Articles | Volume 12, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 439–456, 2021

Special issue: Modelling inland waters in a changing climate (GMD/ESD/TC...

Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 439–456, 2021

Research article 30 Apr 2021

Research article | 30 Apr 2021

The thermal response of small and shallow lakes to climate change: new insights from 3D hindcast modelling

Francesco Piccioni et al.

Data sets

Long-term (1960-2017) simulation of Lake Champs-sur-Marne with Delft3D-FLOW: model configuration and results F. Piccioni, C. Casenave, B. J. Lemaire, P. Le Moigne, P. Dubois, and B. Vinçon-Leite

Short summary
Small lakes are ecosystems highly impacted by climate change. Here, the thermal regime of a small, shallow lake over the past six decades was reconstructed via 3D modelling. Significant changes were found: strong water warming in spring and summer (0.7 °C/decade) as well as increased stratification and thermal energy for cyanobacteria growth, especially in spring. The strong spatial patterns detected for stratification might create local conditions particularly favourable to cyanobacteria bloom.
Final-revised paper