Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-267-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-267-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
12 Mar 2020
Research article |
| 12 Mar 2020
Investigating ENSO and its teleconnections under climate change in an ensemble view – a new perspective
Institute for Theoretical Physics, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary
MTA–ELTE Theoretical Physics Research Group, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary
Mátyás Herein
Institute for Theoretical Physics, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary
MTA–ELTE Theoretical Physics Research Group, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary
Tamás Bódai
Pusan National University, Busan, Republic of Korea
Center for Climate Physics, Institute for Basic Science, Busan, Republic of Korea
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29 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Origin, importance, and predictive limits of internal climate variability F. Lehner & C. Deser 10.1088/2752-5295/accf30
- Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability K. Rodgers et al. 10.5194/esd-12-1393-2021
- Characterizing chaos in systems subjected to parameter drift D. Jánosi & T. Tél 10.1103/PhysRevE.105.L062202
- How large does a large ensemble need to be? S. Milinski et al. 10.5194/esd-11-885-2020
- Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble N. Maher et al. 10.5194/esd-12-401-2021
- Increasing connections of the leading internal mode of the summertime Northwest Pacific subtropical anticyclone with preceding ENSO under greenhouse warming in FGOALS‐g3 super‐large ensemble J. Ma et al. 10.1002/joc.8197
- Sources of Nonergodicity for Teleconnections as Cross‐Correlations T. Bódai et al. 10.1029/2021GL096587
- Simulating environmentally‐sensitive tree recruitment in vegetation demographic models A. Hanbury‐Brown et al. 10.1111/nph.18059
- Evolution of the Internal Climate Modes under Future Warming J. Coburn & S. Pryor 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0200.1
- Potential Precipitation Predictability Decreases Under Future Warming L. Xu et al. 10.1029/2020GL090798
- The Impact of Applying Individually Perturbed Parametrization Tendency Scheme on the Simulated El Niño-Southern Oscillation in the Community Earth System Model T. Wu et al. 10.3389/feart.2021.627170
- Climate change in mechanical systems: the snapshot view of parallel dynamical evolutions D. Jánosi et al. 10.1007/s11071-021-06929-8
- Changes in precipitation variability across time scales in multiple global climate model large ensembles R. Wood et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac10dd
- El Niño–Global Atmospheric Oscillation as the Main Mode of Interannual Climate Variability I. Serykh & D. Sonechkin 10.3390/atmos12111443
- Uncertain with a chance of showers 10.1038/s41558-021-01100-y
- Where are the coexisting parallel climates? Large ensemble climate projections from the point of view of chaos theory M. Herein et al. 10.1063/5.0136719
- Climate-driven changes in the predictability of seasonal precipitation P. Le et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-39463-9
- Climate change in a conceptual atmosphere–phytoplankton model G. Károlyi et al. 10.5194/esd-11-603-2020
- Quantifying and Understanding Forced Changes to Unforced Modes of Atmospheric Circulation Variability over the North Pacific in a Coupled Model Large Ensemble J. O’Brien & C. Deser 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0101.1
- New features of doubly transient chaos: complexity of decay G. Károlyi & T. Tél 10.1088/2632-072X/abedc3
- Grasshoppers exhibit asynchrony and spatial non-stationarity in response to the El Niño/Southern and Pacific Decadal Oscillations J. Humphreys et al. 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110043
- On the determination of the optimal parameters in the CAM model M. Bianucci & R. Mannella 10.1063/5.0032267
- Exploring ENSO-Induced Anomalies over North America in Historical and Future Climate Simulations That Use HadGEM2-ESM Output to Drive WRF T. Shepherd et al. 10.3390/cli10080117
- Nonlinear Forced Change and Nonergodicity: The Case of ENSO-Indian Monsoon and Global Precipitation Teleconnections T. Bódai et al. 10.3389/feart.2020.599785
- Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and project changes in ENSO events N. Maher et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1289-2022
- Decadal Indian Ocean Influence on the ENSO‐Indian Monsoon Teleconnection Mostly Apparent T. Bódai et al. 10.1029/2023JD038673
- Refining projected multidecadal hydroclimate uncertainty in East-Central Europe using CMIP5 and single-model large ensemble simulations D. Topál et al. 10.1007/s00704-020-03361-7
- El Niño Southern Oscillation and decadal climate variability impacts on crop yields and adaptation value M. Wang et al. 10.1079/PAVSNNR202116043
- Atmospheric circulation-constrained model sensitivity recalibrates Arctic climate projections D. Topál & Q. Ding 10.1038/s41558-023-01698-1
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Latest update: 03 Oct 2023
Short summary
We investigate the changes in the ENSO phenomenon and the alterations of its precipitation-related teleconnections in the CESM-LE. To avoid the disadvantages of the subjective choices of traditional temporal methods, we use an ensemble-based snapshot framework providing instantaneous quantities computed over the ensemble dimension of the simulation. We find that ENSO teleconnections undergo considerable changes, and the ENSO amplitude remarkably increases by 2100.
We investigate the changes in the ENSO phenomenon and the alterations of its...
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