Articles | Volume 15, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1509-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1509-2024
Research article
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28 Nov 2024
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 28 Nov 2024

Cross-scale causal information flow from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China

Yasir Latif, Kaiyu Fan, Geli Wang, and Milan Paluš

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-400', Anonymous Referee #1, 22 Mar 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Milan Palus, 23 May 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-400', Anonymous Referee #2, 26 Mar 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC2', Milan Palus, 23 May 2024

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (17 Jun 2024) by Rui A. P. Perdigão
AR by Milan Palus on behalf of the Authors (26 Jun 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (15 Jul 2024) by Rui A. P. Perdigão
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (23 Jul 2024)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (18 Aug 2024) by Rui A. P. Perdigão
AR by Milan Palus on behalf of the Authors (28 Aug 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (05 Sep 2024) by Rui A. P. Perdigão
AR by Milan Palus on behalf of the Authors (22 Sep 2024)  Manuscript 
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Chief editor
Precipitation predictability is a complex subject, given the spatiotemporal complexity of the relevant mechanisms and interactions. This paper provides a clear and relevant contribution on the topic of precipitation predictability, grounded in causal inference approaches. Although the focus of the study is regional, the methodology is flexible and can serve as working example for guiding further research on the topic in other geographical domains.
Short summary
The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a gigantic natural orchestra playing with the temperature of Pacific waters and influencing air temperature and rainfall worldwide. Naturally, the “loudness” or amplitude of ENSO has effects on climate; however, consonance of its various tones, or phases of different ENSO oscillatory components, can exert causal effects on rainfall in some areas in China. In different regions, different aspects of ENSO dynamics can predict rainfall amounts.
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