Articles | Volume 16, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-803-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6
Download
- Final revised paper (published on 11 Jun 2025)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 27 Aug 2024)
- Supplement to the preprint
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
-
RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2460', Anonymous Referee #1, 29 Oct 2024
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Amali A. Amali, 26 Nov 2024
-
RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2460', Anonymous Referee #2, 31 Oct 2024
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Amali A. Amali, 26 Nov 2024
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (05 Dec 2024) by Kirsten Zickfeld
AR by Amali A. Amali on behalf of the Authors (12 Jan 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (20 Jan 2025) by Kirsten Zickfeld
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (11 Feb 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (19 Feb 2025)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (05 Mar 2025) by Kirsten Zickfeld
AR by Amali A. Amali on behalf of the Authors (10 Mar 2025)
Author's response
Manuscript
General comments
In their aptly titled 2024 article “Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6,” authors Amali et al. quantify the biogeophysical (BGP) and biogeochemical (BGC) effect of historical land-use change (LUC) as rendered in 13 earth system models of the sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project’s (CMIP6) Land Use Model Intercomparison (LUMIP) activity. Specifically, the authors seek to analyze the effects of historical LUC for carbon emissions and near-surface air temperature. Although the relative contributions of BGC and BGP effects of historical LUC have been studied using CMIP5 and Land-Use and Climate, Identification of Robust Impacts (LUCID) data, CMIP6’s LUMIP activity, prescribes a set of experiments to be carried out in common by modeling teams, using the latest generation of earth system models. The study is timely as the BGP impacts of LUC have often been overlooked. Where it has not been overlooked results have at times been difficult to interpret due to the variety of LUC schemes applied within CMIP5. This study avoids this particular challenge by using data from the latest generation of models and experiments where simulation protocols dictate greater consistency across models.
Two concentration-driven CMIP6 simulations are used by Amali et al. to analyze the effects of historical LUC. The historical simulation with LUC from 1850 to 2015 and hist-noLu where LUC is held constant from 1850. The difference between the two simulations is taken to determine the change in carbon storage and near-surface temperature. The authors use the TCRE to find the BGC temperature effect of LUC. To obtain gridcell depictions of this temperature effect, the authors use the regional-to-global ratio of temperature (or simple pattern scaling). These methods allow the authors to isolate the impact of historical LUC on the variables of interest and identify the contributions of BGC and BGP for each.
The study’s findings both align with and expand upon previous work. For example, the finding that near-surface temperature increase from BGC is greater than BGP for historical LUC aligns with the findings within the existing literature. However, the regional analysis in Amali et al. adds nuance to this story in that the regional effect of BGP on near-surface temperature can be significant depending on location. Also significant is the study’s contribution to our understanding of the BCG effect on near-surface temperature change at the gridcell level. Furthermore, the findings of this study demonstrates similar model spread and estimates to previous similar studies using LUCID or CMIP5 data, and identifies some reasons related to model architecture that contribute to this result.
This study is ambitious in scope, well-referenced, and contributes significantly to our understanding of the relative temperature contributions of the BGC and BGP effects of LUC, using a novel RGRT approach to do so. Its conclusions are supported by the results, however, it’s possible that the conclusion that both the local and non-local effects of LUC ought to be considered in climate policy development should be qualified, noting that this is because combined local and non-local BGP effects of LUC found in this study are not insignificant. The article is recommended for publication pending consideration of the questions and comments that follow.
Specific comments
Technical corrections