Articles | Volume 12, issue 4
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1543–1569, 2021
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1543–1569, 2021

Research article 22 Dec 2021

Research article | 22 Dec 2021

Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble

Guillaume Evin et al.

Model code and software

QUALYPSO: Partitioning Uncertainty Components of an Incomplete Ensemble of Climate Projections G. Evin

Short summary
This research paper proposes an assessment of mean climate change responses and related uncertainties over Europe for mean seasonal temperature and total seasonal precipitation. An advanced statistical approach is applied to a large ensemble of 87 high-resolution EURO-CORDEX projections. For the first time, we provide a comprehensive estimation of the relative contribution of GCMs and RCMs, RCP scenarios, and internal variability to the total variance of a very large ensemble.
Final-revised paper