Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
Last 12 months
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03 Nov 2021
ESD Ideas: A Global Warming Scaling Law
Mikhail Verbitsky and Michael Mann
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-87,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-87, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 19 comments)
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12 May 2021
ESD Ideas: Planetary Antifragility: A new dimension in the definition of the Safe Operating Space for Humanity
Oliver López-Corona and Melanie Kolb
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-26,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-26, 2021
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 19 comments)
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26 Nov 2021
Reduced-complexity model for the impact of anthropogenic CO2 emissions on future glacial cycles
Stefanie Talento and Andrey Ganopolski
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1275–1293, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1275-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1275-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (12 comments)
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18 Aug 2021
Weakened impact of the Atlantic Niño on the future equatorial Atlantic and Guinean Coast rainfall
Koffi Worou, Hugues Goosse, Thierry Fichefet, and Fred Kucharski
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-46,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-46, 2021
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 10 comments)
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16 Apr 2021
Identification of a 50-year scaling relating current global energy demands to historically cumulative economic production
Timothy J. Garrett, Matheus R. Grasselli, and Stephen Keen
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-21,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-21, 2021
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 9 comments)
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22 Dec 2021
Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble
Guillaume Evin, Samuel Somot, and Benoit Hingray
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1543–1569, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1543-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1543-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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04 Nov 2021
Exploration of a novel geoengineering solution: lighting up tropical forests at night
Xueyuan Gao, Shunlin Liang, Dongdong Wang, Yan Li, Bin He, and Aolin Jia
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-85,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-85, 2021
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 8 comments)
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23 Aug 2021
The potential for structural errors in emergent constraints
Benjamin M. Sanderson, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Charles D. Koven, Florent Brient, Ben B. B. Booth, Rosie A. Fisher, and Reto Knutti
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 899–918, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-899-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-899-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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17 Aug 2021
Atmospheric regional climate projections for the Baltic Sea Region until 2100
Ole B. Christensen, Erik Kjellström, Christian Dieterich, Matthias Gröger, and H. E. Markus Meier
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-51,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-51, 2021
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 8 comments)
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22 Jul 2021
Atmospheric Rivers in CMIP5 climate ensembles downscaled with a high resolution regional climate model
Matthias Gröger, Christian Dieterich, Cyril Dutheil, Markus Meier, and Dmitry Sein
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-49,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-49, 2021
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 8 comments)
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03 May 2021
Weather extremes over Europe under 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming from HAPPI regional climate ensemble simulations
Kevin Sieck, Christine Nam, Laurens M. Bouwer, Diana Rechid, and Daniela Jacob
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 457–468, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-457-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-457-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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19 Feb 2021
Rankings of extreme and widespread dry and wet events in the Iberian Peninsula between 1901 and 2016
Margarida L. R. Liberato, Irene Montero, Célia Gouveia, Ana Russo, Alexandre M. Ramos, and Ricardo M. Trigo
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 197–210, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-197-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-197-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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08 Dec 2021
How can solar geoengineering and mitigation be combined under climate targets?
Mohammad M. Khabbazan, Marius Stankoweit, Elnaz Roshan, Hauke Schmidt, and Hermann Held
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1529–1542, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1529-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1529-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (7 comments)
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27 May 2021
Earth system economics: a biophysical approach to the human component of the Earth system
Eric D. Galbraith
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 671–687, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-671-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-671-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (7 comments)
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19 Jan 2022
The fractional energy balance equation for climate projections through 2100
Roman Procyk, Shaun Lovejoy, and Raphael Hébert
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 81–107, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-81-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-81-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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09 Dec 2021
Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability
Keith B. Rodgers, Sun-Seon Lee, Nan Rosenbloom, Axel Timmermann, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Clara Deser, Jim Edwards, Ji-Eun Kim, Isla R. Simpson, Karl Stein, Malte F. Stuecker, Ryohei Yamaguchi, Tamás Bódai, Eui-Seok Chung, Lei Huang, Who M. Kim, Jean-François Lamarque, Danica L. Lombardozzi, William R. Wieder, and Stephen G. Yeager
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1393–1411, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1393-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1393-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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06 Dec 2021
Storylines of weather-induced crop failure events under climate change
Henrique M. D. Goulart, Karin van der Wiel, Christian Folberth, Juraj Balkovic, and Bart van den Hurk
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1503–1527, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1503-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1503-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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30 Nov 2021
Exploring the coupled ocean and atmosphere system with a data science approach applied to observations from the Antarctic Circumnavigation Expedition
