Articles | Volume 12, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1061-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1061-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Climate change in the High Mountain Asia in CMIP6
Mickaël Lalande
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, G-INP, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Martin Ménégoz
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, G-INP, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Gerhard Krinner
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, G-INP, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Kathrin Naegeli
Institute of Geography and Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland
Stefan Wunderle
Institute of Geography and Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland
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- Historical Evolution and Future Trends of Precipitation Based on Integrated Datasets and Model Simulations of Arid Central Asia B. Xie et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15235460
- Brief communication: An ice-debris avalanche in the Nupchu Valley, Kanchenjunga Conservation Area, eastern Nepal A. Byers et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-711-2024
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- Analysis of drought and extreme precipitation events in Thailand: trends, climate modeling, and implications for climate change adaptation J. de Oliveira-Júnior et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-86826-x
- Exploring the ability of the variable-resolution Community Earth System Model to simulate cryospheric–hydrological variables in High Mountain Asia R. Wijngaard et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3803-2023
- Upstream hydrology and the importance of snowmelt in buffering droughts in the Karnali basin in Nepal P. Pokhrel et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2025.1720178
- Name and scale matter: Clarifying the geography of Tibetan Plateau and adjacent mountain regions J. Liu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2022.103893
- Revealing four decades of snow cover dynamics in the Hindu Kush Himalaya K. Naegeli et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-17575-4
- Improving climate model skill over High Mountain Asia by adapting snow cover parameterization to complex-topography areas M. Lalande et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5095-2023
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- Changes in historical and future precipitation patterns across the contiguous United States R. Sharif et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2025.1542536
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Latest update: 28 May 2026
Short summary
Climate change over High Mountain Asia is investigated with CMIP6 climate models. A general cold bias is found in this area, often related to a snow cover overestimation in the models. Ensemble experiments generally encompass the past observed trends, suggesting that even biased models can reproduce the trends. Depending on the future scenario, a warming from 1.9 to 6.5 °C, associated with a snow cover decrease and precipitation increase, is expected at the end of the 21st century.
Climate change over High Mountain Asia is investigated with CMIP6 climate models. A general cold...
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