22 Oct 2025
Late Pliocene ice sheets as an analogue for future climate: a sensitivity study of the polar Southern Hemisphere
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1845–1863, 2025
21 Oct 2025
Permafrost response and feedback under temperature stabilization and overshoot scenarios with different global warming levels
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1809–1831, 2025
21 Oct 2025
Causal mechanisms of subpolar gyre variability in CMIP6 models
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1833–1844, 2025
21 Oct 2025
Tipping interactions and cascades on multimillennial time scales in a model of reduced complexity
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
20 Oct 2025
Representation of polynyas in the Ross Sea coupled atmosphere–sea ice–ocean model P-SKRIPSv2
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
17 Oct 2025
A new biogeochemical modelling framework (FLaMe-v1.0) for lake methane emissions on the regional scale: development and application to the European domain
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1779–1808, 2025
16 Oct 2025
Intensity and dynamics of extreme cold spells of the 21st century in France from CMIP6 data
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1759–1778, 2025
16 Oct 2025
| Highlight paper
AR6 updates to RF by GHGs and aerosols lowers the probability of accomplishing the Paris Agreement compared to AR5 formulations
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1739–1758, 2025
15 Oct 2025
Seamless seasonal to multi-annual predictions of temperature and Standardized Precipitation Index by constraining transient climate model simulations
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1723–1737, 2025
15 Oct 2025
Normalizing the permafrost carbon feedback contribution to the Transient Climate Response to Cumulative Carbon Emissions and the Zero Emissions Commitment
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1711–1721, 2025
15 Oct 2025
Detecting transitions and quantifying differences in two SST datasets using spatial permutation entropy
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
15 Oct 2025
Solar Radiation Modification is projected to increase land carbon storage and to protect the Amazon rainforest
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
15 Oct 2025
Emergent constraints on climate sensitivity and recent record-breaking warm years
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
10 Oct 2025
Positive tipping points for accelerating adoption of regenerative practices in African smallholder farming systems: what drives and sustains adoption?
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1699–1710, 2025
10 Oct 2025
Sensitivity of winter Arctic amplification in NorESM2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1671–1698, 2025
09 Oct 2025
Eco-evolutionary modelling of global vegetation dynamics and the impact of CO2 during the late Quaternary: insights from contrasting periods
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1655–1669, 2025
08 Oct 2025
| Highlight paper
Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1611–1653, 2025
08 Oct 2025
ESD Ideas: Extended net zero simulations are critical for informed decision making
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1605–1609, 2025
07 Oct 2025
Comparing the seasonal predictability of the Tropical Pacific variability in EC-Earth3 at two horizontal resolutions
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
06 Oct 2025
Uncertain current and future ocean deoxygenation due to internal climate variability and observational gaps
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
06 Oct 2025
Biochar-Induced Soil Property Changes May Reduce Temperature and Precipitation Extremes: Insights from Earth System Model Experiments
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
06 Oct 2025
Emerging global freshwater challenges unveiled through observation-constrained projections
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
06 Oct 2025
Chaotic fluctuations in Greenland outlet glaciers limit predictability of a future ice sheet collapse
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
06 Oct 2025
Developing Guidelines for Working with Multi-Model Ensembles in CMIP
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
02 Oct 2025
| Highlight paper
Increased future ocean heat uptake constrained by Antarctic sea ice extent
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1453–1482, 2025
30 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
Food trade disruption after global catastrophes
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1585–1603, 2025
30 Sep 2025
From Farm to Planet: The InSEEDS World-Earth Model for Simulating Transitions to Regenerative Agriculture
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
29 Sep 2025
Ocean dynamics amplify remote warming effects of reforestation
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
26 Sep 2025
100 kyr ice age cycles as a timescale-matching problem
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1569–1584, 2025
25 Sep 2025
Storylines of future drought in the face of uncertain rainfall projections: a New Zealand case study
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1557–1568, 2025
25 Sep 2025
Response of ice sheets, sea-ice and sea level in climate stabilisation and reversibility simulations using a state-of-the-art Earth System Model
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
24 Sep 2025
Bayesian analysis of early warning signals using a time-dependent model
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1539–1556, 2025
24 Sep 2025
Reduction of uncertainty in near-term climate forecast by combining observations and decadal predictions
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
23 Sep 2025
Increased heating of the land surface as hot-dry events persist
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
17 Sep 2025
Carbon–climate feedback higher when assuming Michaelis–Menten kinetics of respiration
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1527–1537, 2025
17 Sep 2025
The Largest Crop Production Shocks: Magnitude, Causes and Frequency
External preprint server, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
16 Sep 2025
Decoded Antarctic snow accumulation history reconciles observed and modeled trends in accumulation and large-scale warming patterns
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
15 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
ESD Ideas: Climate tipping is not instantaneous – the duration of an overshoot matters
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1523–1526, 2025
12 Sep 2025
Global stability and tipping point prediction in a coral–algae model using landscape–flux theory
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1503–1522, 2025
11 Sep 2025
Simple physics-based adjustments reconcile the results of Eulerian and Lagrangian techniques for moisture tracking in atmospheric rivers
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1483–1501, 2025
11 Sep 2025
Hysteresis and irreversibility in permafrost physical response to increase and decrease of CO2 emissions
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
09 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
Multi-centennial climate change in a warming world beyond 2100
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1427–1451, 2025
08 Sep 2025
Constrained attribution of changes in winds over the Southern Ocean from 1950 to 2100
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
04 Sep 2025
Future changes in runoff over western and central Europe: disentangling the hydrological behavior of CMIP6 models
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1409–1426, 2025
02 Sep 2025
A risk assessment framework for interacting tipping elements
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
01 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
A climate suitability index for species distribution modelling applied to terrestrial arthropods in the Mediterranean region
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1391–1407, 2025
29 Aug 2025
How polar-to-midlatitude atmospheric teleconnections depend on regional sea ice fraction and global warming level
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)