Sebastian Landwehr, Michele Volpi, F. Alexander Haumann, Charlotte M. Robinson, Iris Thurnherr, Valerio Ferracci, Andrea Baccarini, Jenny Thomas, Irina Gorodetskaya, Christian Tatzelt, Silvia Henning, Rob L. Modini, Heather J. Forrer, Yajuan Lin, Nicolas Cassar, Rafel Simó, Christel Hassler, Alireza Moallemi, Sarah E. Fawcett, Neil Harris, Ruth Airs, Marzieh H. Derkani, Alberto Alberello, Alessandro Toffoli, Gang Chen, Pablo Rodríguez-Ros, Marina Zamanillo, Pau Cortés-Greus, Lei Xue, Conor G. Bolas, Katherine C. Leonard, Fernando Perez-Cruz, David Walton, and Julia Schmale
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1295–1369, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1295-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1295-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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09 Nov 2021
Climate change impacts on solar power generation and its spatial variability in Europe based on CMIP6
Xinyuan Hou, Martin Wild, Doris Folini, Stelios Kazadzis, and Jan Wohland
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1099–1113, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1099-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1099-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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15 Oct 2021
Vulnerability of European ecosystems to two compound dry and hot summers in 2018 and 2019
Ana Bastos, René Orth, Markus Reichstein, Philippe Ciais, Nicolas Viovy, Sönke Zaehle, Peter Anthoni, Almut Arneth, Pierre Gentine, Emilie Joetzjer, Sebastian Lienert, Tammas Loughran, Patrick C. McGuire, Sungmin O, Julia Pongratz, and Stephen Sitch
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1015–1035, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1015-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1015-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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13 Sep 2021
Exploring how groundwater buffers the influence of heatwaves on vegetation function during multi-year droughts
Mengyuan Mu, Martin G. De Kauwe, Anna M. Ukkola, Andy J. Pitman, Weidong Guo, Sanaa Hobeichi, and Peter R. Briggs
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 919–938, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-919-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-919-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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10 Sep 2021
Global climate change and the Baltic Sea ecosystem: direct and indirect effects on species, communities and ecosystem functioning
Markku Viitasalo and Erik Bonsdorff
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-73,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-73, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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03 Sep 2021
MESMER-M: an Earth System Model emulator for spatially resolved monthly temperatures
Shruti Nath, Quentin Lejeune, Lea Beusch, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, and Sonia I. Seneviratne
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-59,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-59, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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30 Jul 2021
The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections
Josep Cos, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Martin Jury, Raül Marcos, Pièrre-Antoine Bretonnière, and Margarida Samsó
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-65,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-65, 2021
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 6 comments)
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14 Jul 2021
Resolving ecological feedbacks on the ocean carbon sink in Earth system models
David I. Armstrong McKay, Sarah E. Cornell, Katherine Richardson, and Johan Rockström
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 797–818, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-797-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-797-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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12 Jul 2021
Modelling sea-level fingerprints of glaciated regions with low mantle viscosity
Alan Bartholet, Glenn A. Milne, and Konstantin Latychev
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 783–795, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-783-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-783-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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30 Jun 2021
Bookkeeping estimates of the net land-use change flux – a sensitivity study with the CMIP6 land-use dataset
Kerstin Hartung, Ana Bastos, Louise Chini, Raphael Ganzenmüller, Felix Havermann, George C. Hurtt, Tammas Loughran, Julia E. M. S. Nabel, Tobias Nützel, Wolfgang A. Obermeier, and Julia Pongratz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 763–782, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-763-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-763-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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30 Jun 2021
Impact of urbanization on thermal environment of Chengdu-Chongqing Urban Agglomeration under complex terrain
Si Chen, Zhenghui Xie, Jinbo Xie, Bin Liu, Binghao Jia, Peihua Qin, Longhuan Wang, Yan Wang, and Ruichao Li
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-22,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-22, 2021
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 6 comments)
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21 Jun 2021
Climate-controlled root zone parameters show potential to improve water flux simulations by land surface models
Fransje van Oorschot, Ruud J. van der Ent, Markus Hrachowitz, and Andrea Alessandri
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 725–743, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-725-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-725-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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21 May 2021
Modelled land use and land cover change emissions – a spatio-temporal comparison of different approaches
Wolfgang A. Obermeier, Julia E. M. S. Nabel, Tammas Loughran, Kerstin Hartung, Ana Bastos, Felix Havermann, Peter Anthoni, Almut Arneth, Daniel S. Goll, Sebastian Lienert, Danica Lombardozzi, Sebastiaan Luyssaert, Patrick C. McGuire, Joe R. Melton, Benjamin Poulter, Stephen Sitch, Michael O. Sullivan, Hanqin Tian, Anthony P. Walker, Andrew J. Wiltshire, Soenke Zaehle, and Julia Pongratz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 635–670, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-635-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-635-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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08 Apr 2021
Seasonal discharge response to temperature-driven changes in evaporation and snow processes in the Rhine Basin
Joost Buitink, Lieke A. Melsen, and Adriaan J. Teuling
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 387–400, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-387-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-387-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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31 Mar 2021
A climate network perspective on the intertropical convergence zone
Frederik Wolf, Aiko Voigt, and Reik V. Donner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 353–366, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-353-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-353-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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30 Mar 2021
Diverging land-use projections cause large variability in their impacts on ecosystems and related indicators for ecosystem services
Anita D. Bayer, Richard Fuchs, Reinhard Mey, Andreas Krause, Peter H. Verburg, Peter Anthoni, and Almut Arneth
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 327–351, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-327-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-327-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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23 Feb 2021
