Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD

Volume 15, 2024

Volumes and issues
Volumes and issues

Volume 15, 2024

09 Jan 2024
Extremely warm European summers preceded by sub-decadal North Atlantic ocean heat accumulation
Lara Wallberg, Laura Suarez-Gutierrez, Daniela Matei, and Wolfgang A. Müller
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1–14, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1-2024, 2024
Short summary
18 Jan 2024
Impact of Atlantic multidecadal variability on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African monsoon
Elsa Mohino, Paul-Arthur Monerie, Juliette Mignot, Moussa Diakhaté, Markus Donat, Christopher David Roberts, and Francisco Doblas-Reyes
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 15–40, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-15-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-15-2024, 2024
Short summary
26 Jan 2024
Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review
Nico Wunderling, Anna S. von der Heydt, Yevgeny Aksenov, Stephen Barker, Robbin Bastiaansen, Victor Brovkin, Maura Brunetti, Victor Couplet, Thomas Kleinen, Caroline H. Lear, Johannes Lohmann, Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta, Sacha Sinet, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, Pallavi Anand, Jonathan Barichivich, Sebastian Bathiany, Mara Baudena, John T. Bruun, Cristiano M. Chiessi, Helen K. Coxall, David Docquier, Jonathan F. Donges, Swinda K. J. Falkena, Ann Kristin Klose, David Obura, Juan Rocha, Stefanie Rynders, Norman Julius Steinert, and Matteo Willeit
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 41–74, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-41-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-41-2024, 2024
Short summary
29 Jan 2024
Historical and projected future runoff over the Mekong River basin
Chao Wang, Stephen Leisz, Li Li, Xiaoying Shi, Jiafu Mao, Yi Zheng, and Anping Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 75–90, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-75-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-75-2024, 2024
Short summary
29 Jan 2024
| Highlight paper
Future water storage changes over the Mediterranean, Middle East, and North Africa in response to global warming and stratospheric aerosol intervention
Abolfazl Rezaei, Khalil Karami, Simone Tilmes, and John C. Moore
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 91–108, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-91-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-91-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
30 Jan 2024
Scaling artificial heat islands to enhance precipitation in the United Arab Emirates
Oliver Branch, Lisa Jach, Thomas Schwitalla, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, and Volker Wulfmeyer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 109–129, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-109-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-109-2024, 2024
Short summary
16 Feb 2024
| Highlight paper
Detecting the human fingerprint in the summer 2022 western–central European soil drought
Dominik L. Schumacher, Mariam Zachariah, Friederike Otto, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Dorothy Heinrich, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Mathias Hauser, Martin Hirschi, Verena Bessenbacher, Lukas Gudmundsson, Hiroko K. Beaudoing, Matthew Rodell, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Luke J. Harrington, Flavio Lehner, Gianpaolo Balsamo, and Sonia I. Seneviratne
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 131–154, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-131-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-131-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
19 Feb 2024
Atmospheric teleconnections between the Arctic and the Baltic Sea region as simulated by CESM1-LE
Erko Jakobson and Liisi Jakobson
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 155–165, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-155-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-155-2024, 2024
Short summary
05 Mar 2024
Impact of groundwater representation on heat events in regional climate simulations over Europe
Liubov Poshyvailo-Strube, Niklas Wagner, Klaus Goergen, Carina Furusho-Percot, Carl Hartick, and Stefan Kollet
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 167–189, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-167-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-167-2024, 2024
Short summary
13 Mar 2024
| Highlight paper
Hemispherically symmetric strategies for stratospheric aerosol injection
Yan Zhang, Douglas G. MacMartin, Daniele Visioni, Ewa M. Bednarz, and Ben Kravitz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 191–213, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-191-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-191-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
15 Mar 2024
Sea-ice thermodynamics can determine waterbelt scenarios for Snowball Earth
Johannes Hörner and Aiko Voigt
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 215–223, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-215-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-215-2024, 2024
Short summary
18 Mar 2024
| Highlight paper
Possible role of anthropogenic climate change in the record-breaking 2020 Lake Victoria levels and floods
Rosa Pietroiusti, Inne Vanderkelen, Friederike E. L. Otto, Clair Barnes, Lucy Temple, Mary Akurut, Philippe Bally, Nicole P. M. van Lipzig, and Wim Thiery
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 225–264, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-225-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-225-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
20 Mar 2024
Effects of idealized land cover and land management changes on the atmospheric water cycle
Steven J. De Hertog, Carmen E. Lopez-Fabara, Ruud van der Ent, Jessica Keune, Diego G. Miralles, Raphael Portmann, Sebastian Schemm, Felix Havermann, Suqi Guo, Fei Luo, Iris Manola, Quentin Lejeune, Julia Pongratz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia I. Seneviratne, and Wim Thiery
