Articles | Volume 12, issue 4
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1061–1098, 2021
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1061–1098, 2021

Research article 02 Nov 2021

Research article | 02 Nov 2021

Climate change in the High Mountain Asia in CMIP6

Mickaël Lalande et al.

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Cited articles

Adler, R., Wang, J.-J., Sapiano, M., Huffman, G., Chiu, L., Xie, P. P., Ferraro, R., Schneider, U., Becker, A., Bolvin, D., Nelkin, E., Gu, G., and CDR, P. N.: Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Climate Data Record (CDR), Version 2.3 (Monthly),, 2016. a, b
Adler, R., Sapiano, M., Huffman, G., Wang, J.-J., Gu, G., Bolvin, D., Chiu, L., Schneider, U., Becker, A., Nelkin, E., Xie, P., Ferraro, R., and Shin, D.-B.: The Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Monthly Analysis (New Version 2.3) and a Review of 2017 Global Precipitation, Atmosphere, 9, 138,, 2018. a
APHRODITE's Water Resources: Download, available at:, last access: 14 June 2021. a
Bao, Y. and You, Q.: How do westerly jet streams regulate the winter snow depth over the Tibetan Plateau?, Clim. Dynam., 53, 353–370,, 2019. a
Bengtsson, L.: Can climate trends be calculated from reanalysis data?, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D11111,, 2004. a
Short summary
Climate change over High Mountain Asia is investigated with CMIP6 climate models. A general cold bias is found in this area, often related to a snow cover overestimation in the models. Ensemble experiments generally encompass the past observed trends, suggesting that even biased models can reproduce the trends. Depending on the future scenario, a warming from 1.9 to 6.5 °C, associated with a snow cover decrease and precipitation increase, is expected at the end of the 21st century.
Final-revised paper