The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with ESD-related topics, the recent preprints posted in ESD’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in ESD.
07 Dec 2023
Observation-inferred resilience loss of the Amazon rain forest possibly due to internal climate variability
Raphael Grodofzig, Martin Renoult, and Thorsten Mauritsen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2734,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2734, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Dec 2023
AMOC Stability Amid Tipping Ice Sheets: The Crucial Role of Rate and Noise
Sacha Sinet, Peter Ashwin, Anna S. von der Heydt, and Henk A. Dijkstra
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2661,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2661, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Dec 2023
Storylines of Summer Arctic climate change constrained by Barents-Kara Sea and Arctic tropospheric warming for climate risks assessment
Xavier Levine, Ryan Williams, Gareth Marshall, Andrew Orr, Lise Seland Graff, Dörthe Handorf, Alexey Karpechko, Raphael Köhler, René Wijngaard, Nadine Johnston, Hanna Lee, Lars Nieradzik, and Priscilla Mooney
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2741,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2741, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Dec 2023
The effect of strong nonlinearity on wave-induced vertical mixing
Maciej Paprota and Wojciech Sulisz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1261–1276, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1261-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1261-2023, 2023
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01 Dec 2023
Dakar Niño variability under global warming investigated by a high-resolution regionally coupled model
Shunya Koseki, Rúben Vázquez, William Cabos, Claudia Gutiérrez, Dmitry V. Sein, and Marie-Lou Bachèlery
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2494,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2494, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Nov 2023
Interannual land cover and vegetation variability based on remote sensing data in the HTESSEL land surface model: implementation and effects on simulated water dynamics
Fransje van Oorschot, Ruud J. van der Ent, Markus Hrachowitz, Emanuele Di Carlo, Franco Catalano, Souhail Boussetta, Gianpaolo Balsamo, and Andrea Alessandri
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1239–1259, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1239-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1239-2023, 2023
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28 Nov 2023
Positive tipping points for accelerating adoption of regenerative practices in African smallholder farming systems: What sustains adoption?
Antony Philip Emenyu, Thomas Pienkowski, Andrew M. Cunliffe, Timothy M. Lenton, and Tom Powell
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2531,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2531, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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27 Nov 2023
| Highlight paper
Land cover and management effects on ecosystem resistance to drought stress
Chenwei Xiao, Sönke Zaehle, Hui Yang, Jean-Pierre Wigneron, Christiane Schmullius, and Ana Bastos
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1211–1237, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1211-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1211-2023, 2023
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27 Nov 2023
Unveiling Amplified Isolation in Climate Networks due to Global Warming
Yifan Cheng, Panjie Qiao, Meiyi Hou, Yuan Chen, Wenqi Liu, and Yongwen Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2751,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2751, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Nov 2023
The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority
Jordan Paul Everall, Jonathan F. Donges, and Ilona M. Otto
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2241,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2241, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Nov 2023
Classification of synoptic circulation patterns with a two-stage clustering algorithm using the modified structural similarity index metric (SSIM)
Kristina Winderlich, Clementine Dalelane, and Andreas Walter
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-34,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-34, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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17 Nov 2023
The effects of diachronous surface uplift of the European Alps on regional climate and the oxygen isotopic composition of precipitation
Daniel Boateng, Sebastian G. Mutz, Armelle Ballian, Maud J. M. Meijers, Katharina Methner, Svetlana Botsyun, Andreas Mulch, and Todd A. Ehlers
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1183–1210, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1183-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1183-2023, 2023
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15 Nov 2023
Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: A multi-model analysis
Roberto Bilbao, Pablo Ortega, Didier Swingedouw, Leon Hermanson, Panos Athanasiadis, Rosie Eade, Marion Devilliers, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nick Dunstone, An-Chi Ho, William Merryfield, Juliette Mignot, Dario Nicolì, Margarida Samsó, Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso, Xian Wu, and Stephen Yeager
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-36,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-36, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Nov 2023
Dependency of the impacts of geoengineering on the stratospheric sulfur injection strategy part 2: How changes in the hydrological cycle depend on injection rates and model?
