Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
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05 Aug 2022
ESD Ideas: planetary antifragility: a new dimension in the definition of the safe operating space for humanity
Oliver López-Corona, Melanie Kolb, Elvia Ramírez-Carrillo, and Jon Lovett
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1145–1155, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1145-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1145-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (19 comments)
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26 Nov 2021
Reduced-complexity model for the impact of anthropogenic CO2 emissions on future glacial cycles
Stefanie Talento and Andrey Ganopolski
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1275–1293, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1275-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1275-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (12 comments)
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31 Jan 2022
Weakened impact of the Atlantic Niño on the future equatorial Atlantic and Guinea Coast rainfall
Koffi Worou, Hugues Goosse, Thierry Fichefet, and Fred Kucharski
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 231–249, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-231-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-231-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (10 comments)
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03 Dec 2021
The Earth's climate lagged, recurrent and non-linear solar and lunar multi-millennial scale responses: An oceanic hypothesis, evidence, verifications and forecasts
Jorge Sánchez-Sesma
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-84,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-84, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 10 comments)
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15 Jun 2022
Lotka's wheel and the long arm of history: how does the distant past determine today's global rate of energy consumption?
Timothy J. Garrett, Matheus R. Grasselli, and Stephen Keen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1021–1028, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1021-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1021-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (9 comments)
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14 Jan 2022
Carbon Dioxide Removal via Macroalgae Open-ocean Mariculture and Sinking: An Earth System Modeling Study
Jiajun Wu, David P. Keller, and Andreas Oschlies
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-104,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-104, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 9 comments)
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22 Jul 2022
Dynamic regimes of the Greenland Ice Sheet emerging from interacting melt–elevation and glacial isostatic adjustment feedbacks
Maria Zeitz, Jan M. Haacker, Jonathan F. Donges, Torsten Albrecht, and Ricarda Winkelmann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1077–1096, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1077-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1077-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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30 Mar 2022
Atmospheric rivers in CMIP5 climate ensembles downscaled with a high-resolution regional climate model
Matthias Gröger, Christian Dieterich, Cyril Dutheil, H. E. Markus Meier, and Dmitry V. Sein
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 613–631, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-613-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-613-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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01 Mar 2022
The effect of anthropogenic heat emissions on global warming
Dimitre Karamanev
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-5,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-5, 2022
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 8 comments)
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31 Jan 2022
Exploration of a novel geoengineering solution: lighting up tropical forests at night
Xueyuan Gao, Shunlin Liang, Dongdong Wang, Yan Li, Bin He, and Aolin Jia
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 219–230, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-219-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-219-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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24 Jan 2022
Atmospheric regional climate projections for the Baltic Sea region until 2100
Ole Bøssing Christensen, Erik Kjellström, Christian Dieterich, Matthias Gröger, and Hans Eberhard Markus Meier
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 133–157, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-133-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-133-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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22 Dec 2021
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Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble
Guillaume Evin, Samuel Somot, and Benoit Hingray
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1543–1569, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1543-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1543-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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23 Aug 2021
The potential for structural errors in emergent constraints
Benjamin M. Sanderson, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Charles D. Koven, Florent Brient, Ben B. B. Booth, Rosie A. Fisher, and Reto Knutti
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 899–918, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-899-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-899-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (8 comments)
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01 Jun 2022
| Highlight paper
Glacial runoff buffers droughts through the 21st century
Lizz Ultee, Sloan Coats, and Jonathan Mackay
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 935–959, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-935-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-935-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (7 comments)
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23 Mar 2022
Evidence of Amazon rainforest dieback in CMIP6 models
Isobel Parry, Paul Ritchie, and Peter Cox
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-82,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-82, 2022
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 7 comments)
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11 Mar 2022
An updated assessment of past and future warming over France based on a regional observational constraint
Aurélien Ribes, Julien Boé, Saïd Qasmi, Brigitte Dubuisson, Hervé Douville, and Laurent Terray
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-7,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-7, 2022
Discussion: final response, 7 comments
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21 Feb 2022
The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth System Models
Steven Johan De Hertog, Felix Havermann, Inne Vanderkelen, Suqi Guo, Fei Luo, Iris Manola, Dim Coumou, Edouard Léopold Davin, Gregory Duveiller, Quentin Lejeune, Julia Pongratz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne, and Wim Thiery
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-5,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-5, 2022
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 7 comments)
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08 Dec 2021
How can solar geoengineering and mitigation be combined under climate targets?
