05 Aug 2022
ESD Ideas: planetary antifragility: a new dimension in the definition of the safe operating space for humanity
Oliver López-Corona, Melanie Kolb, Elvia Ramírez-Carrillo, and Jon Lovett
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1145–1155, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1145-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1145-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (19 comments)
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26 Apr 2022
The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends
Manoj Joshi, Robert Hall, David Stevens, and Ed Hawkins
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-151,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-151, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: final response, 15 comments)
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22 Feb 2023
| Highlight paper
Carbon dioxide removal via macroalgae open-ocean mariculture and sinking: an Earth system modeling study
Jiajun Wu, David P. Keller, and Andreas Oschlies
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 185–221, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-185-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-185-2023, 2023
Final revised paper published in ESD (11 comments)
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16 Nov 2022
The counter-intuitive link between European heatwaves and atmospheric persistence
Emma Holmberg, Gabriele Messori, Rodrigo Caballero, and Davide Faranda
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-50,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-50, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 10 comments)
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15 Jun 2022
Lotka's wheel and the long arm of history: how does the distant past determine today's global rate of energy consumption?
Timothy J. Garrett, Matheus R. Grasselli, and Stephen Keen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1021–1028, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1021-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1021-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (9 comments)
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08 Aug 2022
Continental heat storage: Contributions from ground, inland waters, and permafrost thawing
Francisco José Cuesta-Valero, Hugo Beltrami, Almudena García-García, Gerhard Krinner, Moritz Langer, Andrew H. MacDougall, Jan Nitzbon, Jian Peng, Karina von Schuckmann, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Noah Smith, Wim Thiery, Inne Vanderkelen, and Tonghua Wu
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-32,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-32, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 8 comments)
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22 Jul 2022
Dynamic regimes of the Greenland Ice Sheet emerging from interacting melt–elevation and glacial isostatic adjustment feedbacks
Maria Zeitz, Jan M. Haacker, Jonathan F. Donges, Torsten Albrecht, and Ricarda Winkelmann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1077–1096, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1077-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1077-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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24 Nov 2022
| Highlight paper
Evidence of localised Amazon rainforest dieback in CMIP6 models
Isobel M. Parry, Paul D. L. Ritchie, and Peter M. Cox
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1667–1675, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (7 comments)
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11 Nov 2022
Rate-induced tipping in natural and human systems
Paul Ritchie, Hassan Alkhayuon, Peter Cox, and Sebastian Wieczorek
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1176,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1176, 2022
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 7 comments)
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04 Oct 2022
An updated assessment of past and future warming over France based on a regional observational constraint
Aurélien Ribes, Julien Boé, Saïd Qasmi, Brigitte Dubuisson, Hervé Douville, and Laurent Terray
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1397–1415, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1397-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1397-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (7 comments)
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03 Aug 2022
Performance based sub-selection of CMIP6 models for impact assessments in Europe
Tamzin Emily Palmer, Carol F. McSweeney, Ben B. B. Booth, Matthew D. K. Priestley, Paolo Davini, Lukas Brunner, Leonard Borchert, and Matthew B. Menary
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-31,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-31, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 7 comments)
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01 Jun 2022
| Highlight paper
Glacial runoff buffers droughts through the 21st century
Lizz Ultee, Sloan Coats, and Jonathan Mackay
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 935–959, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-935-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-935-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (7 comments)
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28 Mar 2023
The deployment length of solar radiation modification: an interplay of mitigation, net-negative emissions and climate uncertainty
Susanne Baur, Alexander Nauels, Zebedee Nicholls, Benjamin M. Sanderson, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 367–381, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-367-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-367-2023, 2023
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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01 Mar 2023
Persistent La Niñas drive joint soybean harvest failures in North and South America
Raed Hamed, Sem Vijverberg, Anne F. Van Loon, Jeroen Aerts, and Dim Coumou
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 255–272, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-255-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-255-2023, 2023
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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23 Feb 2023
Spatiotemporal changes in the boreal forest in Siberia over the period 1985–2015 against the background of climate change
Wenxue Fu, Lei Tian, Yu Tao, Mingyang Li, and Huadong Guo
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 223–239, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-223-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-223-2023, 2023
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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09 Feb 2023
The Baltic Earth Assessment Reports
H. E. Markus Meier, Marcus Reckermann, Joakim Langner, Ben Smith, and Ira Didenkulova
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-4,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-4, 2023
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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08 Feb 2023
Seasonal forecasting skill for the High Mountain Asia region in the Goddard Earth Observing System
Elias C. Massoud, Lauren Andrews, Rolf Reichle, Andrea Molod, Jongmin Park, Sophie Ruehr, and Manuela Girotto
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 147–171, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-147-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-147-2023, 2023
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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24 Jan 2023
PInc-PanTher estimates of Arctic permafrost soil carbon under the GeoMIP G6solar and G6sulfur experiments
