Articles | Volume 12, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 439–456, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-439-2021

Special issue: Modelling inland waters in a changing climate (GMD/ESD/TC...

Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 439–456, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-439-2021

Research article 30 Apr 2021

Research article | 30 Apr 2021

The thermal response of small and shallow lakes to climate change: new insights from 3D hindcast modelling

Francesco Piccioni et al.

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Cited articles

Adrian, R., O'Reilly, C. M., Zagarese, H., Baines, S. B., Hessen, D. O., Keller, W., Livingstone, D. M., Sommaruga, R., Straile, D., Van Donk, E., Weyhenmeyer, G. A., and Winder, M.: Lakes as sentinels of climate change, Limnol. Oceanogr., 54, 2283–2297, https://doi.org/10.4319/lo.2009.54.6_part_2.2283, 2009. a
Alduchov, O. A. and Eskridge, R. E.: Improved Magnus' form approximation of saturation vapor pressure, Tech. Rep. DOE/ER/61011-T6, Department of Commerce, Asheville, NC, USA, https://doi.org/10.2172/548871, 1997. a
Aparicio Medrano, E., Uittenbogaard, R., Van de Wiel, B., Dionisio Pires, M., and Clercx, H.: An alternative explanation for cyanobacterial scum formation and persistence by oxygenic photosynthesis, Harmful Algae, 60, 27–35, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hal.2016.10.002, 2016. a
Austin, J. A. and Colman, S. M.: Lake Superior summer water temperatures are increasing more rapidly than regional air temperatures: A positive ice-albedo feedback, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L06604, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL029021, 2007. a
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Small lakes are ecosystems highly impacted by climate change. Here, the thermal regime of a small, shallow lake over the past six decades was reconstructed via 3D modelling. Significant changes were found: strong water warming in spring and summer (0.7 °C/decade) as well as increased stratification and thermal energy for cyanobacteria growth, especially in spring. The strong spatial patterns detected for stratification might create local conditions particularly favourable to cyanobacteria bloom.
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