Articles | Volume 12, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 367–386, 2021
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 367–386, 2021

Research article 14 Apr 2021

Research article | 14 Apr 2021

Robust increase of Indian monsoon rainfall and its variability under future warming in CMIP6 models

Anja Katzenberger et al.

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Cited articles

Acharya, P. and Sreekesh, S.: Seasonal variability in aerosol optical depth over India: a spatio-temporal analysis using the MODIS aerosol product, Int. J. Remote Sens., 34, 4832–4849,, 2013. a
Allan, R., Barlow, M., Byrne, M. P., Cherchi, A., Douville, H., Fowler, H. J., Gan, T. Y., Pendergrass, A. G., Rosenfeld, D., Swann, A. L., Wilcox, L. J., and Zolina, O.: Advances in understanding large-scale responses of the water cycle to climate change, Ann. NY. Acad. Sci., 1472, 1–27,, 2020. a
Asharaf, S. and Ahrens, B.: Indian summer monsoon rainfall processes in climate change scenarios, J. Climate, 28, 5414–5429,, 2015. a
Ashfaq, M., Rastogi, D., Mei, R., Touma, D., and Leung, L. R.: Sources of errors in the simulation of south Asian summer monsoon in the CMIP5 GCMs, Clim. Dynam., 49, 193–223,, 2017. a
Azad, S. and Rajeevan, M.: Possible shift in the ENSO-Indian monsoon rainfall relationship under future global warming, Scient. Rep., 6, 20145,, 2016. a
Short summary
All state-of-the-art global climate models that contributed to the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) show a robust increase in Indian summer monsoon rainfall that is even stronger than in the previous intercomparison (CMIP5). Furthermore, they show an increase in the year-to-year variability of this seasonal rainfall that crucially influences the livelihood of more than 1 billion people in India.
Final-revised paper