Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
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12 May 2021
ESD Ideas: Planetary Antifragility: A new dimension in the definition of the Safe Operating Space for Humanity
Oliver López-Corona and Melanie Kolb
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-26,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-26, 2021
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 19 comments)
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26 Nov 2021
Reduced-complexity model for the impact of anthropogenic CO2 emissions on future glacial cycles
Stefanie Talento and Andrey Ganopolski
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1275–1293, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1275-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1275-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (12 comments)
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04 Dec 2020
Economic impacts of a glacial period: a thought experiment to assess the disconnect between econometrics and climate sciences
Marie-Noëlle Woillez, Gaël Giraud, and Antoine Godin
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 1073–1087, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1073-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1073-2020, 2020
Final revised paper published in ESD (12 comments)
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18 Aug 2021
Weakened impact of the Atlantic Niño on the future equatorial Atlantic and Guinean Coast rainfall
Koffi Worou, Hugues Goosse, Thierry Fichefet, and Fred Kucharski
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-46,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-46, 2021
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 10 comments)
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16 Apr 2021
Identification of a 50-year scaling relating current global energy demands to historically cumulative economic production
Timothy J. Garrett, Matheus R. Grasselli, and Stephen Keen
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-21,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-21, 2021
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 9 comments)
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16 Dec 2020
Biases in the albedo sensitivity to deforestation in CMIP5 models and their impacts on the associated historical radiative forcing
Quentin Lejeune, Edouard L. Davin, Grégory Duveiller, Bas Crezee, Ronny Meier, Alessandro Cescatti, and Sonia I. Seneviratne
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 1209–1232, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1209-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1209-2020, 2020
Final revised paper published in ESD (9 comments)
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16 Dec 2020
Temperatures from energy balance models: the effective heat capacity matters
Gerrit Lohmann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 1195–1208, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1195-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1195-2020, 2020
Final revised paper published in ESD (9 comments)
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03 Nov 2021
ESD Ideas: A Global Warming Scaling Law
Mikhail Verbitsky and Michael Mann
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-87,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-87, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 8 comments)
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23 Aug 2021
The potential for structural errors in emergent constraints
Benjamin M. Sanderson, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Charles D. Koven, Florent Brient, Ben B. B. Booth, Rosie A. Fisher, and Reto Knutti
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 899–918, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-899-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-899-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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17 Aug 2021
Atmospheric regional climate projections for the Baltic Sea Region until 2100
Ole B. Christensen, Erik Kjellström, Christian Dieterich, Matthias Gröger, and H. E. Markus Meier
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-51,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-51, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 8 comments)
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22 Jul 2021
Atmospheric Rivers in CMIP5 climate ensembles downscaled with a high resolution regional climate model
Matthias Gröger, Christian Dieterich, Cyril Dutheil, Markus Meier, and Dmitry Sein
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-49,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-49, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 8 comments)
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03 May 2021
Weather extremes over Europe under 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming from HAPPI regional climate ensemble simulations
Kevin Sieck, Christine Nam, Laurens M. Bouwer, Diana Rechid, and Daniela Jacob
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 457–468, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-457-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-457-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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08 Mar 2021
Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble
Guillaume Evin, Samuel Somot, and Benoit Hingray
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-8,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-8, 2021
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 8 comments)
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19 Feb 2021
Rankings of extreme and widespread dry and wet events in the Iberian Peninsula between 1901 and 2016
Margarida L. R. Liberato, Irene Montero, Célia Gouveia, Ana Russo, Alexandre M. Ramos, and Ricardo M. Trigo
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 197–210, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-197-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-197-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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18 Jan 2021
Stratospheric ozone and quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) interaction with the tropical troposphere on intraseasonal and interannual timescales: a normal-mode perspective
Breno Raphaldini, André S. W. Teruya, Pedro Leite da Silva Dias, Lucas Massaroppe, and Daniel Yasumasa Takahashi
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 83–101, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-83-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-83-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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06 Jan 2021
Evaluating the dependence structure of compound precipitation and wind speed extremes
Jakob Zscheischler, Philippe Naveau, Olivia Martius, Sebastian Engelke, and Christoph C. Raible
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1–16, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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27 May 2021
Earth system economics: a biophysical approach to the human component of the Earth system
Eric D. Galbraith
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 671–687, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-671-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-671-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (7 comments)
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18 Dec 2020
Trade-offs of Solar Geoengineering and Mitigation under Climate Targets
Mohammad M. Khabbazan, Marius Stankoweit, Elnaz Roshan, Hauke Schmidt, and Hermann Held
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-95,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2020-95, 2020
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 7 comments)
09 Nov 2021
Climate change impacts on solar power generation and its spatial variability in Europe based on CMIP6
