Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-507-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-507-2018
Research article
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17 May 2018
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 17 May 2018

Analytically tractable climate–carbon cycle feedbacks under 21st century anthropogenic forcing

Steven J. Lade, Jonathan F. Donges, Ingo Fetzer, John M. Anderies, Christian Beer, Sarah E. Cornell, Thomas Gasser, Jon Norberg, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström, and Will Steffen

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Short summary
Around half of the carbon that humans emit into the atmosphere each year is taken up on land (by trees) and in the ocean (by absorption). We construct a simple model of carbon uptake that, unlike the complex models that are usually used, can be analysed mathematically. Our results include that changes in atmospheric carbon may affect future carbon uptake more than changes in climate. Our simple model could also study mechanisms that are currently too uncertain for complex models.
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