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ESD | Articles | Volume 11, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 509–524, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-509-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 509–524, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-509-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 29 May 2020

Research article | 29 May 2020

Eurasian autumn snow link to winter North Atlantic Oscillation is strongest for Arctic warming periods

Martin Wegmann et al.

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Cited articles

Allan, R. and Ansell, T.: A New Globally Complete Monthly Historical Gridded Mean Sea Level Pressure Dataset (HadSLP2): 1850–2004, J. Climate, 19, 5816–5842, 2006. 
Athanasiadis, P. J., Bellucci, A., Scaife, A. A., Hermanson, L., Materia, S., Sanna, A., Borrelli, A., MacLachlan, C., and Gualdi, S.: A multisystem view of wintertime NAO seasonal predictions, J. Climate, 30, 1461–1475, 2017. 
Blackport, R. and Screen, J. A.: Influence of Arctic Sea Ice Loss in Autumn Compared to That in Winter on the Atmospheric Circulation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 2213–2221, 2019. 
Blackport, R., Screen, J. A., van der Weil, K., and Bintanja, R.: Minimal influence of reduced Arctic sea ice on coincident cold winters in mid-latitudes, Nat. Clim. Change, 9, 697–704, 2019. 
Boland, E. J., Bracegirdle, T. J., and Shuckburgh, E. F.: Assessment of sea ice-atmosphere links in CMIP5 models, Clim. Dyn., 49, 683–702, 2017. 
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Short summary
Predicting the climate of the upcoming season is of big societal benefit, but finding out which component of the climate system can act as a predictor is difficult. In this study, we focus on Eurasian snow cover as such a component and show that knowing the snow cover in November is very helpful in predicting the state of winter over Europe. However, this mechanism was questioned in the past. Using snow data that go back 150 years into the past, we are now very confident in this relationship.
Predicting the climate of the upcoming season is of big societal benefit, but finding out which...
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