Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 9, issue 3
Articles | Volume 9, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-985-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-985-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 9, issue 3
Research article
 | 
23 Jul 2018
Research article |  | 23 Jul 2018

Seasonal prediction skill of East Asian summer monsoon in CMIP5 models

Bo Huang, Ulrich Cubasch, and Christopher Kadow

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Short summary
We find that CMIP5 models show more significant improvement in predicting zonal winds with initialisation than without initialisation based on the knowledge that zonal wind indices can be used as potential predictors for the EASM. Given the initial conditions, two models improve the seasonal prediction skill of the EASM, while one model decreases it. The models have different responses to initialisation due to their ability to depict the EASM–ESNO coupled mode.
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