Articles | Volume 14, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-101-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-101-2023
Research article
 | 
01 Feb 2023
Research article |  | 01 Feb 2023

Reconstructions and predictions of the global carbon budget with an emission-driven Earth system model

Hongmei Li, Tatiana Ilyina, Tammas Loughran, Aaron Spring, and Julia Pongratz

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on esd-2022-37', Wei Li, 29 Aug 2022
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Hongmei Li, 29 Sep 2022
  • RC2: 'Comment on esd-2022-37', Vivek Arora, 17 Sep 2022
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Hongmei Li, 29 Sep 2022

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (05 Oct 2022) by Vivek Arora
AR by Hongmei Li on behalf of the Authors (07 Oct 2022)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (04 Nov 2022) by Vivek Arora
AR by Hongmei Li on behalf of the Authors (11 Nov 2022)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (30 Nov 2022) by Vivek Arora
AR by Hongmei Li on behalf of the Authors (09 Dec 2022)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (13 Jan 2023) by Vivek Arora
AR by Hongmei Li on behalf of the Authors (16 Jan 2023)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
For the first time, our decadal prediction system based on Max Planck Institute Earth System Model enables prognostic atmospheric CO2 with an interactive carbon cycle. The evolution of CO2 fluxes and atmospheric CO2 growth is reconstructed well by assimilating data products; retrospective predictions show high confidence in predicting changes in the next year. The Earth system predictions provide valuable inputs for understanding the global carbon cycle and informing climate-relevant policy.
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