Articles | Volume 16, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-803-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-803-2025
Research article
 | 
11 Jun 2025
Research article |  | 11 Jun 2025

Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6

Amali A. Amali, Clemens Schwingshackl, Akihiko Ito, Alina Barbu, Christine Delire, Daniele Peano, David M. Lawrence, David Wårlind, Eddy Robertson, Edouard L. Davin, Elena Shevliakova, Ian N. Harman, Nicolas Vuichard, Paul A. Miller, Peter J. Lawrence, Tilo Ziehn, Tomohiro Hajima, Victor Brovkin, Yanwu Zhang, Vivek K. Arora, and Julia Pongratz

Related authors

ESD Ideas: Extended net zero simulations are critical for informed decision making
Andrew D. King, Nerilie J. Abram, Eduardo Alastrué de Asenjo, and Tilo Ziehn
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1605–1609, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1605-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1605-2025, 2025
Short summary
Drivers of and uncertainty in Amazon carbon sink long-term and interannual variability in CMIP6 models
Matteo Mastropierro, Daniele Peano, and Davide Zanchettin
Biogeosciences, 22, 5231–5246, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-5231-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-5231-2025, 2025
Short summary
Implementing a process-based representation of soil water movement in a second-generation dynamic vegetation model: application to dryland ecosystems (LPJ-GUESS-RE v1.0)
Wim Verbruggen, David Wårlind, Stéphanie Horion, Félicien Meunier, Hans Verbeeck, Aleksander Wieckowski, Torbern Tagesson, and Guy Schurgers
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 6623–6645, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-6623-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-6623-2025, 2025
Short summary
The TIPMIP Earth system model experiment protocol: phase 1
Colin Jones, Isaline Bossert, Donovan P. Dennis, Hazel Jeffery, Chris D. Jones, Torben Koenigk, Sina Loriani, Benjamin Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Klaus Wyser, Shuting Yang, Manabu Abe, Sebastian Bathiany, Pascale Braconnot, Victor Brovkin, Friedrich A. Burger, Patrica Cadule, Frederic S. Castruccio, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Andrea Dittus, Jonathan F. Donges, Friederike Fröb, Thomas Frölicher, Goran Georgievski, Chuncheng Guo, Aixue Hu, Peter Lawrence, Paul Lerner, José Licón-Saláiz, Bette Otto-Bliesner, Anastasia Romanou, Elena Shevliakova, Yona Silvy, Didier Swingedouw, Jerry Tjiputra, Jeremy Walton, Andy Wiltshire, Ricarda Winkelmann, Richard Wood, Tokuta Yokohata, and Tilo Ziehn
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3604,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3604, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).
Short summary
A top-down evaluation of bottom-up estimates to reduce uncertainty in methane emissions from Arctic wetlands
Luana S. Basso, Goran Georgievski, Victor Brovkin, Christian Beer, Christian Rödenbeck, and Mathias Göckede
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4467,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4467, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Biogeosciences (BG).
Short summary

Cited articles

Al-Yaari, A., Ducharne, A., Thiery, W., Cheruy, F., and Lawrence, D.: The Role of Irrigation Expansion on Historical Climate Change: Insights From CMIP6, Earth's Future, 10, 1–19, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002859, 2022. a
Amali, A. A.: Amali et al. (2025): Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6, Zenodo [code], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14998926, 2025. a
Anderson, T. R., Hawkins, E., and Jones, P. D.: CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models, Endeavour, 40, 178–187, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.endeavour.2016.07.002, 2016. a
Arellano-Nava, B., Halloran, P. R., Boulton, C. A., Scourse, J., Butler, P. G., Reynolds, D. J., and Lenton, T. M.: Destabilisation of the Subpolar North Atlantic prior to the Little Ice Age, Nat. Commun., 13, 5008, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32653-x, 2022. a
Arora, V. K. and Boer, G. J.: Uncertainties in the 20th century carbon budget associated with land use change, Global Change Biol., 16, 3327–3348, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02202.x, 2010. a
Download
Short summary
Our study explored the impact of anthropogenic land-use change (LUC) on climate dynamics, focusing on biogeophysical (BGP) and biogeochemical (BGC) effects using data from the Land Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) and the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). We found that LUC-induced carbon emissions contribute to a BGC warming of 0.21 °C, with BGC effects dominating globally over BGP effects, which show regional variability. Our findings highlight discrepancies in model simulations and emphasize the need for improved representations of LUC processes.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint