Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 267–280, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-267-2020

Special issue: Large Ensemble Climate Model Simulations: Exploring Natural...

Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 267–280, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-267-2020

Research article 12 Mar 2020

Research article | 12 Mar 2020

Investigating ENSO and its teleconnections under climate change in an ensemble view – a new perspective

Tímea Haszpra et al.

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Revised manuscript accepted for ESD
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Cited articles

Arnold, L.: Random Dynamical Systems, Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, 1998. a
Ashok, K., Behera, S. K., Rao, S. A., Weng, H., and Yamagata, T.: El Niño Modoki and its possible teleconnection, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 112, C11007, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JC003798, 2007. a, b
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Bittner, M., Schmidt, H., Timmreck, C., and Sienz, F.: Using a large ensemble of simulations to assess the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric dynamical response to tropical volcanic eruptions and its uncertainty, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 9324–9332, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070587, 2016. a
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We investigate the changes in the ENSO phenomenon and the alterations of its precipitation-related teleconnections in the CESM-LE. To avoid the disadvantages of the subjective choices of traditional temporal methods, we use an ensemble-based snapshot framework providing instantaneous quantities computed over the ensemble dimension of the simulation. We find that ENSO teleconnections undergo considerable changes, and the ENSO amplitude remarkably increases by 2100.
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