Articles | Volume 12, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-857-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-857-2021
Research article
 | 
16 Aug 2021
Research article |  | 16 Aug 2021

Climate change projections of terrestrial primary productivity over the Hindu Kush Himalayan forests

Halima Usman, Thomas A. M. Pugh, Anders Ahlström, and Sofia Baig

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Cited articles

Ahlström, A., Schurgers, G., Arneth, A., and Smith, B.: Robustness and uncertainty in terrestrial ecosystem carbon response to CMIP5 climate change projections, Environ. Res. Lett., 7, 044008, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044008, 2012. 
Anav, A., Friedlingstein, P., Kidston, M., Bopp, L., Ciais, P., Cox, P., Jones, C., Jung, M., Myneni, R., and Zhu, Z.: Evaluating the land and ocean components of the global carbon cycle in the CMIP5 earth system models, J. Climate, 26, 6801–6843, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00417.1, 2013. 
Anderson-Teixeira, K. J., Miller, A. D., Mohan, J. E., Hudiburg, T. W., Duval, B. D., and DeLucia, E. H.: Altered dynamics of forest recovery under a changing climate, Glob. Change Biol., 19, 2001–2021, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12194, 2013. 
Ardö, J.: Comparison between remote sensing and a dynamic vegetation model for estimating terrestrial primary production of Africa, Carbon Balance and Management, 10, 8, https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-015-0018-5, 2015. 
Azhdari, Z., Rafeie Sardooi, E., Bazrafshan, O., Zamani, H., Singh, V. P., Mohseni Saravi, M., and Ramezani, M.: Impact of climate change on net primary production (NPP) in south Iran, Environ. Monit. Assess., 192, 1–16, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-020-08389-w, 2020. 
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Short summary
The study assesses the impacts of climate change on forest productivity in the Hindu Kush Himalayan region. LPJ-GUESS was simulated from 1851 to 2100. In first approach, the model was compared with observational estimates. The comparison showed a moderate agreement. In the second approach, the model was assessed for the temporal and spatial trends of net biome productivity and its components along with carbon pool. Increases in both variables were predicted in 2100.
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