07 Jan 2026
Seamless climate information from months to multiple years: constraining decadal predictions with seasonal predictions and past observations, and their comparison to multi-annual predictions
Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 41–56, 2026
07 Jan 2026
Northern high latitudes could become a net carbon source below 2 °C global warming
EGUsphere, 2026
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
06 Jan 2026
Enhanced climate reproducibility testing with false discovery rate correction
Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 23–39, 2026
05 Jan 2026
CMIP6 multi-model assessment of Northeast Atlantic and German Bight storm activity
Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 1–21, 2026
04 Jan 2026
Improved Comparability and System-Wide Verification to Support a Scalable Carbon Credit Market
EGUsphere, 2026
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
30 Dec 2025
New insights into decadal climate variability in the North Atlantic revealed by data-driven dynamical models
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
28 Dec 2025
Projected elevation-dependent warming in the Alps depicted with surface energy balance trends
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
22 Dec 2025
| Highlight paper
Bridging science and practice on multi-hazard risk drivers: stakeholder insights from five pilot studies in Europe
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2295–2311, 2025
21 Dec 2025
Underestimated Future Arctic Ocean Warming due to Unresolved Marine Heatwaves at Low Resolution
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
18 Dec 2025
The effect of noise on the stability of convection in a conceptual model of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2273–2293, 2025
18 Dec 2025
How polar-midlatitude atmospheric teleconnections depend on regional sea ice fraction and global warming level
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2253–2272, 2025
17 Dec 2025
Multi-annual predictions of hot, dry and hot-dry compound extremes
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2225–2251, 2025
10 Dec 2025
Joint evolution of irrigation, the water cycle and water resources under a strong climate change scenario from 1950 to 2100 in the IPSL-CM6
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2201–2223, 2025
09 Dec 2025
Interactive physical data cubes: A novel perspective for exploring Earth system dynamics
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
08 Dec 2025
Strong intensification of extreme fire weather in Europe under 3 °C compared to 2 °C global warming
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
08 Dec 2025
Simulating the impact of an AMOC weakening on the Antarctic Ice Sheet using a coupled climate and ice-sheet model
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
05 Dec 2025
Regional climate imprints of recent historical changes in anthropogenic Near Term Climate Forcers
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2161–2186, 2025
05 Dec 2025
The preseason warming of the Indian Ocean resulting in soybean failure in US
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2187–2199, 2025
05 Dec 2025
Climate extremes limiting the growth of East Asian mangroves for future nature-based solutions
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
04 Dec 2025
Soil thermal memory regulates event-scale precipitation recycling lag in a dryland environment
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
04 Dec 2025
Large impact of extreme precipitation on projected blue-green water shares
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
03 Dec 2025
Unexpected land-surface warming following a low-to-moderate forcing hypothetical nuclear war
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
28 Nov 2025
Quantifying Resilience in Non-Autonomous and Stochastic Earth System Dynamics with Application to Glacial-Interglacial Cycles
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
27 Nov 2025
A Deep Learning Framework for Chlorophyll Prediction in Large Marine Ecosystems: Benchmarking with a Dynamic Model and Implications for Fish Catch Forecasts
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
24 Nov 2025
On the foundation of the α-β-γ approach to carbon-climate feedbacks
External preprint server, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
21 Nov 2025
Dynamic vegetation highlights first-order climate feedbacks and their dependence on the climate mean state
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2113–2136, 2025
21 Nov 2025
Evaluating biogeophysical sensitivities to idealized deforestation in CMIP6 models using observational constraints
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2137–2160, 2025
20 Nov 2025
A saddle-node bifurcation may be causing the AMOC collapse in the Community Earth System Model
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2063–2085, 2025
20 Nov 2025
Irreversible phytoplankton community shifts over Subpolar North Atlantic in response to CO2 forcing
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2101–2111, 2025
20 Nov 2025
| Highlight paper
Conditions for instability in the climate–carbon cycle system
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2087–2100, 2025
20 Nov 2025
Ensemble simulation of the Last Glacial Maximum marine biogeochemistry and atmospheric pCO2 drawdown due to the soft-tissue biological carbon pump
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
19 Nov 2025
Inconclusive early warning signals for Dansgaard-Oeschger events across Greenland ice cores
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2035–2062, 2025
18 Nov 2025
On a simplified solution of climate-carbon dynamics in idealized flat10MIP simulations
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2021–2034, 2025
14 Nov 2025
Climate change metrics: bridging IPCC AR6 updates and dynamic life cycle assessments
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2003–2019, 2025
14 Nov 2025
Teleconnections to the Baltic Sea Region: Controls, Predictability and Consequences
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
13 Nov 2025
Evolution of causal relationships under climate change: controls of Net Primary Productivity in the North Altantic Subpolar Gyre
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
12 Nov 2025
The global climate response to High-Latitude Low-Altitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (HiLLA-SAI)
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
10 Nov 2025
A warming adjustment method for CORDEX RCM simulations
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
10 Nov 2025
Join the dots on planetary boundary interactions
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)