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 265–291, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-265-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-265-2024, 2024
Short summary
22 Mar 2024
Diagnosing the causes of AMOC slowdown in a coupled model: a cautionary tale
Justin Gérard and Michel Crucifix
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 293–306, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-293-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-293-2024, 2024
Short summary
27 Mar 2024
| Highlight paper
Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy
Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, and Laurent Terray
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 307–322, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-307-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-307-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
02 Apr 2024
Estimating freshwater flux amplification with ocean tracers via linear response theory
Aurora Basinski-Ferris and Laure Zanna
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 323–339, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-323-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-323-2024, 2024
Short summary
05 Apr 2024
Equity and justice should underpin the discourse on tipping points
Laura M. Pereira, Ignacio Gianelli, Therezah Achieng, Diva Amon, Sally Archibald, Suchinta Arif, Azucena Castro, Tapiwa Prosper Chimbadzwa, Kaera Coetzer, Tracy-Lynn Field, Odirilwe Selomane, Nadia Sitas, Nicola Stevens, Sebastian Villasante, Mohammed Armani, Duncan M. Kimuyu, Ibukun J. Adewumi, David M. Lapola, David Obura, Patricia Pinho, Felipe Roa-Clavijo, Juan Rocha, and U. Rashid Sumaila
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 341–366, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-341-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-341-2024, 2024
Short summary
08 Apr 2024
An overview of the E3SM version 2 large ensemble and comparison to other E3SM and CESM large ensembles
John T. Fasullo, Jean-Christophe Golaz, Julie M. Caron, Nan Rosenbloom, Gerald A. Meehl, Warren Strand, Sasha Glanville, Samantha Stevenson, Maria Molina, Christine A. Shields, Chengzhu Zhang, James Benedict, Hailong Wang, and Tony Bartoletti
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 367–386, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-367-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-367-2024, 2024
Short summary
18 Apr 2024
| Highlight paper
Carbon budget concept and its deviation through the pulse response lens
Vito Avakumović
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 387–404, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-387-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-387-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
24 Apr 2024
| Highlight paper
Dependency of the impacts of geoengineering on the stratospheric sulfur injection strategy – Part 2: How changes in the hydrological cycle depend on the injection rate and model used
Anton Laakso, Daniele Visioni, Ulrike Niemeier, Simone Tilmes, and Harri Kokkola
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 405–427, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-405-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-405-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
24 Apr 2024
| Highlight paper
The perfect storm? Co-occurring climate extremes in East Africa
Derrick Muheki, Axel A. J. Deijns, Emanuele Bevacqua, Gabriele Messori, Jakob Zscheischler, and Wim Thiery
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 429–466, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-429-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-429-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
25 Apr 2024
The long-term impact of transgressing planetary boundaries on biophysical atmosphere–land interactions
Markus Drüke, Wolfgang Lucht, Werner von Bloh, Stefan Petri, Boris Sakschewski, Arne Tobian, Sina Loriani, Sibyll Schaphoff, Georg Feulner, and Kirsten Thonicke
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 467–483, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-467-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-467-2024, 2024
Short summary
26 Apr 2024
Social tipping dynamics in the energy system
Floor Alkemade, Bart de Bruin, Amira El-Feiaz, Francesco Pasimeni, Leila Niamir, and Robert Wade
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 485–500, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-485-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-485-2024, 2024
Short summary
26 Apr 2024
Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis
Roberto Bilbao, Pablo Ortega, Didier Swingedouw, Leon Hermanson, Panos Athanasiadis, Rosie Eade, Marion Devilliers, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nick Dunstone, An-Chi Ho, William Merryfield, Juliette Mignot, Dario Nicolì, Margarida Samsó, Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso, Xian Wu, and Stephen Yeager
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 501–525, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-501-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-501-2024, 2024
Short summary
30 Apr 2024
Multi-centennial evolution of the climate response and deep-ocean heat uptake in a set of abrupt stabilization scenarios with EC-Earth3
Federico Fabiano, Paolo Davini, Virna L. Meccia, Giuseppe Zappa, Alessio Bellucci, Valerio Lembo, Katinka Bellomo, and Susanna Corti
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 527–546, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-527-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-527-2024, 2024
Short summary
02 May 2024
First comprehensive assessment of industrial-era land heat uptake from multiple sources
Félix García-Pereira, Jesús Fidel González-Rouco, Camilo Melo-Aguilar, Norman Julius Steinert, Elena García-Bustamante, Philip de Vrese, Johann Jungclaus, Stephan Lorenz, Stefan Hagemann, Francisco José Cuesta-Valero, Almudena García-García, and Hugo Beltrami