How modelling paradigms affect simulated future land use change
Calum Brown, Ian Holman, and Mark Rounsevell
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 211–231, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-211-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-211-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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11 Feb 2021
Assessment of a full-field initialized decadal climate prediction system with the CMIP6 version of EC-Earth
Roberto Bilbao, Simon Wild, Pablo Ortega, Juan Acosta-Navarro, Thomas Arsouze, Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière, Louis-Philippe Caron, Miguel Castrillo, Rubén Cruz-García, Ivana Cvijanovic, Francisco Javier Doblas-Reyes, Markus Donat, Emanuel Dutra, Pablo Echevarría, An-Chi Ho, Saskia Loosveldt-Tomas, Eduardo Moreno-Chamarro, Núria Pérez-Zanon, Arthur Ramos, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Valentina Sicardi, Etienne Tourigny, and Javier Vegas-Regidor
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 173–196, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-173-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-173-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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10 Feb 2021
Identifying meteorological drivers of extreme impacts: an application to simulated crop yields
Johannes Vogel, Pauline Rivoire, Cristina Deidda, Leila Rahimi, Christoph A. Sauter, Elisabeth Tschumi, Karin van der Wiel, Tianyi Zhang, and Jakob Zscheischler
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 151–172, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-151-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-151-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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24 Nov 2021
Wind speed stilling and its recovery due to internal climate variability
Jan Wohland, Doris Folini, and Bryn Pickering
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1239–1251, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1239-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1239-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (5 comments)
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03 Jun 2021
Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming
Nico Wunderling, Jonathan F. Donges, Jürgen Kurths, and Ricarda Winkelmann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 601–619, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-601-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-601-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (5 comments)
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03 Jan 2022
Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region
Marcus Reckermann, Anders Omstedt, Tarmo Soomere, Juris Aigars, Naveed Akhtar, Magdalena Bełdowska, Jacek Bełdowski, Tom Cronin, Michał Czub, Margit Eero, Kari Petri Hyytiäinen, Jukka-Pekka Jalkanen, Anders Kiessling, Erik Kjellström, Karol Kuliński, Xiaoli Guo Larsén, Michelle McCrackin, H. E. Markus Meier, Sonja Oberbeckmann, Kevin Parnell, Cristian Pons-Seres de Brauwer, Anneli Poska, Jarkko Saarinen, Beata Szymczycha, Emma Undeman, Anders Wörman, and Eduardo Zorita
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1–80, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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20 Dec 2021
Resilience of UK crop yields to changing climate extremes
Louise J. Slater, Chris Huntingford, Richard F. Pywell, John W. Redhead, and Elizabeth J. Kendon
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-92,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-92, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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06 Dec 2021
Extreme metrics from large ensembles: investigating the effects of ensemble size on their estimates
Claudia Tebaldi, Kalyn Dorheim, Michael Wehner, and Ruby Leung
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1427–1501, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1427-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1427-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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02 Dec 2021
Process-based analysis of terrestrial carbon flux predictability
István Dunkl, Aaron Spring, Pierre Friedlingstein, and Victor Brovkin
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1413–1426, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1413-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1413-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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30 Nov 2021
Glacial runoff buffers droughts through the 21st century
Lizz Ultee, Sloan Coats, and Jonathan Mackay
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-94,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-94, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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30 Nov 2021
Impacts of compound hot–dry extremes on US soybean yields
Raed Hamed, Anne F. Van Loon, Jeroen Aerts, and Dim Coumou
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1371–1391, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1371-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1371-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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25 Nov 2021
Earth System Sensitivity: a Feedback perspective
Peter O. Passenier
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-78,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-78, 2021
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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25 Nov 2021
Is time a variable like the others in multivariate statistical downscaling and bias correction?
Yoann Robin and Mathieu Vrac
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1253–1273, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1253-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1253-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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23 Nov 2021
Parameter uncertainty dominates C-cycle forecast errors over most of Brazil for the 21st century
Thomas Luke Smallman, David Thomas Milodowski, Eráclito Sousa Neto, Gerbrand Koren, Jean Ometto, and Mathew Williams
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1191–1237, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1191-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1191-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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16 Nov 2021
Accounting for surface waves improves gas flux estimation at high wind speed in a large lake
Pascal Perolo, Bieito Fernández Castro, Nicolas Escoffier, Thibault Lambert, Damien Bouffard, and Marie-Elodie Perga
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1169–1189, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1169-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1169-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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15 Nov 2021
Trivial improvements in predictive skill due to direct reconstruction of the global carbon cycle
Aaron Spring, István Dunkl, Hongmei Li, Victor Brovkin, and Tatiana Ilyina
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1139–1167, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1139-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1139-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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12 Nov 2021
Taxonomies for structuring models for World–Earth systems analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social–ecological feedback loops
Jonathan F. Donges, Wolfgang Lucht, Sarah E. Cornell, Jobst Heitzig, Wolfram Barfuss, Steven J. Lade, and Maja Schlüter
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1115–1137, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1115-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1115-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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