Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with ESD-related topics, the recent preprints posted in ESD’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in ESD.
13 Nov 2024
The aerosol pathway is crucial for observationally constraining climate sensitivity and anthropogenic forcing
Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie, Magne Aldrin, Terje K. Berntsen, Marit Holden, Ragnar Bang Huseby, Gunnar Myhre, and Trude Storelvmo
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1435–1458, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1435-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1435-2024, 2024
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12 Nov 2024
Generalized stability landscape of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
Matteo Willeit and Andrey Ganopolski
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1417–1434, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1417-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1417-2024, 2024
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08 Nov 2024
Extrapolation is not enough: impacts of extreme land use change on wind profiles and wind energy according to regional climate models
Jan Wohland, Peter Hoffmann, Daniela C. A. Lima, Marcus Breil, Olivier Asselin, and Diana Rechid
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1385–1400, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1385-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1385-2024, 2024
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08 Nov 2024
Dakar Niño under global warming investigated by a high-resolution regionally coupled model
Shunya Koseki, Rubén Vázquez, William Cabos, Claudia Gutiérrez, Dmitry V. Sein, and Marie-Lou Bachèlery
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1401–1416, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1401-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1401-2024, 2024
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30 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5
Andrew D. King, Tilo Ziehn, Matthew Chamberlain, Alexander R. Borowiak, Josephine R. Brown, Liam Cassidy, Andrea J. Dittus, Michael Grose, Nicola Maher, Seungmok Paik, Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, and Aditya Sengupta
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1353–1383, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024, 2024
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30 Oct 2024
Future changes in spatiotemporal precipitation patterns of the East Asian summer monsoon and associated uncertainty factors
Yeon-Hee Kim and Seung-Ki Min
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-34,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-34, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Oct 2024
Food trade disruption after global catastrophes
Florian Jehn, Łukasz Gajewski, Johanna Hedlund, Constantin Arnscheidt, Lili Xia, Nico Wunderling, and David Denkenberger
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.31223/X5MQ4R,https://doi.org/10.31223/X5MQ4R, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Oct 2024
Nonlinear causal dependencies as a signature of the complexity of the climate dynamics
Stéphane Vannitsem, X. San Liang, and Carlos A. Pires
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3308,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3308, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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18 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy
Colin G. Jones, Fanny Adloff, Ben B. B. Booth, Peter M. Cox, Veronika Eyring, Pierre Friedlingstein, Katja Frieler, Helene T. Hewitt, Hazel A. Jeffery, Sylvie Joussaume, Torben Koenigk, Bryan N. Lawrence, Eleanor O'Rourke, Malcolm J. Roberts, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Samuel Somot, Pier Luigi Vidale, Detlef van Vuuren, Mario Acosta, Mats Bentsen, Raffaele Bernardello, Richard Betts, Ed Blockley, Julien Boé, Tom Bracegirdle, Pascale Braconnot, Victor Brovkin, Carlo Buontempo, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Markus Donat, Italo Epicoco, Pete Falloon, Sandro Fiore, Thomas Frölicher, Neven S. Fučkar, Matthew J. Gidden, Helge F. Goessling, Rune Grand Graversen, Silvio Gualdi, José M. Gutiérrez, Tatiana Ilyina, Daniela Jacob, Chris D. Jones, Martin Juckes, Elizabeth Kendon, Erik Kjellström, Reto Knutti, Jason Lowe, Matthew Mizielinski, Paola Nassisi, Michael Obersteiner, Pierre Regnier, Romain Roehrig, David Salas y Mélia, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Michael Schulz, Enrico Scoccimarro, Laurent Terray, Hannes Thiemann, Richard A. Wood, Shuting Yang, and Sönke Zaehle
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1319–1351, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024, 2024
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18 Oct 2024
Water vapour fluxes at a Mediterranean coastal site during the summer of 2021: observations, comparison with atmospheric reanalysis, and implications for extreme events
Fabio Madonna, Benedetto De Rosa, Simone Gagliardi, Ilaria Gandolfi, Yassmina Hesham Essa, Domenico Madonna, Fabrizio Marra, Maria Assunta Menniti, Donato Summa, Emanuele Tramutola, Faezeh Karimian Saracks, Filomena Romano, and Marco Rosoldi
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-32,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-32, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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15 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Uncertainty-informed selection of CMIP6 Earth system model subsets for use in multisectoral and impact models
Abigail Snyder, Noah Prime, Claudia Tebaldi, and Kalyn Dorheim
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1301–1318, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024, 2024
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15 Oct 2024
ESD Ideas: Climate tipping is not instantaneous – the duration of an overshoot matters
Paul David Longden Ritchie, Chris Huntingford, and Peter Cox
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3023,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3023, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Oct 2024
Diagnosing Aerosol-Meteorological Interactions on Snow within the Earth System: A Proof-of-Concept Study over High Mountain Asia
Chayan Roychoudhury, Cenlin He, Rajesh Kumar, and Avelino F. Arellano Jr.
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2298,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2298, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Oct 2024
A causality-based method for multi-model comparison: Application to relationships between atmospheric and marine biogeochemical variables
Germain Bénard, Marion Gehlen, and Mathieu Vrac
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-31,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-31, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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10 Oct 2024
Ensemble design for seasonal climate predictions: Studying extreme Arctic sea ice lows with a rare event algorithm
Jerome Sauer, Francesco Ragone, François Massonnet, and Giuseppe Zappa
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3082,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3082, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Oct 2024
Influence of Floodplains and Groundwater Dynamics on the Present-Day Climate simulated by the CNRM Model
Bertrand Decharme and Jeanne Colin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3091,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3091, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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08 Oct 2024
Quantifying the feedback between Antarctic meltwater release and subsurface Southern Ocean warming
Erwin Lambert, Dewi Le Bars, Eveline van der Linden, André Jüling, and Sybren Drijfhout
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2257,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2257, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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02 Oct 2024
Snowball Earth transitions from Last Glacial Maximum conditions provide an independent upper limit on Earth’s climate sensitivity
Martin Renoult, Navjit Sagoo, Johannes Hörner, and Thorsten Mauritsen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2981,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2981, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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30 Sep 2024
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics
Liqing Peng, Justin Sheffield, Zhongwang Wei, Michael Ek, and Eric F. Wood
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1277–1300, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1277-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1277-2024, 2024
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27 Sep 2024
Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO2 uptake
Raffaele Bernardello, Valentina Sicardi, Vladimir Lapin, Pablo Ortega, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Etienne Tourigny, and Eric Ferrer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1255–1275, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024, 2024
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23 Sep 2024
The visible and hidden climatic effects on Earth's denudation
Ivan Vergara, Fernanda Santibañez, René Garreaud, and Germán Aguilar
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-27,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-27, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Sep 2024
Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social-ecological multi-layer network model
Max Bechthold, Wolfram Barfuss, André Butz, Jannes Breier, Sara M. Constantino, Jobst Heitzig, Luana Schwarz, Sanam N. Vardag, and Jonathan F. Donges
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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