Articles | Volume 9, issue 3
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 985–997, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-985-2018
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 985–997, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-985-2018

Research article 23 Jul 2018

Research article | 23 Jul 2018

Seasonal prediction skill of East Asian summer monsoon in CMIP5 models

Bo Huang et al.

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We find that CMIP5 models show more significant improvement in predicting zonal winds with initialisation than without initialisation based on the knowledge that zonal wind indices can be used as potential predictors for the EASM. Given the initial conditions, two models improve the seasonal prediction skill of the EASM, while one model decreases it. The models have different responses to initialisation due to their ability to depict the EASM–ESNO coupled mode.
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