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 547–564, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-547-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-547-2024, 2024
Short summary
03 May 2024
The carbonate pump feedback on alkalinity and the carbon cycle in the 21st century and beyond
Alban Planchat, Laurent Bopp, Lester Kwiatkowski, and Olivier Torres
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 565–588, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-565-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-565-2024, 2024
Short summary
03 May 2024
| Highlight paper
Applying global warming levels of emergence to highlight the increasing population exposure to temperature and precipitation extremes
David Gampe, Clemens Schwingshackl, Andrea Böhnisch, Magdalena Mittermeier, Marit Sandstad, and Raul R. Wood
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 589–605, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-589-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-589-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
21 May 2024
Classification of synoptic circulation patterns with a two-stage clustering algorithm using the modified structural similarity index metric (SSIM)
Kristina Winderlich, Clementine Dalelane, and Andreas Walter
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 607–633, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-607-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-607-2024, 2024
Short summary
27 May 2024
Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Ann Kristin Klose, Jonathan F. Donges, Ulrike Feudel, and Ricarda Winkelmann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 635–652, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-635-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-635-2024, 2024
Short summary
27 May 2024
Lake ecosystem tipping points and climate feedbacks
Dag O. Hessen, Tom Andersen, David Armstrong McKay, Sarian Kosten, Mariana Meerhoff, Amy Pickard, and Bryan M. Spears
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 653–669, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-653-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-653-2024, 2024
Short summary
03 Jun 2024
Are physiological and ecosystem-level tipping points caused by ocean acidification? A critical evaluation
Christopher E. Cornwall, Steeve Comeau, and Ben P. Harvey
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 671–687, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-671-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-671-2024, 2024
Short summary
11 Jun 2024
Changing effects of external forcing on Atlantic–Pacific interactions
Soufiane Karmouche, Evgenia Galytska, Gerald A. Meehl, Jakob Runge, Katja Weigel, and Veronika Eyring
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 689–715, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-689-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-689-2024, 2024
Short summary
11 Jun 2024
Intensified future heat extremes linked with increasing ecosystem water limitation
Jasper M. C. Denissen, Adriaan J. Teuling, Sujan Koirala, Markus Reichstein, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Martha M. Vogel, Xin Yu, and René Orth
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 717–734, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-717-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-717-2024, 2024
Short summary
13 Jun 2024
Distribution-based pooling for combination and multi-model bias correction of climate simulations
Mathieu Vrac, Denis Allard, Grégoire Mariéthoz, Soulivanh Thao, and Lucas Schmutz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 735–762, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-735-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-735-2024, 2024
Short summary
13 Jun 2024
| Highlight paper
The impacts of elevated CO2 on forest growth, mortality, and recovery in the Amazon rainforest
Yitong Yao, Philippe Ciais, Emilie Joetzjer, Wei Li, Lei Zhu, Yujie Wang, Christian Frankenberg, and Nicolas Viovy
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 763–778, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-763-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-763-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
14 Jun 2024
Unveiling amplified isolation in climate networks due to global warming
Yifan Cheng, Panjie Qiao, Meiyi Hou, Yuan Chen, Wenqi Liu, and Yongwen Zhang
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 779–788, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-779-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-779-2024, 2024
Short summary
19 Jun 2024
Cross-system interactions for positive tipping cascades
Sibel Eker, Timothy M. Lenton, Tom Powell, Jürgen Scheffran, Steven R. Smith, Deepthi Swamy, and Caroline Zimm
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 789–800, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-789-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-789-2024, 2024
Short summary
21 Jun 2024
Natural marine bromoform emissions in the fully coupled ocean–atmosphere model NorESM2
Dennis Booge, Jerry F. Tjiputra, Dirk J. L. Olivié, Birgit Quack, and Kirstin Krüger
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 801–816, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-801-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-801-2024, 2024
Short summary
24 Jun 2024
Global cropland expansion enhances cropping potential and reduces its inequality among countries
Xiaoxuan Liu, Peng Zhu, Shu Liu, Le Yu, Yong Wang, Zhenrong Du, Dailiang Peng, Ece Aksoy, Hui Lu, and Peng Gong
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 817–828, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-817-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-817-2024, 2024
Short summary
11 Jul 2024
Testing the assumptions in emergent constraints: why does the “emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability” work for CMIP5 and not CMIP6?