Aobo Liu, John C. Moore, and Yating Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 39–53, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-39-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-39-2023, 2023
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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16 Nov 2022
Marked observed interannual differences in the vegetation response to the trend towards a warmer and wetter climate in northwest China
Shijun Zheng, Dailiang Peng, Bing Zhang, Yuhao Pan, Le Yu, Yan Wang, Xuxiang Feng, and Changyong Dou
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1110,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1110, 2022
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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11 Nov 2022
STITCHES: creating new scenarios of climate model output by stitching together pieces of existing simulations
Claudia Tebaldi, Abigail Snyder, and Kalyn Dorheim
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1557–1609, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1557-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1557-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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19 Oct 2022
Constraining low-frequency variability in climate projections to predict climate on decadal to multi-decadal timescales – a poor man's initialized prediction system
Rashed Mahmood, Markus G. Donat, Pablo Ortega, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Carlos Delgado-Torres, Margarida Samsó, and Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1437–1450, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1437-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1437-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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17 Oct 2022
Process-based estimate of global-mean sea-level changes in the Common Era
Nidheesh Gangadharan, Hugues Goosse, David Parkes, Heiko Goelzer, Fabien Maussion, and Ben Marzeion
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1417–1435, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1417-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1417-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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29 Sep 2022
Resilience of UK crop yields to compound climate change
Louise J. Slater, Chris Huntingford, Richard F. Pywell, John W. Redhead, and Elizabeth J. Kendon
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1377–1396, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1377-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1377-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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30 Aug 2022
Impact of an acceleration of ice sheet melting on monsoon systems
Alizée Chemison, Dimitri Defrance, Gilles Ramstein, and Cyril Caminade
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1259–1287, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1259-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1259-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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25 Aug 2022
Present and future European heat wave magnitudes: climatologies, trends, and their associated uncertainties in GCM-RCM model chains
Changgui Lin, Erik Kjellström, Renate Anna Irma Wilcke, and Deliang Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1197–1214, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1197-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1197-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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22 Aug 2022
Working at the limit: A review of thermodynamics and optimality of the Earth system
Axel Kleidon
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-38,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-38, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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11 Aug 2022
The future of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation: Using large ensembles to illuminate time-varying responses and inter-model differences
Nicola Maher, Robert C. Jnglin Wills, Pedro DiNezio, Jeremy Klavans, Sebastian Milinski, Sara C. Sanchez, Samantha Stevenson, Malte F. Stuecker, and Xian Wu
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-26,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-26, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 6 comments)
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29 Jul 2022
Estimating the lateral transfer of organic carbon through the European river network using a land surface model
Haicheng Zhang, Ronny Lauerwald, Pierre Regnier, Philippe Ciais, Kristof Van Oost, Victoria Naipal, Bertrand Guenet, and Wenping Yuan
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1119–1144, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1119-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1119-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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28 Jul 2022
Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO2 flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario
Pradeebane Vaittinada Ayar, Laurent Bopp, Jim R. Christian, Tatiana Ilyina, John P. Krasting, Roland Séférian, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Michio Watanabe, Andrew Yool, and Jerry Tjiputra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1097–1118, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1097-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1097-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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04 Jul 2022
A non-stationary extreme-value approach for climate projection ensembles: application to snow loads in the French Alps
Erwan Le Roux, Guillaume Evin, Nicolas Eckert, Juliette Blanchet, and Samuel Morin
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1059–1075, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1059-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1059-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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28 Apr 2022
MESMER-M: an Earth system model emulator for spatially resolved monthly temperature
Shruti Nath, Quentin Lejeune, Lea Beusch, Sonia I. Seneviratne, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 851–877, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-851-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-851-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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13 Apr 2022
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Coupling human and natural systems for sustainability: experience from China's Loess Plateau
Bojie Fu, Xutong Wu, Zhuangzhuang Wang, Xilin Wu, and Shuai Wang
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 795–808, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-795-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-795-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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11 Apr 2022
Global climate change and the Baltic Sea ecosystem: direct and indirect effects on species, communities and ecosystem functioning
Markku Viitasalo and Erik Bonsdorff
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 711–747, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-711-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-711-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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01 Apr 2022
Evaluation of convection-permitting extreme precipitation simulations for the south of France
Linh N. Luu, Robert Vautard, Pascal Yiou, and Jean-Michel Soubeyroux
