Articles | Volume 12, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-367-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-367-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Robust increase of Indian monsoon rainfall and its variability under future warming in CMIP6 models
Anja Katzenberger
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilian University, Munich, Germany
Jacob Schewe
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
Julia Pongratz
Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilian University, Munich, Germany
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Anders Levermann
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
LDEO, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
Institute of Physics and Astronomy, Potsdam University, Potsdam, Germany
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- South Asian Summer Monsoon under stratospheric aerosol intervention A. Asutosh et al.
- Carbonate sediment dynamics in oceanic atoll lagoons of Lakshadweep Archipelago S. Menon et al.
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- Compounding effects of urbanization, climate change and sea-level rise on monetary projections of flood damage I. Pariartha et al.
- When Eastern India Oscillated Between Desert Versus Savannah‐Dominated Vegetation C. Zorzi et al.
- Investigating the impact of climate change on irrigation and crop water requirements of Bhadra and Tungabhadra command area: A CMIP-6 GCMs and CROPWAT 8.0 approach G. Rudraswamy & N. Umamahesh
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- Tropical Pacific Modulation of the Asian Summer Monsoon Over the Last Millennium in Paleoclimate Data Assimilation Reconstructions J. Hu et al.
- Unraveling Intricacies of Monsoon Attributes in Homogenous Monsoon Regions of India A. Saini et al.
- Analysis of the evolutionary patterns and drivers of Capturability of Atmospheric Water (CAW) on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau H. Lu et al.
- A post-AR6 update on observed and projected climate change in India C. Dhara et al.
- Understanding the cause and effect relationship of debris slides in Papum Pare district, Arunachal Himalaya, India R. Das et al.
- Overview of climate change data on India and SAARC countries R. Chatterjee
- PDO and AMO Modulation of the ENSO–Asian Summer Monsoon Teleconnection During the Last Millennium N. Wang et al.
- Zonal expansion of global land monsoon domain under future changing climate from a probabilistic perspective Q. Hou et al.
- An assessment of the ENSO-monsoon teleconnection in a warming climate B. Goswami & S. An
- Robust circulation changes in the tropics under a warming climate: a topical review T. Thomas & G. Bala
- Climate Base State Influences on South Asian Monsoon Processes Derived From Analyses of E3SMv2 and CESM2 G. Meehl et al.
- CMIP6-based assessment of flood and drought hazards in Tamil Nadu: multi-model evaluation and regional risk analysis under SSP2-4.5 A. S N et al.
- The imbalance of the Asian water tower T. Yao et al.
- Orbitally forced and internal changes in West African rainfall interannual-to-decadal variability for the last 6000 years J. Crétat et al.
- Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points D. Armstrong McKay et al.
- Streamflow drought onset and severity explained by non‐linear responses between climate‐catchment and land surface processes A. Raut et al.
- The Yangtze River Delta experienced strong seasonality and regular summer upwelling during the warm mid-Holocene M. Alberti et al.
- Global multi-model trends of unsustainable irrigation under climate change scenarios A. Citrini et al.
- Forest-savanna stability in India under human interventions and changing climate N. Dubey et al.
- Past and future climate variability analysis in bhutan P. Rinzin et al.
- Spatiotemporal assessment of extreme rainfall events in the Wainganga river basin using CMIP6 climate models G. Rajkumar et al.
- Projection of mean and extreme precipitation and air temperature over India: a CMIP6 analysis P. Kushwaha et al.
- Tropical and mid-latitude causal drivers of the eastern Mediterranean Etesians during boreal summer G. Di Capua et al.
- NOx‐Induced Changes in Upper Tropospheric O3 During the Asian Summer Monsoon in Present‐Day and Future Climate C. Roy et al.
- Nonmonotonic Elevational Patterns of Soil CO2 Flux Driven by Temperature Dominance and Moisture Thresholds in the Sejila Mountains, Tibetan Plateau Q. Meng et al.
- Future changes of summer monsoon rainfall and temperature over Bangladesh using 27 CMIP6 models A. Bhattacharjee et al.
- Mortality impacts of rainfall and sea-level rise in a developing megacity T. Bearpark et al.
- Scenario-driven data fusion for compound coastal flood risk and exposure assessment using night-time lights in Jeddah M. Rahman et al.
- Footprints of meteorology and air pollution on rice yield variation in the North Indian Plain; implications of future climate change scenarios A. Sarkar et al.
- Long-Range Forecasts as Climate Adaptation: Experimental Evidence from Developing-Country Agriculture F. Burlig et al.
- Future changes in bias-corrected CMIP6 earth system model’s air temperature and precipitation over the Indian Ocean Region P. Ghoshal et al.
- Bias-corrected CMIP6 projections indicate anomalous SST warming along India’s west coast D. Joseph et al.
- Mid-Piacenzian and future changes in South Asian precipitation under global warming X. Zhou & C. Liu
- Greenhouse warming-induced changes in Indian summer monsoon-ENSO teleconnections as modulated by the North Tropical Atlantic A. Aswale et al.
- An approach for analyzing unpredicted heat and precipitation events using spatiotemporal big data: A case study of Indian Western coastal cities R. Patil & M. Surawar
- Shifted sediment-transport regimes by climate change and amplified hydrological variability in cryosphere-fed rivers T. Zhang et al.
- A strong influence of the precession and northern high latitudinal climate on the monsoon seasonality and productivity in the Andaman Sea R. Fathima et al.
- Future Projection of Drought Risk over Indian Meteorological Subdivisions Using Bias-Corrected CMIP6 Scenarios A. Soni et al.
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Latest update: 06 May 2026
Short summary
All state-of-the-art global climate models that contributed to the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) show a robust increase in Indian summer monsoon rainfall that is even stronger than in the previous intercomparison (CMIP5). Furthermore, they show an increase in the year-to-year variability of this seasonal rainfall that crucially influences the livelihood of more than 1 billion people in India.
All state-of-the-art global climate models that contributed to the latest Coupled Model...
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