Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD

Volume 10, 2019

Volumes and issues
Volumes and issues

Volume 10, 2019

04 Jan 2019
| Highlight paper
ESD Ideas: Photoelectrochemical carbon removal as negative emission technology
Matthias M. May and Kira Rehfeld
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 1–7, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-1-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-1-2019, 2019
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07 Jan 2019
Global vegetation variability and its response to elevated CO2, global warming, and climate variability – a study using the offline SSiB4/TRIFFID model and satellite data
Ye Liu, Yongkang Xue, Glen MacDonald, Peter Cox, and Zhengqiu Zhang
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 9–29, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-9-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-9-2019, 2019
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07 Jan 2019
The effect of univariate bias adjustment on multivariate hazard estimates
Jakob Zscheischler, Erich M. Fischer, and Stefan Lange
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 31–43, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-31-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-31-2019, 2019
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24 Jan 2019
Predicting near-term variability in ocean carbon uptake
Nicole S. Lovenduski, Stephen G. Yeager, Keith Lindsay, and Matthew C. Long
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 45–57, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-45-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-45-2019, 2019
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01 Feb 2019
Climatological moisture sources for the Western North American Monsoon through a Lagrangian approach: their influence on precipitation intensity
Paulina Ordoñez, Raquel Nieto, Luis Gimeno, Pedro Ribera, David Gallego, Carlos Abraham Ochoa-Moya, and Arturo Ignacio Quintanar
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 59–72, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-59-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-59-2019, 2019
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06 Feb 2019
The response of precipitation characteristics to global warming from climate projections
Filippo Giorgi, Francesca Raffaele, and Erika Coppola
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 73–89, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-73-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-73-2019, 2019
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13 Feb 2019
ESD Reviews: Model dependence in multi-model climate ensembles: weighting, sub-selection and out-of-sample testing
Gab Abramowitz, Nadja Herger, Ethan Gutmann, Dorit Hammerling, Reto Knutti, Martin Leduc, Ruth Lorenz, Robert Pincus, and Gavin A. Schmidt
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 91–105, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-91-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-91-2019, 2019
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18 Feb 2019
On the assessment of the moisture transport by the Great Plains low-level jet
Iago Algarra, Jorge Eiras-Barca, Gonzalo Miguez-Macho, Raquel Nieto, and Luis Gimeno
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 107–119, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-107-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-107-2019, 2019
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21 Feb 2019
| Highlight paper
The role of moisture transport for precipitation in the inter-annual and inter-daily fluctuations of the Arctic sea ice extension
Luis Gimeno-Sotelo, Raquel Nieto, Marta Vázquez, and Luis Gimeno
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 121–133, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-121-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-121-2019, 2019
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14 Mar 2019
On the future role of the most parsimonious climate module in integrated assessment
Mohammad M. Khabbazan and Hermann Held
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 135–155, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-135-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-135-2019, 2019
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19 Mar 2019
Potential of global land water recycling to mitigate local temperature extremes
Mathias Hauser, Wim Thiery, and Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 157–169, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-157-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-157-2019, 2019
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20 Mar 2019
Development and prospects of the regional MiKlip decadal prediction system over Europe: predictive skill, added value of regionalization, and ensemble size dependency
Mark Reyers, Hendrik Feldmann, Sebastian Mieruch, Joaquim G. Pinto, Marianne Uhlig, Bodo Ahrens, Barbara Früh, Kameswarrao Modali, Natalie Laube, Julia Moemken, Wolfgang Müller, Gerd Schädler, and Christoph Kottmeier
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 171–187, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-171-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-171-2019, 2019
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21 Mar 2019
September Arctic sea ice minimum prediction – a skillful new statistical approach
Monica Ionita, Klaus Grosfeld, Patrick Scholz, Renate Treffeisen, and Gerrit Lohmann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 189–203, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-189-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-189-2019, 2019
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02 Apr 2019
Freshwater resources under success and failure of the Paris climate agreement
Jens Heinke, Christoph Müller, Mats Lannerstad, Dieter Gerten, and Wolfgang Lucht
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 205–217, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-205-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-205-2019, 2019
15 Apr 2019
The multi-scale structure of atmospheric energetic constraints on globally averaged precipitation
Miguel Nogueira
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 219–232, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-219-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-219-2019, 2019
24 Apr 2019
Evaluation of terrestrial pan-Arctic carbon cycling using a data-assimilation system
Efrén López-Blanco, Jean-François Exbrayat, Magnus Lund, Torben R. Christensen, Mikkel P. Tamstorf, Darren Slevin, Gustaf Hugelius, Anthony A. Bloom, and Mathew Williams
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 233–255, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-233-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-233-2019, 2019
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24 Apr 2019
| Highlight paper
ESD Ideas: Propagation of high-frequency forcing to ice age dynamics
Mikhail Y. Verbitsky, Michel Crucifix, and Dmitry M. Volobuev
