,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-17, 2022
Revised manuscript has not been submitted
Short summary
MESMER-M: an Earth system model emulator for spatially resolved monthly temperature
Shruti Nath, Quentin Lejeune, Lea Beusch, Sonia I. Seneviratne, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 851–877, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-851-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-851-2022, 2022
Short summary
Extreme Atlantic hurricane seasons made twice as likely by ocean warming
Peter Pfleiderer, Shruti Nath, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Weather Clim. Dynam., 3, 471–482, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-471-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-471-2022, 2022
Short summary
Incremental improvements of 2030 targets insufficient to achieve the Paris Agreement goals
Andreas Geiges, Alexander Nauels, Paola Yanguas Parra, Marina Andrijevic, William Hare, Peter Pfleiderer, Michiel Schaeffer, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 697–708, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-697-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-697-2020, 2020
Short summary

Related subject area

Earth system change: climate scenarios
Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and project changes in ENSO events
Nicola Maher, Thibault P. Tabarin, and Sebastian Milinski
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1289–1304, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1289-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1289-2022, 2022
Short summary
Impact of an acceleration of ice sheet melting on monsoon systems
Alizée Chemison, Dimitri Defrance, Gilles Ramstein, and Cyril Caminade
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1259–1287, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1259-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1259-2022, 2022
Short summary
Indices of extremes: geographic patterns of change in extremes and associated vegetation impacts under climate intervention
Mari R. Tye, Katherine Dagon, Maria J. Molina, Jadwiga H. Richter, Daniele Visioni, Ben Kravitz, and Simone Tilmes
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1233–1257, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1233-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1233-2022, 2022
Short summary
Present and future synoptic circulation patterns associated with cold and snowy spells over Italy
Miriam D'Errico, Flavio Pons, Pascal Yiou, Soulivanh Tao, Cesare Nardini, Frank Lunkeit, and Davide Faranda
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 961–992, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-961-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-961-2022, 2022
Short summary
Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios
Charles D. Koven, Vivek K. Arora, Patricia Cadule, Rosie A. Fisher, Chris D. Jones, David M. Lawrence, Jared Lewis, Keith Lindsay, Sabine Mathesius, Malte Meinshausen, Michael Mills, Zebedee Nicholls, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Neil C. Swart, William R. Wieder, and Kirsten Zickfeld
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 885–909, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-885-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-885-2022, 2022
Short summary

Cited articles

Ault, T. R., Cole, J. E., Overpeck, J. T., Pederson, G. T., and Meko, D. M.: Assessing the risk of persistent drought using climate model simulations and paleoclimate data, J. Climate, 27, 7529–7549, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00282.1, 2014.
Baker, A. C., Glynn, P. W., and Riegl, B.: Climate change and coral reef bleaching: An ecological assessment of long-term impacts, recovery trends and future outlook, Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci., 435–471, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1408-y, 2012.
Bodirsky, B. L. and Müller, C.: Robust relationship between yields and nitrogen inputs indicates three ways to reduce nitrogen pollution, Environ. Res. Lett., 9, 111005, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/11/111005, 2014.
Download

The requested paper has a corresponding corrigendum published. Please read the corrigendum first before downloading the article.

Short summary
We present for the first time a comprehensive assessment of key climate impacts for the policy relevant warming levels of 1.5 °C and 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. We report substantial impact differences in intensity and frequency of extreme weather events, regional water availability and agricultural yields, sea-level rise and risk of coral reef loss. The increase in climate impacts is particularly pronounced in tropical and sub-tropical regions.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint