Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
The following lists the preprints and final revised papers published within the last 60 days.
12 May 2021
ESD Ideas: Planetary Antifragility: A new dimension in the definition of the Safe Operating Space for Humanity
Oliver López-Corona and Melanie Kolb
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-26,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-26, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 May 2021
Comparison of CMIP6 historical climate simulations and future projected warming to an empirical model of global climate
Laura A. McBride, Austin P. Hope, Timothy P. Canty, Brian F. Bennett, Walter R. Tribett, and Ross J. Salawitch
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 545–579, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-545-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-545-2021, 2021
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10 May 2021
First assessment of the earth heat inventory within CMIP5 historical simulations
Francisco José Cuesta-Valero, Almudena García-García, Hugo Beltrami, and Joel Finnis
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 581–600, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-581-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-581-2021, 2021
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07 May 2021
Accounting for surface waves improves gas flux estimation at high wind speed in a large lake
Pascal Perolo, Bieito Fernández Castro, Nicolas Escoffier, Thibault Lambert, Damien Bouffard, and Marie-Elodie Perga
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-30,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-30, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 May 2021
Exploring how groundwater buffers the influence of heatwaves on vegetation function during multi-year droughts
Mengyuan Mu, Martin G. De Kauwe, Anna M. Ukkola, Andy J. Pitman, Weidong Guo, Sanaa Hobeichi, and Peter R. Briggs
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-31,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-31, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 May 2021
Regional variation in the effectiveness of methane-based and land-based climate mitigation options
Garry D. Hayman, Edward Comyn-Platt, Chris Huntingford, Anna B. Harper, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, William Collins, Christopher Webber, Jason Lowe, Stephen Sitch, Joanna I. House, Jonathan C. Doelman, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Sarah E. Chadburn, Eleanor Burke, and Nicola Gedney
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 513–544, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-513-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-513-2021, 2021
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04 May 2021
The half-order energy balance equation – Part 1: The homogeneous HEBE and long memories
Shaun Lovejoy
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 469–487, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-469-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-469-2021, 2021
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04 May 2021
The half-order energy balance equation – Part 2: The inhomogeneous HEBE and 2D energy balance models
Shaun Lovejoy
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 489–511, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-489-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-489-2021, 2021
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03 May 2021
Weather extremes over Europe under 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming from HAPPI regional climate ensemble simulations
Kevin Sieck, Christine Nam, Laurens M. Bouwer, Diana Rechid, and Daniela Jacob
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 457–468, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-457-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-457-2021, 2021
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30 Apr 2021
The thermal response of small and shallow lakes to climate change: new insights from 3D hindcast modelling
Francesco Piccioni, Céline Casenave, Bruno Jacques Lemaire, Patrick Le Moigne, Philippe Dubois, and Brigitte Vinçon-Leite
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 439–456, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-439-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-439-2021, 2021
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28 Apr 2021
Wind speed stilling and its recovery due to internal climate variability
Jan Wohland, Doris Folini, and Bryn Pickering
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-29,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-29, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Apr 2021
Labrador Sea subsurface density as a precursor of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study
Pablo Ortega, Jon I. Robson, Matthew Menary, Rowan T. Sutton, Adam Blaker, Agathe Germe, Jöel J.-M. Hirschi, Bablu Sinha, Leon Hermanson, and Stephen Yeager
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 419–438, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-419-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-419-2021, 2021
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22 Apr 2021
Impacts of hot-dry compound extremes on US soybean yields
Raed Hamed, Anne F. Van Loon, Jeroen Aerts, and Dim Coumou
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-24,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-24, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Apr 2021
23rd Century surprises: Long-term dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios
Charles Koven, Vivek K. Arora, Patricia Cadule, Rosie A. Fisher, Chris D. Jones, David M. Lawrence, Jared Lewis, Keith Lindsey, Sabine Mathesius, Malte Meinshausen, Michael Mills, Zebedee Nicholls, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Neil C. Swart, William R. Wieder, and Kirsten Zickfeld
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-23,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-23, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Apr 2021
Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble
Nicola Maher, Sebastian Milinski, and Ralf Ludwig
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 401–418, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-401-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-401-2021, 2021
21 Apr 2021
Biogeochemistry and Physics of the Southern Ocean-Atmosphere System Explored With Data Science
Sebastian Landwehr, Michele Volpi, F. Alexander Haumann, Charlotte M. Robinson, Iris Thurnherr, Valerio Ferracci, Andrea Baccarini, Jenny Thomas, Irina Gorodetskaya, Christian Tatzelt, Silvia Henning, Rob L. Modini, Heather J. Forrer, Yajuan Lin, Nicolas Cassar, Rafel Simó, Christel Hassler, Alireza Moallemi, Sarah E. Fawcett, Neil Harris, Ruth Airs, Marzieh H. Derkani, Alberto Alberello, Alessandro Toffoli, Gang Chen, Pablo Rodríguez Ros, Marina Zamanillo, Pau Cortés-Greus, Lei Xue, Conor G. Bolas, Katherine C. Leonard, Fernando Perez-Cruz, David Walton, and Julia Schmale
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-16,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-16, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Apr 2021
Identification of a 50-year scaling relating current global energy demands to historically cumulative economic production
Timothy J. Garrett, Matheus R. Grasselli, and Stephen Keen
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-21,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-21, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Apr 2021
Robust increase of Indian monsoon rainfall and its variability under future warming in CMIP6 models
Anja Katzenberger, Jacob Schewe, Julia Pongratz, and Anders Levermann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 367–386, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-367-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-367-2021, 2021
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08 Apr 2021
Seasonal discharge response to temperature-driven changes in evaporation and snow processes in the Rhine Basin
Joost Buitink, Lieke A. Melsen, and Adriaan J. Teuling
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 387–400, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-387-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-387-2021, 2021
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08 Apr 2021
Is time a variable like the others in multivariate statistical downscaling and bias correction?
Yoann Robin and Mathieu Vrac
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-12,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-12, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Apr 2021
Parameter uncertainty dominates C cycle forecast errors over most of Brazil for the 21st Century
Thomas Luke Smallman, David Thomas Milodowski, Eráclito Sousa Neto, Gerbrand Koren, Jean Ometto, and Mathew Williams
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-17,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-17, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Apr 2021
Natural Hazards and Extreme Events in the Baltic Sea region
Anna Rutgersson, Erik Kjellström, Jari Haapala, Martin Stendel, Irina Danilovich, Martin Drews, Kirsti Jylhä, Pentti Kujala, Xiaoli Guo Larsén, Kirsten Halsnæs, Ilari Lehtonen, Anna Luomaranta, Erik Nilsson, Taru Olsson, Jani Särkkä, Laura Tuomi, and Norbert Wasmund
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-13,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-13, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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06 Apr 2021
Increased vulnerability of European ecosystems to two compound dry and hot summers in 2018 and 2019
Ana Bastos, René Orth, Markus Reichstein, Philippe Ciais, Nicolas Viovy, Sönke Zaehle, Peter Anthoni, Almut Arneth, Pierre Gentine, Emilie Joetzjer, Sebastian Lienert, Tammas Loughran, Patrick C. McGuire, Sungmin O, Julia Pongratz, and Stephen Sitch
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-19,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-19, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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01 Apr 2021
Coupled regional Earth system modelling in the Baltic Sea region
Matthias Gröger, Christian Dieterich, Jari Haapala, Ha Thi Minh Ho-Hagemann, Stefan Hagemann, Jaromir Jakacki, Wilhelm May, H. E. Markus Meier, Paul A. Miller, Anna Rutgersson, and Lichuan Wu
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-14,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-14, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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31 Mar 2021
A climate network perspective on the intertropical convergence zone
Frederik Wolf, Aiko Voigt, and Reik V. Donner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 353–366, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-353-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-353-2021, 2021
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31 Mar 2021
Downscaling of climate change scenarios for a high resolution, site–specific assessment of drought stress risk for two viticultural regions with heterogeneous landscapes
Marco Hofmann, Claudia Volosciuk, Martin Dubrovský, Douglas Maraun, and Hans R. Schultz
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-9,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-9, 2021
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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30 Mar 2021
Diverging land-use projections cause large variability in their impacts on ecosystems and related indicators for ecosystem services
Anita D. Bayer, Richard Fuchs, Reinhard Mey, Andreas Krause, Peter H. Verburg, Peter Anthoni, and Almut Arneth
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 327–351, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-327-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-327-2021, 2021
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