Xinyuan Hou, Martin Wild, Doris Folini, Stelios Kazadzis, and Jan Wohland
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1099–1113, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1099-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1099-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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15 Oct 2021
Vulnerability of European ecosystems to two compound dry and hot summers in 2018 and 2019
Ana Bastos, René Orth, Markus Reichstein, Philippe Ciais, Nicolas Viovy, Sönke Zaehle, Peter Anthoni, Almut Arneth, Pierre Gentine, Emilie Joetzjer, Sebastian Lienert, Tammas Loughran, Patrick C. McGuire, Sungmin O, Julia Pongratz, and Stephen Sitch
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1015–1035, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1015-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1015-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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13 Sep 2021
Exploring how groundwater buffers the influence of heatwaves on vegetation function during multi-year droughts
Mengyuan Mu, Martin G. De Kauwe, Anna M. Ukkola, Andy J. Pitman, Weidong Guo, Sanaa Hobeichi, and Peter R. Briggs
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 919–938, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-919-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-919-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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30 Jul 2021
The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections
Josep Cos, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Martin Jury, Raül Marcos, Pièrre-Antoine Bretonnière, and Margarida Samsó
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-65,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-65, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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14 Jul 2021
Resolving ecological feedbacks on the ocean carbon sink in Earth system models
David I. Armstrong McKay, Sarah E. Cornell, Katherine Richardson, and Johan Rockström
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 797–818, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-797-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-797-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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12 Jul 2021
Modelling sea-level fingerprints of glaciated regions with low mantle viscosity
Alan Bartholet, Glenn A. Milne, and Konstantin Latychev
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 783–795, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-783-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-783-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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06 Jul 2021
Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability
Keith B. Rodgers, Sun-Seon Lee, Nan Rosenbloom, Axel Timmermann, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Clara Deser, Jim Edwards, Ji-Eun Kim, Isla Simpson, Karl Stein, Malte F. Stuecker, Ryohei Yamaguchi, Tamas Bodai, Eui-Seok Chung, Lei Huang, Who Kim, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Danica Lombardozzi, William R. Wieder, and Stephen G. Yeager
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-50,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-50, 2021
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 6 comments)
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30 Jun 2021
Bookkeeping estimates of the net land-use change flux – a sensitivity study with the CMIP6 land-use dataset
Kerstin Hartung, Ana Bastos, Louise Chini, Raphael Ganzenmüller, Felix Havermann, George C. Hurtt, Tammas Loughran, Julia E. M. S. Nabel, Tobias Nützel, Wolfgang A. Obermeier, and Julia Pongratz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 763–782, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-763-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-763-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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30 Jun 2021
Impact of urbanization on thermal environment of Chengdu-Chongqing Urban Agglomeration under complex terrain
Si Chen, Zhenghui Xie, Jinbo Xie, Bin Liu, Binghao Jia, Peihua Qin, Longhuan Wang, Yan Wang, and Ruichao Li
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-22,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-22, 2021
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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21 Jun 2021
Climate-controlled root zone parameters show potential to improve water flux simulations by land surface models
Fransje van Oorschot, Ruud J. van der Ent, Markus Hrachowitz, and Andrea Alessandri
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 725–743, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-725-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-725-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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17 Jun 2021
Weather-induced crop failure events under climate change: a storyline approach
Henrique M. D. Goulart, Karin van der Wiel, Christian Folberth, Juraj Balkovic, and Bart van den Hurk
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-40,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-40, 2021
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 6 comments)
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21 May 2021
Modelled land use and land cover change emissions – a spatio-temporal comparison of different approaches
Wolfgang A. Obermeier, Julia E. M. S. Nabel, Tammas Loughran, Kerstin Hartung, Ana Bastos, Felix Havermann, Peter Anthoni, Almut Arneth, Daniel S. Goll, Sebastian Lienert, Danica Lombardozzi, Sebastiaan Luyssaert, Patrick C. McGuire, Joe R. Melton, Benjamin Poulter, Stephen Sitch, Michael O. Sullivan, Hanqin Tian, Anthony P. Walker, Andrew J. Wiltshire, Soenke Zaehle, and Julia Pongratz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 635–670, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-635-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-635-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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21 Apr 2021
Biogeochemistry and Physics of the Southern Ocean-Atmosphere System Explored With Data Science
Sebastian Landwehr, Michele Volpi, F. Alexander Haumann, Charlotte M. Robinson, Iris Thurnherr, Valerio Ferracci, Andrea Baccarini, Jenny Thomas, Irina Gorodetskaya, Christian Tatzelt, Silvia Henning, Rob L. Modini, Heather J. Forrer, Yajuan Lin, Nicolas Cassar, Rafel Simó, Christel Hassler, Alireza Moallemi, Sarah E. Fawcett, Neil Harris, Ruth Airs, Marzieh H. Derkani, Alberto Alberello, Alessandro Toffoli, Gang Chen, Pablo Rodríguez Ros, Marina Zamanillo, Pau Cortés-Greus, Lei Xue, Conor G. Bolas, Katherine C. Leonard, Fernando Perez-Cruz, David Walton, and Julia Schmale
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-16,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-16, 2021
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 6 comments)
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08 Apr 2021
Seasonal discharge response to temperature-driven changes in evaporation and snow processes in the Rhine Basin
Joost Buitink, Lieke A. Melsen, and Adriaan J. Teuling
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 387–400, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-387-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-387-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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31 Mar 2021
A climate network perspective on the intertropical convergence zone
Frederik Wolf, Aiko Voigt, and Reik V. Donner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 353–366, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-353-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-353-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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30 Mar 2021
Diverging land-use projections cause large variability in their impacts on ecosystems and related indicators for ecosystem services
