Articles | Volume 11, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1013-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1013-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
18 Nov 2020
Research article |
| 18 Nov 2020
| 18 Nov 2020
Comparing interannual variability in three regional single-model initial-condition large ensembles (SMILEs) over Europe
Fabian von Trentini
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, Munich,
80333, Germany
Emma E. Aalbers
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), P.O. Box 201, 3730 AE
De Bilt, the Netherlands
Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit,
Amsterdam, 1081 HV, the Netherlands
Erich M. Fischer
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich,
8092, Switzerland
Ralf Ludwig
Department of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, Munich,
80333, Germany
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Short summary
We compare the inter-annual variability of three single-model initial-condition large ensembles (SMILEs), downscaled with three regional climate models over Europe for seasonal temperature and precipitation, the number of heatwaves, and maximum length of dry periods. They all show good consistency with observational data. The magnitude of variability and the future development are similar in many cases. In general, variability increases for summer indicators and decreases for winter indicators.
We compare the inter-annual variability of three single-model initial-condition large ensembles...
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