Articles | Volume 11, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-509-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-509-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
29 May 2020
Research article |
| 29 May 2020
| 29 May 2020
Eurasian autumn snow link to winter North Atlantic Oscillation is strongest for Arctic warming periods
Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research,
Bremerhaven, Germany
Marco Rohrer
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern,
Switzerland
Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
now at: Axis Capital, Zurich, Switzerland
María Santolaria-Otín
Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement, Université
Grenoble-Alpes, Grenoble, France
Gerrit Lohmann
Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research,
Bremerhaven, Germany
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Cited
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Recent fall Eurasian cooling linked to North Pacific sea surface temperatures and a strengthening Siberian high B. Li et al. 10.1038/s41467-020-19014-2
- Linking Arctic variability and change with extreme winter weather in the United States J. Cohen et al. 10.1126/science.abi9167
- Response of Precipitation in Tianshan to Global Climate Change Based on the Berkeley Earth and ERA5 Reanalysis Products M. Fan et al. 10.3390/rs14030519
- Evaluation of the INM RAS climate model skill in climate indices and stratospheric anomalies on seasonal timescale V. Vorobyeva & E. Volodin 10.1080/16000870.2021.1892435
- Advancing Our Understanding of Eddy-driven Jet Stream Responses to Climate Change – A Roadmap A. Ossó et al. 10.1007/s40641-024-00199-3
- Interdecadal change in the response of winter North Atlantic Oscillation to the preceding autumn sea ice in the Barents-Kara Seas around the early 1990s Z. Song et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.107123
- Revealing the Formation of the Dipole Mode of Eurasian Snow Cover Variability During Late Autumn T. Zhang et al. 10.1029/2022JD038233
- Probabilistic seasonal forecasts of North Atlantic atmospheric circulation using complex systems modelling and comparison with dynamical models Y. Sun et al. 10.1002/met.2178
- Relationship between Anomalies of the Rate of Snow Cover Formation in Western Siberia and Atmospheric Dynamics in the Northern Hemisphere in the Autumn–Winter Season Y. Martynova et al. 10.1134/S0001433822010078
- Distinct Interannual Variability and Physical Mechanisms of Snowfall Frequency over the Eurasian Continent during Autumn and Winter S. Zhou et al. 10.1007/s00376-024-3327-3
- An examination of changes in autumn Eurasian snow cover and its relationship with the winter Arctic Oscillation using 20th Century Reanalysis version 3 G. Marshall 10.5194/tc-19-663-2025
- Impact of Eurasian autumn snow on the winter North Atlantic Oscillation in seasonal forecasts of the 20th century M. Wegmann et al. 10.5194/wcd-2-1245-2021
- Manifestation of the Early 20th Century Warming in the East-European Plain: Atmospheric Circulation Anomalies and Its Connection to the North Atlantic SST and Sea Ice Variability V. Popova et al. 10.3390/atmos14030428
- Dynamics of Spring Snow Cover Variability over Northeast China T. Zhang & X. Wang 10.3390/rs15225330
- Recent Tianshan warming in relation to large-scale climate teleconnections M. Fan et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159201
- Trend and variability in the long‐term relationship between Eurasian snow cover and Indian summer monsoon rainfall P. Pandey et al. 10.1002/joc.7675
- Extreme Drought on the Eastern European Plain during the Early 20th Century Warming: Climate Characteristics and Analogues under the Conditions of Modern Climate V. Popova et al. 10.1134/S2079096123020105
- Attributing climate and weather extremes to Northern Hemisphere sea ice and terrestrial snow: progress, challenges and ways forward K. Ye et al. 10.1038/s41612-025-01012-0
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Recent fall Eurasian cooling linked to North Pacific sea surface temperatures and a strengthening Siberian high B. Li et al. 10.1038/s41467-020-19014-2
- Linking Arctic variability and change with extreme winter weather in the United States J. Cohen et al. 10.1126/science.abi9167
- Response of Precipitation in Tianshan to Global Climate Change Based on the Berkeley Earth and ERA5 Reanalysis Products M. Fan et al. 10.3390/rs14030519
- Evaluation of the INM RAS climate model skill in climate indices and stratospheric anomalies on seasonal timescale V. Vorobyeva & E. Volodin 10.1080/16000870.2021.1892435
- Advancing Our Understanding of Eddy-driven Jet Stream Responses to Climate Change – A Roadmap A. Ossó et al. 10.1007/s40641-024-00199-3
- Interdecadal change in the response of winter North Atlantic Oscillation to the preceding autumn sea ice in the Barents-Kara Seas around the early 1990s Z. Song et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.107123
- Revealing the Formation of the Dipole Mode of Eurasian Snow Cover Variability During Late Autumn T. Zhang et al. 10.1029/2022JD038233
- Probabilistic seasonal forecasts of North Atlantic atmospheric circulation using complex systems modelling and comparison with dynamical models Y. Sun et al. 10.1002/met.2178
- Relationship between Anomalies of the Rate of Snow Cover Formation in Western Siberia and Atmospheric Dynamics in the Northern Hemisphere in the Autumn–Winter Season Y. Martynova et al. 10.1134/S0001433822010078
- Distinct Interannual Variability and Physical Mechanisms of Snowfall Frequency over the Eurasian Continent during Autumn and Winter S. Zhou et al. 10.1007/s00376-024-3327-3
- An examination of changes in autumn Eurasian snow cover and its relationship with the winter Arctic Oscillation using 20th Century Reanalysis version 3 G. Marshall 10.5194/tc-19-663-2025
- Impact of Eurasian autumn snow on the winter North Atlantic Oscillation in seasonal forecasts of the 20th century M. Wegmann et al. 10.5194/wcd-2-1245-2021
- Manifestation of the Early 20th Century Warming in the East-European Plain: Atmospheric Circulation Anomalies and Its Connection to the North Atlantic SST and Sea Ice Variability V. Popova et al. 10.3390/atmos14030428
- Dynamics of Spring Snow Cover Variability over Northeast China T. Zhang & X. Wang 10.3390/rs15225330
- Recent Tianshan warming in relation to large-scale climate teleconnections M. Fan et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159201
- Trend and variability in the long‐term relationship between Eurasian snow cover and Indian summer monsoon rainfall P. Pandey et al. 10.1002/joc.7675
- Extreme Drought on the Eastern European Plain during the Early 20th Century Warming: Climate Characteristics and Analogues under the Conditions of Modern Climate V. Popova et al. 10.1134/S2079096123020105
- Attributing climate and weather extremes to Northern Hemisphere sea ice and terrestrial snow: progress, challenges and ways forward K. Ye et al. 10.1038/s41612-025-01012-0
Latest update: 13 Jul 2025
Short summary
Predicting the climate of the upcoming season is of big societal benefit, but finding out which component of the climate system can act as a predictor is difficult. In this study, we focus on Eurasian snow cover as such a component and show that knowing the snow cover in November is very helpful in predicting the state of winter over Europe. However, this mechanism was questioned in the past. Using snow data that go back 150 years into the past, we are now very confident in this relationship.
Predicting the climate of the upcoming season is of big societal benefit, but finding out which...
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