Articles | Volume 11, issue 4
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 875–883, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-875-2020
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 875–883, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-875-2020

Research article 22 Oct 2020

Research article | 22 Oct 2020

Climate change as an incentive for future human migration

Min Chen and Ken Caldeira

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We examine the implications of future motivation for humans to migrate by analyzing today’s relationships between climatic factors and population density, with all other factors held constant. Such analyses are unlikely to make accurate predictions but can still be useful for informing discussions about the broad range of incentives that might influence migration decisions. Areas with the highest projected population growth rates tend to be the areas most adversely affected by climate change.
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