Mark S. Williamson, Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, and Femke J. M. M. Nijsse
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 829–852, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-829-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-829-2024, 2024
Short summary
12 Jul 2024
ESD Ideas: Positive tipping points towards global regenerative systems
J. David Tàbara
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 853–857, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-853-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-853-2024, 2024
Short summary
12 Jul 2024
AMOC stability amid tipping ice sheets: the crucial role of rate and noise
Sacha Sinet, Peter Ashwin, Anna S. von der Heydt, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 859–873, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-859-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-859-2024, 2024
Short summary
15 Jul 2024
A missing link in the carbon cycle: phytoplankton light absorption under RCP emission scenarios
Rémy Asselot, Philip B. Holden, Frank Lunkeit, and Inga Hense
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 875–891, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-875-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-875-2024, 2024
Short summary
17 Jul 2024
Variability and predictability of a reduced-order land–atmosphere coupled model
Anupama K. Xavier, Jonathan Demaeyer, and Stéphane Vannitsem
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 893–912, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-893-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-893-2024, 2024
Short summary
24 Jul 2024
| Highlight paper
Observation-inferred resilience loss of the Amazon rainforest possibly due to internal climate variability
Raphael Grodofzig, Martin Renoult, and Thorsten Mauritsen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 913–927, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-913-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-913-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
25 Jul 2024
| Highlight paper
ESD Ideas: Exoplanet, origins of life and biosphere researchers offer a perspective fundamental to ensuring humanity's future
Daniel Duzdevich, Arwen E. Nicholson, and Raphaëlle D. Haywood
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 929–932, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-929-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-929-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
30 Jul 2024
Developing the Svalbard Integrated Arctic Earth Observing System (SIOS)
Hanne H. Christiansen, Ilkka S. O. Matero, Lisa Baddeley, Kim Holmén, Clara J. M. Hoppe, Maarten J. J. E. Loonen, Rune Storvold, Vito Vitale, Agata Zaborska, and Heikki Lihavainen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 933–946, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-933-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-933-2024, 2024
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30 Jul 2024
Tipping points in coupled human–environment system models: a review
Isaiah Farahbakhsh, Chris T. Bauch, and Madhur Anand
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 947–967, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-947-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-947-2024, 2024
Short summary
02 Aug 2024
Missing the (tipping) point: the effect of information about climate tipping points on public risk perceptions in Norway
Christina Nadeau, Manjana Milkoreit, Thomas Hylland Eriksen, and Dag Olav Hessen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 969–985, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-969-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-969-2024, 2024
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06 Aug 2024
Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models
Saloua Peatier, Benjamin M. Sanderson, and Laurent Terray
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 987–1014, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-987-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-987-2024, 2024
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06 Aug 2024
| ESD Letters
| Highlight paper
Absence of causality between seismic activity and global warming
Mikhail Y. Verbitsky, Michael E. Mann, and Dmitry Volobuev
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1015–1017, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1015-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1015-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
06 Aug 2024
Contrasting responses of vegetation productivity to intraseasonal rainfall in Earth system models
Bethan L. Harris, Tristan Quaife, Christopher M. Taylor, and Phil P. Harris
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1019–1035, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1019-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1019-2024, 2024
Short summary
08 Aug 2024
Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate
Arthur Merlijn Oldeman, Michiel L. J. Baatsen, Anna S. von der Heydt, Frank M. Selten, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1037–1054, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1037-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1037-2024, 2024
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15 Aug 2024
Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways
Felix Jäger, Jonas Schwaab, Yann Quilcaille, Michael Windisch, Jonathan Doelman, Stefan Frank, Mykola Gusti, Petr Havlik, Florian Humpenöder, Andrey Lessa Derci Augustynczik, Christoph Müller, Kanishka Balu Narayan, Ryan Sebastian Padrón, Alexander Popp, Detlef van Vuuren, Michael Wögerer, and Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1055–1071, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1055-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1055-2024, 2024
Short summary
16 Aug 2024
Regionally optimized high-resolution input datasets enhance the representation of snow cover in CLM5
Johanna Teresa Malle, Giulia Mazzotti, Dirk Nikolaus Karger, and Tobias Jonas
