Articles | Volume 6, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-287-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-287-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
27 May 2015
Research article |
| 27 May 2015
Uncertainty in temperature response of current consumption-based emissions estimates
J. Karstensen
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Center for International Climate and Environmental Research – Oslo (CICERO), P.O. Box 1129, Blindern, 0318 Oslo, Norway
G. P. Peters
Center for International Climate and Environmental Research – Oslo (CICERO), P.O. Box 1129, Blindern, 0318 Oslo, Norway
R. M. Andrew
Center for International Climate and Environmental Research – Oslo (CICERO), P.O. Box 1129, Blindern, 0318 Oslo, Norway
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Cited
22 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Mapping the carbon footprint of EU regions D. Ivanova et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6da9
- Prospects of industrial consumption embedded final emissions: a revision on Chinese household embodied industrial emissions M. Sajid et al. 10.1038/s41598-020-58814-w
- Microdata selection for estimating household consumption-based emissions L. Kilian et al. 10.1080/09535314.2022.2034139
- Global Carbon Budget 2016 C. Le Quéré et al. 10.5194/essd-8-605-2016
- Variation in trends of consumption based carbon accounts R. Wood et al. 10.1038/s41597-019-0102-x
- Distributions of carbon pricing on extraction, combustion and consumption of fossil fuels in the global supply-chain J. Karstensen & G. Peters 10.1088/1748-9326/aa94a3
- Carbon footprint of a university in a multiregional model: the case of the University of Castilla-La Mancha N. Gómez et al. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.06.009
- Trends of the EU’s territorial and consumption-based emissions from 1990 to 2016 J. Karstensen et al. 10.1007/s10584-018-2296-x
- The structure, drivers and policy implications of the European carbon footprint R. Wood et al. 10.1080/14693062.2019.1639489
- Austria’s consumption-based greenhouse gas emissions: Identifying sectoral sources and destinations K. Steininger et al. 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.11.011
- Growth in Environmental Footprints and Environmental Impacts Embodied in Trade: Resource Efficiency Indicators from EXIOBASE3 R. Wood et al. 10.1111/jiec.12735
- The effect of climate–carbon cycle feedbacks on emission metrics E. Sterner & D. Johansson 10.1088/1748-9326/aa61dc
- Towards accepted procedures for calculating international consumption-based carbon accounts A. Tukker et al. 10.1080/14693062.2020.1722605
- Adding country resolution to EXIOBASE: impacts on land use embodied in trade E. Bjelle et al. 10.1186/s40008-020-0182-y
- Going Global to Local: Connecting Top-Down Accounting and Local Impacts, A Methodological Review of Spatially Explicit Input–Output Approaches Z. Sun et al. 10.1021/acs.est.8b03148
- National attribution of historical climate damages C. Callahan & J. Mankin 10.1007/s10584-022-03387-y
- Estimating the uncertainty of the greenhouse gas emission accounts in global multi-regional input–output analysis S. Schulte et al. 10.5194/essd-16-2669-2024
- Uncertainty of Consumption-Based Carbon Accounts J. Rodrigues et al. 10.1021/acs.est.8b00632
- Representing and visualizing data uncertainty in input-output life cycle assessment models X. Chen et al. 10.1016/j.resconrec.2018.06.011
- Global Carbon Budget 2015 C. Le Quéré et al. 10.5194/essd-7-349-2015
- Understanding New Zealand’s consumption-based greenhouse gas emissions: an application of multi-regional input-output analysis C. Chandrakumar et al. 10.1007/s11367-019-01673-z
- Allocation of global temperature change to consumers J. Karstensen et al. 10.1007/s10584-015-1333-2
21 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Mapping the carbon footprint of EU regions D. Ivanova et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6da9
- Prospects of industrial consumption embedded final emissions: a revision on Chinese household embodied industrial emissions M. Sajid et al. 10.1038/s41598-020-58814-w
- Microdata selection for estimating household consumption-based emissions L. Kilian et al. 10.1080/09535314.2022.2034139
- Global Carbon Budget 2016 C. Le Quéré et al. 10.5194/essd-8-605-2016
- Variation in trends of consumption based carbon accounts R. Wood et al. 10.1038/s41597-019-0102-x
- Distributions of carbon pricing on extraction, combustion and consumption of fossil fuels in the global supply-chain J. Karstensen & G. Peters 10.1088/1748-9326/aa94a3
- Carbon footprint of a university in a multiregional model: the case of the University of Castilla-La Mancha N. Gómez et al. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.06.009
- Trends of the EU’s territorial and consumption-based emissions from 1990 to 2016 J. Karstensen et al. 10.1007/s10584-018-2296-x
- The structure, drivers and policy implications of the European carbon footprint R. Wood et al. 10.1080/14693062.2019.1639489
- Austria’s consumption-based greenhouse gas emissions: Identifying sectoral sources and destinations K. Steininger et al. 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.11.011
- Growth in Environmental Footprints and Environmental Impacts Embodied in Trade: Resource Efficiency Indicators from EXIOBASE3 R. Wood et al. 10.1111/jiec.12735
- The effect of climate–carbon cycle feedbacks on emission metrics E. Sterner & D. Johansson 10.1088/1748-9326/aa61dc
- Towards accepted procedures for calculating international consumption-based carbon accounts A. Tukker et al. 10.1080/14693062.2020.1722605
- Adding country resolution to EXIOBASE: impacts on land use embodied in trade E. Bjelle et al. 10.1186/s40008-020-0182-y
- Going Global to Local: Connecting Top-Down Accounting and Local Impacts, A Methodological Review of Spatially Explicit Input–Output Approaches Z. Sun et al. 10.1021/acs.est.8b03148
- National attribution of historical climate damages C. Callahan & J. Mankin 10.1007/s10584-022-03387-y
- Estimating the uncertainty of the greenhouse gas emission accounts in global multi-regional input–output analysis S. Schulte et al. 10.5194/essd-16-2669-2024
- Uncertainty of Consumption-Based Carbon Accounts J. Rodrigues et al. 10.1021/acs.est.8b00632
- Representing and visualizing data uncertainty in input-output life cycle assessment models X. Chen et al. 10.1016/j.resconrec.2018.06.011
- Global Carbon Budget 2015 C. Le Quéré et al. 10.5194/essd-7-349-2015
- Understanding New Zealand’s consumption-based greenhouse gas emissions: an application of multi-regional input-output analysis C. Chandrakumar et al. 10.1007/s11367-019-01673-z
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 01 Apr 2025
Short summary
We quantify uncertainties in estimates of global temperature change from regional and sectoral territorial- and consumption-based emissions. We find that the uncertainties are sensitive to the emission allocations, mix of pollutants, the metric used and its time horizon, and the level of aggregation of the results. Uncertainties in the final results are dominated by metric parameters and emission uncertainties, while the economic data appear to have small uncertainties at the national level.
We quantify uncertainties in estimates of global temperature change from regional and sectoral...
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