Global warming projections derived from an observation-based minimal model

Rypdal, K.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-51-2016

Articles | Volume 7, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-51-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-51-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 7, issue 1

Research article

|

29 Jan 2016

Research article |

| 29 Jan 2016

Global warming projections derived from an observation-based minimal model

K. Rypdal

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Final revised paper (published on 29 Jan 2016)
Supplement to the final revised paper
Preprint (discussion started on 18 Sep 2015)
Supplement to the preprint

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC C799: 'esd-2015-55', Anonymous Referee #1, 13 Nov 2015
- AC C802: 'Reply to referee # 1', Kristoffer Rypdal, 13 Nov 2015
SC C944: 'Runaway Green's Function Effect', Raphael Hébert, 15 Dec 2015
- AC C1028: 'Reply to Hebert and Lovejoy', Kristoffer Rypdal, 07 Jan 2016
- AC C1045: 'Correction and addendum to reply', Kristoffer Rypdal, 10 Jan 2016
RC C999: 'Review', Anonymous Referee #2, 24 Dec 2015
- AC C1038: 'Reply to referee #3', Kristoffer Rypdal, 07 Jan 2016
EC C1047: 'Decision on the manuscript', Raghavan Krishnan, 10 Jan 2016

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Kristoffer Rypdal on behalf of the Authors (07 Jan 2016) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (10 Jan 2016) by Raghavan Krishnan

AR by Kristoffer Rypdal on behalf of the Authors (10 Jan 2016) Author's response Manuscript

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Short summary

A conceptual model for the global temperature response to CO₂ emissions is presented. Based on observation data, projections of future warming are computed for instructive emission scenarios. Delays in the initiation of global emission reduction is found to be the most important factor driving global warming over the next 2 centuries. The model is intended as a tool for communicating the issue to non-climatologists, students, policy makers, and the general public.