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1073–1115, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1073-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1073-2024, 2024
Short summary
19 Aug 2024
| Highlight paper
Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems
Vasilis Dakos, Chris A. Boulton, Joshua E. Buxton, Jesse F. Abrams, Beatriz Arellano-Nava, David I. Armstrong McKay, Sebastian Bathiany, Lana Blaschke, Niklas Boers, Daniel Dylewsky, Carlos López-Martínez, Isobel Parry, Paul Ritchie, Bregje van der Bolt, Larissa van der Laan, Els Weinans, and Sonia Kéfi
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1117–1135, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1117-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1117-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
22 Aug 2024
Consistent increase in East Asian Summer Monsoon rainfall and its variability under climate change over China in CMIP6
Anja Katzenberger and Anders Levermann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1137–1151, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1137-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1137-2024, 2024
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26 Aug 2024
| Highlight paper
Cautionary remarks on the planetary boundary visualisation
Miguel D. Mahecha, Guido Kraemer, and Fabio Crameri
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1153–1159, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1153-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1153-2024, 2024
Short summary Editorial statement
26 Aug 2024
Storylines of summer Arctic climate change constrained by Barents–Kara seas and Arctic tropospheric warming for climate risk assessment
Xavier J. Levine, Ryan S. Williams, Gareth Marshall, Andrew Orr, Lise Seland Graff, Dörthe Handorf, Alexey Karpechko, Raphael Köhler, René R. Wijngaard, Nadine Johnston, Hanna Lee, Lars Nieradzik, and Priscilla A. Mooney
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1161–1177, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1161-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1161-2024, 2024
Short summary
10 Sep 2024
Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization
Viktoria Spaiser, Sirkku Juhola, Sara M. Constantino, Weisi Guo, Tabitha Watson, Jana Sillmann, Alessandro Craparo, Ashleigh Basel, John T. Bruun, Krishna Krishnamurthy, Jürgen Scheffran, Patricia Pinho, Uche T. Okpara, Jonathan F. Donges, Avit Bhowmik, Taha Yasseri, Ricardo Safra de Campos, Graeme S. Cumming, Hugues Chenet, Florian Krampe, Jesse F. Abrams, James G. Dyke, Stefanie Rynders, Yevgeny Aksenov, and Bryan M. Spears
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1179–1206, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1179-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1179-2024, 2024
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12 Sep 2024
| ESD Letters
Climatology and trends of concurrent temperature extremes in the global extratropics
Gabriele Messori, Antonio Segalini, and Alexandre M. Ramos
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1207–1225, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1207-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1207-2024, 2024
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12 Sep 2024
Projected changes in land carbon store over the 21st century: what contributions from land use change and atmospheric nitrogen deposition?
Jaime A. Riano Sanchez, Nicolas Vuichard, and Philippe Peylin
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1227–1253, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1227-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1227-2024, 2024
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27 Sep 2024
Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO2 uptake
Raffaele Bernardello, Valentina Sicardi, Vladimir Lapin, Pablo Ortega, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Etienne Tourigny, and Eric Ferrer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1255–1275, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024, 2024
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30 Sep 2024
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics
Liqing Peng, Justin Sheffield, Zhongwang Wei, Michael Ek, and Eric F. Wood
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1277–1300, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1277-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1277-2024, 2024
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15 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Uncertainty-informed selection of CMIP6 Earth system model subsets for use in multisectoral and impact models
Abigail Snyder, Noah Prime, Claudia Tebaldi, and Kalyn Dorheim
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1301–1318, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024, 2024
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18 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy
Colin G. Jones, Fanny Adloff, Ben B. B. Booth, Peter M. Cox, Veronika Eyring, Pierre Friedlingstein, Katja Frieler, Helene T. Hewitt, Hazel A. Jeffery, Sylvie Joussaume, Torben Koenigk, Bryan N. Lawrence, Eleanor O'Rourke, Malcolm J. Roberts, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Samuel Somot, Pier Luigi Vidale, Detlef van Vuuren, Mario Acosta, Mats Bentsen, Raffaele Bernardello, Richard Betts, Ed Blockley, Julien Boé, Tom Bracegirdle, Pascale Braconnot, Victor Brovkin, Carlo Buontempo, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Markus Donat, Italo Epicoco, Pete Falloon, Sandro Fiore, Thomas Frölicher, Neven S. Fučkar, Matthew J. Gidden, Helge F. Goessling, Rune Grand Graversen, Silvio Gualdi, José M. Gutiérrez, Tatiana Ilyina, Daniela Jacob, Chris D. Jones, Martin Juckes, Elizabeth Kendon, Erik Kjellström, Reto Knutti, Jason Lowe, Matthew Mizielinski, Paola Nassisi, Michael Obersteiner, Pierre Regnier, Romain Roehrig, David Salas y Mélia, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Michael Schulz, Enrico Scoccimarro, Laurent Terray, Hannes Thiemann, Richard A. Wood, Shuting Yang, and Sönke Zaehle
