Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 507–523, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-507-2018

Special issue: Social dynamics and planetary boundaries in Earth system...

Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 507–523, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-507-2018

Research article 17 May 2018

Research article | 17 May 2018

Analytically tractable climate–carbon cycle feedbacks under 21st century anthropogenic forcing

Steven J. Lade et al.

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Revised manuscript accepted for ESD

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Cited articles

Alexandrov, G., Oikawa, T., and Yamagata, Y.: Climate dependence of the CO2 fertilization effect on terrestrial net primary production, Tellus B, 55, 669–675, 2003.
Anderies, J. M.: Minimal models and agroecological policy at the regional scale: an application to salinity problems in southeastern Australia, Reg. Environ. Change, 5, 1–17, 2005.
Anderies, J. M., Carpenter, S. R., Steffen, W., and Rockström, J.: The topology of non-linear global carbon dynamics: from tipping points to planetary boundaries, Environ. Res. Lett., 8, 044048, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/044048, 2013.
Bacastow, R., Keeling, C. D., Woodwell, G., and Pecan, E.: Atmospheric carbon dioxide and radiocarbon in the natural carbon cycle, II. Changes from AD 1700 to 2070 as deduced from a geochemical model, Tech. rep., Univ. of California, San Diego, La Jolla; Brookhaven National Lab., Upton, NY, USA, 1973.
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Around half of the carbon that humans emit into the atmosphere each year is taken up on land (by trees) and in the ocean (by absorption). We construct a simple model of carbon uptake that, unlike the complex models that are usually used, can be analysed mathematically. Our results include that changes in atmospheric carbon may affect future carbon uptake more than changes in climate. Our simple model could also study mechanisms that are currently too uncertain for complex models.
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