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 687–702, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-687-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-687-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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17 Nov 2022
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability in equilibrated warmer climates
Yiyu Zheng, Maria Rugenstein, Patrick Pieper, Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga, and Johanna Baehr
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1611–1623, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1611-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1611-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (5 comments)
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01 Nov 2022
Disentangling the climate divide with emotional patterns: a network-based mindset reconstruction approach
Roger Cremades and Massimo Stella
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1473–1489, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1473-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1473-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (5 comments)
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26 Aug 2022
Indices of extremes: geographic patterns of change in extremes and associated vegetation impacts under climate intervention
Mari R. Tye, Katherine Dagon, Maria J. Molina, Jadwiga H. Richter, Daniele Visioni, Ben Kravitz, and Simone Tilmes
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1233–1257, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1233-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1233-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (5 comments)
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12 Aug 2022
Direct and Indirect Application of Univariate and Multivariate Bias Corrections on Heat-stress Indices based on Multi-RCM Simulations
Liying Qiu, Eun-Soon Im, Seung-Ki Min, Yeon-Hee Kim, Dong-Hyun Cha, Seok-Woo Shin, Joong-Bae Ahn, Eun-Chul Chang, and Young-Hwa Byun
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-33,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-33, 2022
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
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18 Jul 2022
Opening Pandora's box: How to constrain regional projections of the carbon cycle
Lina Teckentrup, Martin Gerard De Kauwe, Gab Abramowitz, Andrew John Pitman, Anna Maria Ukkola, Sanaa Hobeichi, Bastien François, and Benjamin Smith
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-623,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-623, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
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03 Jun 2022
Countries most exposed to individual and compound extremes at different global warming levels
Fulden Batibeniz, Mathias Hauser, and Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-321,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-321, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
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18 May 2022
Time varying changes and uncertainties in the CMIP6 ocean carbon sink from global to regional to local scale
Parsa Gooya, Neil C. Swart, and Roberta C. Hamme
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-19,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-19, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 5 comments)
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19 Apr 2022
Divergent historical GPP trends among state-of-the-art multi-model simulations and satellite-based products
Ruqi Yang, Jun Wang, Ning Zeng, Stephen Sitch, Wenhan Tang, Matthew Joseph McGrath, Qixiang Cai, Di Liu, Danica Lombardozzi, Hanqin Tian, Atul K. Jain, and Pengfei Han
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 833–849, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-833-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-833-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (5 comments)
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21 Mar 2023
Multi-million-year cycles in modelled δ13C as a response to astronomical forcing of organic matter fluxes
Gaëlle Leloup and Didier Paillard
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 291–307, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-291-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-291-2023, 2023
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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21 Mar 2023
Regime-oriented causal model evaluation of Atlantic–Pacific teleconnections in CMIP6
Soufiane Karmouche, Evgenia Galytska, Jakob Runge, Gerald A. Meehl, Adam S. Phillips, Katja Weigel, and Veronika Eyring
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 309–344, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-309-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-309-2023, 2023
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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21 Mar 2023
The implications of maintaining Earth's hemispheric albedo symmetry for shortwave radiative feedbacks
Aiden R. Jönsson and Frida A.-M. Bender
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 345–365, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-345-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-345-2023, 2023
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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01 Mar 2023
Ensemble forecast of an index of the Madden–Julian Oscillation using a stochastic weather generator based on circulation analogs
Meriem Krouma, Riccardo Silini, and Pascal Yiou
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 273–290, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-273-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-273-2023, 2023
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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27 Feb 2023
The response of the regional longwave radiation balance and climate system in Europe to an idealized afforestation experiment
Marcus Breil, Felix Krawczyk, and Joaquim G. Pinto
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 243–253, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-243-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-243-2023, 2023
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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22 Feb 2023
Impacts of anthropogenic water regulation on global riverine dissolved organic carbon transport
Yanbin You, Zhenghui Xie, Binghao Jia, Yan Wang, Longhuan Wang, Ruichao Li, Heng Yan, Yuhang Tian, and Si Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-2,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-2, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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14 Feb 2023
Reliability of resilience estimation based on multi-instrument time series
Taylor Smith, Ruxandra-Maria Zotta, Chris A. Boulton, Timothy M. Lenton, Wouter Dorigo, and Niklas Boers
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 173–183, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-173-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-173-2023, 2023
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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06 Feb 2023
Evaluating Nitrogen Cycling in Terrestrial Biosphere Models: Implications for the Future Terrestrial Carbon Sink
Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Vivek Arora, Christian Seiler, Almut Arneth, Stefanie Falk, Atul Jain, Fortunat Joos, Daniel Kennedy, Jürgen Knauer, Stephen Sitch, Michael O'Sullivan, Naiqing Pan, Qing Sun, Hanqin Tian, Nicolas Vuichard, and Sönke Zaehle
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-167,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-167, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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