Mohammad M. Khabbazan, Marius Stankoweit, Elnaz Roshan, Hauke Schmidt, and Hermann Held
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1529–1542, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1529-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1529-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (7 comments)
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29 Jul 2022
Estimating the lateral transfer of organic carbon through the European river network using a land surface model
Haicheng Zhang, Ronny Lauerwald, Pierre Regnier, Philippe Ciais, Kristof Van Oost, Victoria Naipal, Bertrand Guenet, and Wenping Yuan
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1119–1144, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1119-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1119-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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28 Jul 2022
Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO2 flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario
Pradeebane Vaittinada Ayar, Laurent Bopp, Jim R. Christian, Tatiana Ilyina, John P. Krasting, Roland Séférian, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Michio Watanabe, Andrew Yool, and Jerry Tjiputra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1097–1118, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1097-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1097-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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04 Jul 2022
A non-stationary extreme-value approach for climate projection ensembles: application to snow loads in the French Alps
Erwan Le Roux, Guillaume Evin, Nicolas Eckert, Juliette Blanchet, and Samuel Morin
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1059–1075, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1059-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1059-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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04 May 2022
Impact of an acceleration of ice sheet melting on monsoon systems
Alizée Chemison, Dimitri Defrance, Gilles Ramstein, and Cyril Caminade
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-197,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-197, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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28 Apr 2022
MESMER-M: an Earth system model emulator for spatially resolved monthly temperature
Shruti Nath, Quentin Lejeune, Lea Beusch, Sonia I. Seneviratne, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 851–877, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-851-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-851-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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26 Apr 2022
The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends
Manoj Joshi, Robert Hall, David Stevens, and Ed Hawkins
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-151,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-151, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 6 comments)
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25 Apr 2022
STITCHES: creating new scenarios of climate model output by stitching together pieces of existing simulations
Claudia Tebaldi, Abigail Snyder, and Kalyn Dorheim
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-14,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-14, 2022
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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20 Apr 2022
Present and future European heat wave magnitudes: climatologies, trends, and their associated uncertainties in GCM-RCM model chains
Changgui Lin, Erik Kjellström, Renate Anna Irma Wilcke, and Deliang Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-215,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-215, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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13 Apr 2022
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Coupling human and natural systems for sustainability: experience from China's Loess Plateau
Bojie Fu, Xutong Wu, Zhuangzhuang Wang, Xilin Wu, and Shuai Wang
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 795–808, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-795-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-795-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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11 Apr 2022
Constraining low-frequency variability in climate projections to predict climate on decadal to multi-decadal time scales – a ‘poor-man’ initialized prediction system
Rashed Mahmood, Markus G. Donat, Pablo Ortega, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Carlos Delgado-Torres, Margarida Samsó, and Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-98,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-98, 2022
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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11 Apr 2022
Global climate change and the Baltic Sea ecosystem: direct and indirect effects on species, communities and ecosystem functioning
Markku Viitasalo and Erik Bonsdorff
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 711–747, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-711-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-711-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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01 Apr 2022
Evaluation of convection-permitting extreme precipitation simulations for the south of France
Linh N. Luu, Robert Vautard, Pascal Yiou, and Jean-Michel Soubeyroux
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 687–702, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-687-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-687-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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11 Mar 2022
Process-based Estimate of Global-mean Sea-level Changes in the Common Era
Gangadharan Nidheesh, Hugues Goosse, David Parkes, Heiko Goelzer, Fabien Maussion, and Ben Marzeion
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-2,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-2, 2022
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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14 Feb 2022
Impact of urbanization on the thermal environment of the Chengdu–Chongqing urban agglomeration under complex terrain
Si Chen, Zhenghui Xie, Jinbo Xie, Bin Liu, Binghao Jia, Peihua Qin, Longhuan Wang, Yan Wang, and Ruichao Li
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 341–356, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-341-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-341-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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08 Feb 2022
The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections
Josep Cos, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Martin Jury, Raül Marcos, Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière, and Margarida Samsó
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 321–340, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-321-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-321-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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19 Jan 2022
The fractional energy balance equation for climate projections through 2100
Roman Procyk, Shaun Lovejoy, and Raphael Hébert
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 81–107, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-81-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-81-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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20 Dec 2021
Resilience of UK crop yields to changing climate extremes
Louise J. Slater, Chris Huntingford, Richard F. Pywell, John W. Redhead, and Elizabeth J. Kendon
