Articles | Volume 12, issue 4
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1543–1569, 2021
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1543–1569, 2021

Research article 22 Dec 2021

Research article | 22 Dec 2021

Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble

Guillaume Evin et al.

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Cited articles

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Bichet, A., Diedhiou, A., Hingray, B., Evin, G., Touré, N. E., Browne, K. N. A., and Kouadio, K.: Assessing Uncertainties in the Regional Projections of Precipitation in CORDEX-AFRICA, Clim. Change, 162, 583–601,, 2020. a
Boé, J., Somot, S., Corre, L., and Nabat, P.: Large Discrepancies in Summer Climate Change over Europe as Projected by Global and Regional Climate Models: Causes and Consequences, Clim. Dynam., 54, 2981–3002,, 2020. a, b
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Short summary
This research paper proposes an assessment of mean climate change responses and related uncertainties over Europe for mean seasonal temperature and total seasonal precipitation. An advanced statistical approach is applied to a large ensemble of 87 high-resolution EURO-CORDEX projections. For the first time, we provide a comprehensive estimation of the relative contribution of GCMs and RCMs, RCP scenarios, and internal variability to the total variance of a very large ensemble.
Final-revised paper