Articles | Volume 11, issue 4
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 875–883, 2020
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 875–883, 2020

Research article 22 Oct 2020

Research article | 22 Oct 2020

Climate change as an incentive for future human migration

Min Chen and Ken Caldeira


Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (02 Aug 2020) by Valerio Lucarini
AR by K. Caldeira on behalf of the Authors (18 Aug 2020)  Author's response
ED: Publish as is (20 Aug 2020) by Valerio Lucarini
Short summary
We examine the implications of future motivation for humans to migrate by analyzing today’s relationships between climatic factors and population density, with all other factors held constant. Such analyses are unlikely to make accurate predictions but can still be useful for informing discussions about the broad range of incentives that might influence migration decisions. Areas with the highest projected population growth rates tend to be the areas most adversely affected by climate change.
Final-revised paper