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-92,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-92, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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09 Dec 2021
| Highlight paper
Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability
Keith B. Rodgers, Sun-Seon Lee, Nan Rosenbloom, Axel Timmermann, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Clara Deser, Jim Edwards, Ji-Eun Kim, Isla R. Simpson, Karl Stein, Malte F. Stuecker, Ryohei Yamaguchi, Tamás Bódai, Eui-Seok Chung, Lei Huang, Who M. Kim, Jean-François Lamarque, Danica L. Lombardozzi, William R. Wieder, and Stephen G. Yeager
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1393–1411, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1393-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1393-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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06 Dec 2021
Storylines of weather-induced crop failure events under climate change
Henrique M. D. Goulart, Karin van der Wiel, Christian Folberth, Juraj Balkovic, and Bart van den Hurk
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1503–1527, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1503-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1503-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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30 Nov 2021
Exploring the coupled ocean and atmosphere system with a data science approach applied to observations from the Antarctic Circumnavigation Expedition
Sebastian Landwehr, Michele Volpi, F. Alexander Haumann, Charlotte M. Robinson, Iris Thurnherr, Valerio Ferracci, Andrea Baccarini, Jenny Thomas, Irina Gorodetskaya, Christian Tatzelt, Silvia Henning, Rob L. Modini, Heather J. Forrer, Yajuan Lin, Nicolas Cassar, Rafel Simó, Christel Hassler, Alireza Moallemi, Sarah E. Fawcett, Neil Harris, Ruth Airs, Marzieh H. Derkani, Alberto Alberello, Alessandro Toffoli, Gang Chen, Pablo Rodríguez-Ros, Marina Zamanillo, Pau Cortés-Greus, Lei Xue, Conor G. Bolas, Katherine C. Leonard, Fernando Perez-Cruz, David Walton, and Julia Schmale
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1295–1369, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1295-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1295-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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09 Nov 2021
Climate change impacts on solar power generation and its spatial variability in Europe based on CMIP6
Xinyuan Hou, Martin Wild, Doris Folini, Stelios Kazadzis, and Jan Wohland
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1099–1113, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1099-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1099-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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15 Oct 2021
| Highlight paper
Vulnerability of European ecosystems to two compound dry and hot summers in 2018 and 2019
Ana Bastos, René Orth, Markus Reichstein, Philippe Ciais, Nicolas Viovy, Sönke Zaehle, Peter Anthoni, Almut Arneth, Pierre Gentine, Emilie Joetzjer, Sebastian Lienert, Tammas Loughran, Patrick C. McGuire, Sungmin O, Julia Pongratz, and Stephen Sitch
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1015–1035, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1015-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1015-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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13 Sep 2021
Exploring how groundwater buffers the influence of heatwaves on vegetation function during multi-year droughts
Mengyuan Mu, Martin G. De Kauwe, Anna M. Ukkola, Andy J. Pitman, Weidong Guo, Sanaa Hobeichi, and Peter R. Briggs
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 919–938, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-919-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-919-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (6 comments)
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19 Apr 2022
Divergent historical GPP trends among state-of-the-art multi-model simulations and satellite-based products
Ruqi Yang, Jun Wang, Ning Zeng, Stephen Sitch, Wenhan Tang, Matthew Joseph McGrath, Qixiang Cai, Di Liu, Danica Lombardozzi, Hanqin Tian, Atul K. Jain, and Pengfei Han
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 833–849, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-833-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-833-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (5 comments)
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14 Mar 2022
Indices of Extremes: Geographic patterns of change in extremes and associated vegetation impacts under climate intervention
Mari R. Tye, Katherine Dagon, Maria J. Molina, Jadwiga H. Richter, Daniele Visioni, Ben Kravitz, Claudia Tebaldi, and Simone Tilmes
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
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07 Mar 2022
Disentangling the Climate Divide with Emotional Patterns: a Network-Based Mindset Reconstruction Approach
Roger Cremades and Massimo Stella
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-71,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-71, 2022
Revised manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
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23 Feb 2022
Agricultural management effects on mean and extreme temperature trends
Aine M. Gormley-Gallagher, Sebastian Sterl, Annette L. Hirsch, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Edouard L. Davin, and Wim Thiery
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 419–438, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-419-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-419-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (5 comments)
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24 Nov 2021
Wind speed stilling and its recovery due to internal climate variability
Jan Wohland, Doris Folini, and Bryn Pickering
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1239–1251, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1239-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1239-2021, 2021
Final revised paper published in ESD (5 comments)
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04 Jul 2022
Effect of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation on atmospheric pCO2 variations
Amber Boot, Anna S. von der Heydt, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1041–1058, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1041-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1041-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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21 Jun 2022
Complex network analysis of fine particulate matter (PM2.5): transport and clustering
Na Ying, Wansuo Duan, Zhidan Zhao, and Jingfang Fan
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1029–1039, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1029-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1029-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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14 Jun 2022
A methodology for the spatiotemporal identification of compound hazards: wind and precipitation extremes in Great Britain (1979–2019)
Aloïs Tilloy, Bruce D. Malamud, and Amélie Joly-Laugel
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 993–1020, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-993-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-993-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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02 Jun 2022
Present and future synoptic circulation patterns associated with cold and snowy spells over Italy
Miriam D'Errico, Flavio Pons, Pascal Yiou, Soulivanh Tao, Cesare Nardini, Frank Lunkeit, and Davide Faranda
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 961–992, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-961-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-961-2022, 2022
Final revised paper published in ESD (4 comments)
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