Articles | Volume 6, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-287-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-287-2015
Research article
 | 
27 May 2015
Research article |  | 27 May 2015

Uncertainty in temperature response of current consumption-based emissions estimates

J. Karstensen, G. P. Peters, and R. M. Andrew

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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Jonas Karstensen on behalf of the Authors (26 Feb 2015)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (09 Mar 2015) by Daniel Kirk-Davidoff
RR by Joshua Elliott (23 Mar 2015)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by Editor) (23 Mar 2015) by Daniel Kirk-Davidoff
AR by Jonas Karstensen on behalf of the Authors (08 Apr 2015)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (13 Apr 2015) by Daniel Kirk-Davidoff
AR by Jonas Karstensen on behalf of the Authors (14 Apr 2015)
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Short summary
We quantify uncertainties in estimates of global temperature change from regional and sectoral territorial- and consumption-based emissions. We find that the uncertainties are sensitive to the emission allocations, mix of pollutants, the metric used and its time horizon, and the level of aggregation of the results. Uncertainties in the final results are dominated by metric parameters and emission uncertainties, while the economic data appear to have small uncertainties at the national level.
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