Articles | Volume 9, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 187–195, 2018

Special issue: The Earth system at a global warming of 1.5°C and 2.0°C

Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 187–195, 2018
Research article
28 Feb 2018
Research article | 28 Feb 2018

Changes in tropical cyclones under stabilized 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming scenarios as simulated by the Community Atmospheric Model under the HAPPI protocols

Michael F. Wehner et al.

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Cited articles

Bacmeister, J. T., Wehner, M. F., Neale, R. B., Gettelman, A., Hannay, C., Lauritzen, P. H., Caron, J. M., and Truesdale, J. E.: Exploratory High-Resolution Climate Simulations using the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM), J. Climate, 27, 3073–3099,, 2014.
Bacmeister, J. T., Reed, K. A., Hannay, C., Lawrence, P. J., Bates, S. C., Truesdale, J. E., Rosenbloom, N. A., and Levy, M. N.: Projected changes in tropical cyclone activity under future warming scenarios using a high-resolution climate model, Clim. Change, 146, 547–560,, 2018.
Camargo, S. J.: Global and Regional Aspects of Tropical Cyclone Activity in the CMIP5 Models, J. Climate, 26, 9880–9902,, 2013.
Chavas, D. R., Lin, N., and Emanuel, K.: A model for the complete radial structure of the tropical cyclone wind field. Part I: Comparison with observed structure, J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 3647–3662,, 2015.
Chavas, D. R., Reed, K. A., and Knaff, J. A.: Physical understanding of the tropical cyclone wind-pressure relationship, Nat. Comm., 8, 1–11,, 2017.
Short summary
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change invited the scientific community to explore the impacts of a world in which anthropogenic global warming is stabilized at only 1.5 °C above preindustrial average temperatures. We present a projection of future tropical cyclone statistics for both 1.5 and 2.0 °C stabilized warming scenarios using a high-resolution global climate model. We find more frequent and intense tropical cyclones, but a reduction in weaker storms.
Final-revised paper