Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 7, issue 1
Articles | Volume 7, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-51-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-51-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 7, issue 1
Research article
 | 
29 Jan 2016
Research article |  | 29 Jan 2016

Global warming projections derived from an observation-based minimal model

K. Rypdal

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Short summary
A conceptual model for the global temperature response to CO2 emissions is presented. Based on observation data, projections of future warming are computed for instructive emission scenarios. Delays in the initiation of global emission reduction is found to be the most important factor driving global warming over the next 2 centuries. The model is intended as a tool for communicating the issue to non-climatologists, students, policy makers, and the general public.
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