Anton Laakso, Daniele Visioni, Ulrike Niemeier, Simone Tilmes, and Harri Kokkola
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2520,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2520, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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15 Nov 2023
Potential effect of the marine carbon cycle on the multiple equilibria window of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Amber Adore Boot, Anna S. von der Heydt, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-30,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-30, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Nov 2023
| Highlight paper
ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement
Alistair Duffey, Robbie Mallett, Peter J. Irvine, Michel Tsamados, and Julienne Stroeve
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1165–1169, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1165-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1165-2023, 2023
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14 Nov 2023
Derailment risk: A systems analysis that identifies risks which could derail the sustainability transition
Laurie Laybourn, Joseph Evans, and James Dyke
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1171–1182, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1171-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1171-2023, 2023
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10 Nov 2023
Nonlinear time series analysis of coastal temperatures and El Niño–Southern Oscillation events in the eastern South Pacific
Berenice Rojo-Garibaldi, Manuel Contreras-López, Simone Giannerini, David Alberto Salas-de-León, Verónica Vázquez-Guerra, and Julyan H. E. Cartwright
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1125–1164, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1125-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1125-2023, 2023
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08 Nov 2023
Extrapolation is not enough: Impacts of extreme land-use change on wind profiles and wind energy according to regional climate models
Jan Wohland, Peter Hoffmann, Daniela C. A. Lima, Marcus Breil, Olivier Asselin, and Diana Rechid
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2533,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2533, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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07 Nov 2023
MIROC6 Large Ensemble (MIROC6-LE): experimental design and initial analyses
Hideo Shiogama, Hiroaki Tatebe, Michiya Hayashi, Manabu Abe, Miki Arai, Hiroshi Koyama, Yukiko Imada, Yu Kosaka, Tomoo Ogura, and Masahiro Watanabe
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1107–1124, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1107-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1107-2023, 2023
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06 Nov 2023
Projected changes in land carbon store over the 21st century: what contributions from land-use change and atmospheric nitrogen deposition?
Jaime Andres Riano Sanchez, Nicolas Vuichard, and Philippe Peylin
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-31,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2023-31, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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25 Oct 2023
A quantitative assessment of air–sea heat flux trends from ERA5 since 1950 in the North Atlantic basin
Johannes Mayer, Leopold Haimberger, and Michael Mayer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1085–1105, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1085-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1085-2023, 2023
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25 Oct 2023
ESD Ideas: Positive Tipping points towards global regenerative systems
J. David Tàbara
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2423,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2423, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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24 Oct 2023
Variability and Predictability of a reduced-order land atmosphere coupled model
Anupama K. Xavier, Jonathan Demaeyer, and Stéphane Vannitsem
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2257,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2257, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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24 Oct 2023
Climate feedbacks with latitude derived from climatological data and theory
Philip Goodwin, Richard Williams, Paulo Ceppi, and B. B. Cael
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2307,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2307, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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23 Oct 2023
Tipping dynamics in packaging systems: How a bottle reuse system was established and then undone
Mila Kim-Chau Fiona Ong, Fenna Blomsma, and Timothy Michael Lenton
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2361,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2361, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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18 Oct 2023
| Highlight paper
ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world
Ed Hawkins, Gilbert P. Compo, and Prashant D. Sardeshmukh
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1081–1084, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1081-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1081-2023, 2023
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18 Oct 2023
An Overview of the E3SM version 2 Large Ensemble and Comparison to other E3SM and CESM Large Ensembles
John Fasullo, Jean-Christophe Golaz, Julie Caron, Nan Rosenbloom, Gerald Meehl, Warren Strand, Sasha Glanville, Samantha Stevenson, Maria Molina, Christine Shields, Chengzhu Zhang, James Benedict, and Tony Bartoletti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2310,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2310, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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16 Oct 2023
Low confidence in multi-decadal trends of wind-driven upwelling across the Benguela Upwelling System
Mohammad Hadi Bordbar, Volker Mohrholz, and Martin Schmidt
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1065–1080, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1065-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1065-2023, 2023
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16 Oct 2023
On the spatial calibration of imperfect climate models
Saloua Peatier, Benjamin M. Sanderson, and Laurent Terray
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2269,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2269, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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16 Oct 2023
Applying global warming levels of emergence to highlight the increasing population exposure to temperature and precipitation extremes
David Gampe, Clemens Schwingshackl, Andrea Böhnisch, Magdalena Mittermeier, Marit Sandstad, and Raul R. Wood
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.169160346.62640278/v1,https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.169160346.62640278/v1, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 6 comments)
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16 Oct 2023
Solar Radiation Modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy
Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, and Laurent Terray
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2337,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2337, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Oct 2023
Early warnings of the transition to a superrotating atmospheric state
Mark S. Williamson and Timothy M. Lenton
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2036,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2036, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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10 Oct 2023
Dynamic savanna burning emission factors based on satellite data using a machine learning approach
Roland Vernooij, Tom Eames, Jeremy Russell-Smith, Cameron Yates, Robin Beatty, Jay Evans, Andrew Edwards, Natasha Ribeiro, Martin Wooster, Tercia Strydom, Marcos Vinicius Giongo, Marco Assis Borges, Máximo Menezes Costa, Ana Carolina Sena Barradas, Dave van Wees, and Guido R. Van der Werf
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1039–1064, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1039-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1039-2023, 2023
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10 Oct 2023
The interaction of Solar Radiation Modification and Earth System Tipping Elements
Gideon Futerman, Mira Adhikari, Alistair Duffey, Yuanchao Fan, Peter Irvine, Jessica Gurevitch, and Claudia Wieners
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1753,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1753, 2023
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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