A global threshold model of enabling conditions for social tipping in pro-environmental behaviours – the role of sea level rise anticipation and climate change concern
E. Keith Smith,Marc Wiedermann,Jonathan F. Donges,Jobst Heitzig,and Ricarda Winkelmann
International Political Economy and Environmental Politics, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Marc Wiedermann
FutureLab on Game Theory and Networks of Interacting Agents, Complexity Science, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Robert Koch Institut, Berlin, Germany
Institute for Theoretical Biology, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany
FutureLab on Earth Resilience in the Anthropocene, Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Department Integrative Earth System Science, Max Planck Institute of Geoanthropology, Jena, Germany
FutureLab on Game Theory and Networks of Interacting Agents, Complexity Science, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
FutureLab on Earth Resilience in the Anthropocene, Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Institute of Physics and Astronomy, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
Department Integrative Earth System Science, Max Planck Institute of Geoanthropology, Jena, Germany
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Total article views: 8,217 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 8,022 with geography defined
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Total article views: 4,857 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 4,704 with geography defined
and 153 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 3,360 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 3,318 with geography defined
and 42 with unknown origin.
Social tipping dynamics have received recent attention as a potential mechanism for effective climate actions – yet how such tipping dynamics could unfold remains largely unquantified. We explore how social tipping processes can develop by enabling necessary conditions (exemplified by climate change concern) and increased perceptions of localized impacts (sea level rise). The likelihood of social tipping varies regionally, mostly along areas with the highest exposure to persistent risks.
Social tipping dynamics have received recent attention as a potential mechanism for effective...