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1319–1351, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024, 2024
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30 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5
Andrew D. King, Tilo Ziehn, Matthew Chamberlain, Alexander R. Borowiak, Josephine R. Brown, Liam Cassidy, Andrea J. Dittus, Michael Grose, Nicola Maher, Seungmok Paik, Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, and Aditya Sengupta
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1353–1383, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024, 2024
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08 Nov 2024
Extrapolation is not enough: impacts of extreme land use change on wind profiles and wind energy according to regional climate models
Jan Wohland, Peter Hoffmann, Daniela C. A. Lima, Marcus Breil, Olivier Asselin, and Diana Rechid
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1385–1400, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1385-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1385-2024, 2024
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08 Nov 2024
Dakar Niño under global warming investigated by a high-resolution regionally coupled model
Shunya Koseki, Rubén Vázquez, William Cabos, Claudia Gutiérrez, Dmitry V. Sein, and Marie-Lou Bachèlery
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1401–1416, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1401-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1401-2024, 2024
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12 Nov 2024
Generalized stability landscape of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
Matteo Willeit and Andrey Ganopolski
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1417–1434, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1417-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1417-2024, 2024
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13 Nov 2024
The aerosol pathway is crucial for observationally constraining climate sensitivity and anthropogenic forcing
Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie, Magne Aldrin, Terje K. Berntsen, Marit Holden, Ragnar Bang Huseby, Gunnar Myhre, and Trude Storelvmo
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1435–1458, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1435-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1435-2024, 2024
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20 Nov 2024
Environmental drivers and remote sensing proxies of post-fire thaw depth in eastern Siberian larch forests
Lucas R. Diaz, Clement J. F. Delcourt, Moritz Langer, Michael M. Loranty, Brendan M. Rogers, Rebecca C. Scholten, Tatiana A. Shestakova, Anna C. Talucci, Jorien E. Vonk, Sonam Wangchuk, and Sander Veraverbeke
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1459–1482, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1459-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1459-2024, 2024
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28 Nov 2024
Early warnings of the transition to a superrotating atmospheric state
Mark S. Williamson and Timothy M. Lenton
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1483–1508, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1483-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1483-2024, 2024
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28 Nov 2024
| Highlight paper
Cross-scale causal information flow from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China
Yasir Latif, Kaiyu Fan, Geli Wang, and Milan Paluš
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1509–1526, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1509-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1509-2024, 2024
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28 Nov 2024
| ESD Letters
| Highlight paper
Modeling 2020 regulatory changes in international shipping emissions helps explain anomalous 2023 warming
Ilaria Quaglia and Daniele Visioni
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1527–1541, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1527-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1527-2024, 2024
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05 Dec 2024
Multi-fold increase in rainforest tipping risk beyond 1.5–2 °C warming
Chandrakant Singh, Ruud van der Ent, Ingo Fetzer, and Lan Wang-Erlandsson
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1543–1565, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1543-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1543-2024, 2024
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10 Dec 2024
Potential effect of the marine carbon cycle on the multiple equilibria window of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Amber A. Boot, Anna S. von der Heydt, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1567–1590, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1567-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1567-2024, 2024
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18 Dec 2024
AERA-MIP: emission pathways, remaining budgets, and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 and 2 °C global warming stabilization
Yona Silvy, Thomas L. Frölicher, Jens Terhaar, Fortunat Joos, Friedrich A. Burger, Fabrice Lacroix, Myles Allen, Raffaele Bernardello, Laurent Bopp, Victor Brovkin, Jonathan R. Buzan, Patricia Cadule, Martin Dix, John Dunne, Pierre Friedlingstein, Goran Georgievski, Tomohiro Hajima, Stuart Jenkins, Michio Kawamiya, Nancy Y. Kiang, Vladimir Lapin, Donghyun Lee, Paul Lerner, Nadine Mengis, Estela A. Monteiro, David Paynter, Glen P. Peters, Anastasia Romanou, Jörg Schwinger, Sarah Sparrow, Eric Stofferahn, Jerry Tjiputra, Etienne Tourigny, and Tilo Ziehn
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1591–1628, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1591-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1591-2024, 2024
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