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 257–260, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-257-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-257-2019, 2019
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24 Apr 2019
North Pacific subtropical sea surface temperature frontogenesis and its connection with the atmosphere above
Leying Zhang, Haiming Xu, Jing Ma, Ning Shi, and Jiechun Deng
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 261–270, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-261-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-261-2019, 2019
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25 Apr 2019
Human influence on European winter wind storms such as those of January 2018
Robert Vautard, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Friederike E. L. Otto, Pascal Yiou, Hylke de Vries, Erik van Meijgaard, Andrew Stepek, Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah F. Kew, Cecilia Costella, Roop Singh, and Claudia Tebaldi
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 271–286, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-271-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-271-2019, 2019
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26 Apr 2019
Tidal impacts on primary production in the North Sea
Changjin Zhao, Ute Daewel, and Corinna Schrum
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 287–317, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-287-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-287-2019, 2019
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02 May 2019
Tracking the moisture transport from the Pacific towards Central and northern South America since the late 19th century
David Gallego, Ricardo García-Herrera, Francisco de Paula Gómez-Delgado, Paulina Ordoñez-Perez, and Pedro Ribera
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 319–331, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-319-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-319-2019, 2019
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14 Jun 2019
| Highlight paper
Including the efficacy of land ice changes in deriving climate sensitivity from paleodata
Lennert B. Stap, Peter Köhler, and Gerrit Lohmann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 333–345, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-333-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-333-2019, 2019
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27 Jun 2019
Millennium-length precipitation reconstruction over south-eastern Asia: a pseudo-proxy approach
Stefanie Talento, Lea Schneider, Johannes Werner, and Jürg Luterbacher
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 347–364, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-347-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-347-2019, 2019
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09 Jul 2019
A radiative-convective model based on constrained maximum entropy production
Vincent Labarre, Didier Paillard, and Bérengère Dubrulle
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 365–378, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-365-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-365-2019, 2019
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10 Jul 2019
ESD Reviews: Climate feedbacks in the Earth system and prospects for their evaluation
Christoph Heinze, Veronika Eyring, Pierre Friedlingstein, Colin Jones, Yves Balkanski, William Collins, Thierry Fichefet, Shuang Gao, Alex Hall, Detelina Ivanova, Wolfgang Knorr, Reto Knutti, Alexander Löw, Michael Ponater, Martin G. Schultz, Michael Schulz, Pier Siebesma, Joao Teixeira, George Tselioudis, and Martin Vancoppenolle
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 379–452, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-379-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-379-2019, 2019
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15 Jul 2019
Complementing CO2 emission reduction by solar radiation management might strongly enhance future welfare
Koen G. Helwegen, Claudia E. Wieners, Jason E. Frank, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 453–472, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-453-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-453-2019, 2019
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19 Jul 2019
Different response of surface temperature and air temperature to deforestation in climate models
Johannes Winckler, Christian H. Reick, Sebastiaan Luyssaert, Alessandro Cescatti, Paul C. Stoy, Quentin Lejeune, Thomas Raddatz, Andreas Chlond, Marvin Heidkamp, and Julia Pongratz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 473–484, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-473-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-473-2019, 2019
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30 Jul 2019
Downslope windstorms in the Isthmus of Tehuantepec during Tehuantepecer events: a numerical study with WRF high-resolution simulations
Miguel A. Prósper, Ian Sosa Tinoco, Carlos Otero-Casal, and Gonzalo Miguez-Macho
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 485–499, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-485-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-485-2019, 2019
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21 Aug 2019
Investigating the applicability of emergent constraints
Alexander J. Winkler, Ranga B. Myneni, and Victor Brovkin
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 501–523, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-501-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-501-2019, 2019
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02 Sep 2019
Characteristics of soil profile CO2 concentrations in karst areas and their significance for global carbon cycles and climate change
Qiao Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 525–538, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-525-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-525-2019, 2019
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06 Sep 2019
Ocean phosphorus inventory: large uncertainties in future projections on millennial timescales and their consequences for ocean deoxygenation
Tronje P. Kemena, Angela Landolfi, Andreas Oschlies, Klaus Wallmann, and Andrew W. Dale
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 539–553, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-539-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-539-2019, 2019
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19 Sep 2019
Minimal dynamical systems model of the Northern Hemisphere jet stream via embedding of climate data
Davide Faranda, Yuzuru Sato, Gabriele Messori, Nicholas R. Moloney, and Pascal Yiou
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 555–567, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-555-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-555-2019, 2019
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23 Sep 2019
Arctic amplification under global warming of 1.5 and 2 °C in NorESM1-Happi
Lise S. Graff, Trond Iversen, Ingo Bethke, Jens B. Debernard, Øyvind Seland, Mats Bentsen, Alf Kirkevåg, Camille Li, and Dirk J. L. Olivié