Anita D. Bayer, Richard Fuchs, Reinhard Mey, Andreas Krause, Peter H. Verburg, Peter Anthoni, and Almut Arneth
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 327–351, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-327-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-327-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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23 Feb 2021
How modelling paradigms affect simulated future land use change
Calum Brown, Ian Holman, and Mark Rounsevell
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 211–231, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-211-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-211-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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11 Feb 2021
Assessment of a full-field initialized decadal climate prediction system with the CMIP6 version of EC-Earth
Roberto Bilbao, Simon Wild, Pablo Ortega, Juan Acosta-Navarro, Thomas Arsouze, Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière, Louis-Philippe Caron, Miguel Castrillo, Rubén Cruz-García, Ivana Cvijanovic, Francisco Javier Doblas-Reyes, Markus Donat, Emanuel Dutra, Pablo Echevarría, An-Chi Ho, Saskia Loosveldt-Tomas, Eduardo Moreno-Chamarro, Núria Pérez-Zanon, Arthur Ramos, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Valentina Sicardi, Etienne Tourigny, and Javier Vegas-Regidor
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 173–196, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-173-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-173-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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10 Feb 2021
Identifying meteorological drivers of extreme impacts: an application to simulated crop yields
Johannes Vogel, Pauline Rivoire, Cristina Deidda, Leila Rahimi, Christoph A. Sauter, Elisabeth Tschumi, Karin van der Wiel, Tianyi Zhang, and Jakob Zscheischler
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 151–172, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-151-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-151-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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11 Dec 2020
Daytime low-level clouds in West Africa – occurrence, associated drivers, and shortwave radiation attenuation
Derrick K. Danso, Sandrine Anquetin, Arona Diedhiou, Kouakou Kouadio, and Arsène T. Kobea
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 1133–1152, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1133-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1133-2020, 2020
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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07 Dec 2020
Water transport among the world ocean basins within the water cycle
David García-García, Isabel Vigo, and Mario Trottini
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 1089–1106, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1089-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1089-2020, 2020
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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24 Nov 2021
Wind speed stilling and its recovery due to internal climate variability
Jan Wohland, Doris Folini, and Bryn Pickering
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1239–1251, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1239-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1239-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (5 comments)
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03 Jun 2021
Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming
Nico Wunderling, Jonathan F. Donges, Jürgen Kurths, and Ricarda Winkelmann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 601–619, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-601-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-601-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (5 comments)
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25 Nov 2021
Is time a variable like the others in multivariate statistical downscaling and bias correction?
Yoann Robin and Mathieu Vrac
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1253–1273, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1253-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1253-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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23 Nov 2021
Parameter uncertainty dominates C-cycle forecast errors over most of Brazil for the 21st century
Thomas Luke Smallman, David Thomas Milodowski, Eráclito Sousa Neto, Gerbrand Koren, Jean Ometto, and Mathew Williams
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1191–1237, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1191-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1191-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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16 Nov 2021
Accounting for surface waves improves gas flux estimation at high wind speed in a large lake
Pascal Perolo, Bieito Fernández Castro, Nicolas Escoffier, Thibault Lambert, Damien Bouffard, and Marie-Elodie Perga
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1169–1189, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1169-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1169-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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15 Nov 2021
Trivial improvements in predictive skill due to direct reconstruction of the global carbon cycle
Aaron Spring, István Dunkl, Hongmei Li, Victor Brovkin, and Tatiana Ilyina
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1139–1167, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1139-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1139-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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12 Nov 2021
Taxonomies for structuring models for World–Earth systems analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social–ecological feedback loops
Jonathan F. Donges, Wolfgang Lucht, Sarah E. Cornell, Jobst Heitzig, Wolfram Barfuss, Steven J. Lade, and Maja Schlüter
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1115–1137, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1115-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1115-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
04 Nov 2021
Exploration of a novel geoengineering solution: lighting up tropical forests at night
Xueyuan Gao, Shunlin Liang, Dongdong Wang, Yan Li, Bin He, and Aolin Jia
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-85,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-85, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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02 Nov 2021
Climate change in the High Mountain Asia in CMIP6
Mickaël Lalande, Martin Ménégoz, Gerhard Krinner, Kathrin Naegeli, and Stefan Wunderle
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1061–1098, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1061-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1061-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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25 Oct 2021
ESD Ideas: A weak positive feedback between sea level and the planetary albedo
Ben Marzeion
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1057–1060, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1057-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1057-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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22 Oct 2021
Soil organic carbon dynamics from agricultural management practices under climate change
Tobias Herzfeld, Jens Heinke, Susanne Rolinski, and Christoph Müller
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1037–1055, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1037-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1037-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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