Articles | Volume 12, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-211-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-211-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
23 Feb 2021
Research article |
| 23 Feb 2021
| 23 Feb 2021
How modelling paradigms affect simulated future land use change
Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric
Environmental Research (IMK-IFU), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Kreuzeckbahnstraße 19, 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
Ian Holman
School of Water, Energy and Environment, Cranfield University, Vincent Building, Bedford MK43 0AL, UK
Mark Rounsevell
Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric
Environmental Research (IMK-IFU), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Kreuzeckbahnstraße 19, 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
School of Geosciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9XP, UK
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Short summary
The variety of human and natural processes in the land system can be modelled in many different ways. However, little is known about how and why basic model assumptions affect model results. We compared two models that represent land use in completely distinct ways and found several results that differed greatly. We identify the main assumptions that caused these differences and therefore key issues that need to be addressed for more robust model development.
The variety of human and natural processes in the land system can be modelled in many different...
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