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 569–598, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-569-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-569-2019, 2019
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30 Sep 2019
Contributions of climate change and groundwater extraction to soil moisture trends
Longhuan Wang, Zhenghui Xie, Binghao Jia, Jinbo Xie, Yan Wang, Bin Liu, Ruichao Li, and Si Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 599–615, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-599-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-599-2019, 2019
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15 Oct 2019
| Highlight paper
Modeling forest plantations for carbon uptake with the LPJmL dynamic global vegetation model
Maarten C. Braakhekke, Jonathan C. Doelman, Peter Baas, Christoph Müller, Sibyll Schaphoff, Elke Stehfest, and Detlef P. van Vuuren
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 617–630, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-617-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-617-2019, 2019
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18 Oct 2019
Tipping the ENSO into a permanent El Niño can trigger state transitions in global terrestrial ecosystems
Mateo Duque-Villegas, Juan Fernando Salazar, and Angela Maria Rendón
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 631–650, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-631-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-631-2019, 2019
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29 Oct 2019
Organization of dust storms and synoptic-scale transport of dust by Kelvin waves
Ashok Kumar Pokharel and Michael L. Kaplan
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 651–666, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-651-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-651-2019, 2019
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30 Oct 2019
Maximum power of saline and fresh water mixing in estuaries
Zhilin Zhang and Hubert Savenije
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 667–684, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-667-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-667-2019, 2019
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05 Nov 2019
Disequilibrium of terrestrial ecosystem CO2 budget caused by disturbance-induced emissions and non-CO2 carbon export flows: a global model assessment
Akihiko Ito
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 685–709, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-685-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-685-2019, 2019
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07 Nov 2019
| Highlight paper
Meeting climate targets by direct CO2 injections: what price would the ocean have to pay?
Fabian Reith, Wolfgang Koeve, David P. Keller, Julia Getzlaff, and Andreas Oschlies
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 711–727, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-711-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-711-2019, 2019
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13 Nov 2019
| Highlight paper
Evaluating climate emulation: fundamental impulse testing of simple climate models
Adria K. Schwarber, Steven J. Smith, Corinne A. Hartin, Benjamin Aaron Vega-Westhoff, and Ryan Sriver
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 729–739, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-729-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-729-2019, 2019
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18 Nov 2019
The economically optimal warming limit of the planet
Falko Ueckerdt, Katja Frieler, Stefan Lange, Leonie Wenz, Gunnar Luderer, and Anders Levermann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 741–763, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-741-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-741-2019, 2019
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22 Nov 2019
Changes in statistical distributions of sub-daily surface temperatures and wind speed
Robert J. H. Dunn, Kate M. Willett, and David E. Parker
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 765–788, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-765-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-765-2019, 2019
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28 Nov 2019
Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels
Francine Schevenhoven, Frank Selten, Alberto Carrassi, and Noel Keenlyside
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 789–807, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-789-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-789-2019, 2019
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04 Dec 2019
| Highlight paper
Societal breakdown as an emergent property of large-scale behavioural models of land use change
Calum Brown, Bumsuk Seo, and Mark Rounsevell
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 809–845, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-809-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-809-2019, 2019
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05 Dec 2019
Analysis of the position and strength of westerlies and trades with implications for Agulhas leakage and South Benguela upwelling
Nele Tim, Eduardo Zorita, Kay-Christian Emeis, Franziska U. Schwarzkopf, Arne Biastoch, and Birgit Hünicke
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 847–858, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-847-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-847-2019, 2019
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05 Dec 2019
Heat stress risk in European dairy cattle husbandry under different climate change scenarios – uncertainties and potential impacts
Sabrina Hempel, Christoph Menz, Severino Pinto, Elena Galán, David Janke, Fernando Estellés, Theresa Müschner-Siemens, Xiaoshuai Wang, Julia Heinicke, Guoqiang Zhang, Barbara Amon, Agustín del Prado, and Thomas Amon
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 859–884, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-859-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-859-2019, 2019
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13 Dec 2019
Climate system response to stratospheric sulfate aerosols: sensitivity to altitude of aerosol layer
Krishna-Pillai Sukumara-Pillai Krishnamohan, Govindasamy Bala, Long Cao, Lei Duan, and Ken Caldeira
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 885–900, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-885-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-885-2019, 2019
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17 Dec 2019
Improvement in the decadal prediction skill of the North Atlantic extratropical winter circulation through increased model resolution
Mareike Schuster, Jens Grieger, Andy Richling, Thomas Schartner, Sebastian Illing, Christopher Kadow, Wolfgang A. Müller, Holger Pohlmann, Stephan Pfahl, and Uwe Ulbrich
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 901–917, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-901-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-901-2019, 2019
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