Articles | Volume 13, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 81–107, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-81-2022
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 81–107, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-81-2022

Research article 19 Jan 2022

Research article | 19 Jan 2022

The fractional energy balance equation for climate projections through 2100

Roman Procyk et al.

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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (07 Apr 2021) by Valerio Lucarini
AR by Roman Procyk on behalf of the Authors (21 May 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (24 Sep 2021) by Valerio Lucarini
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (08 Oct 2021)
RR by Anonymous Referee #4 (14 Oct 2021)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (24 Oct 2021) by Valerio Lucarini
AR by Roman Procyk on behalf of the Authors (10 Nov 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (11 Nov 2021) by Valerio Lucarini
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Short summary
This paper presents a new class of energy balance model that accounts for the long memory within the Earth's energy storage. The model is calibrated on instrumental temperature records and the historical energy budget of the Earth using an error model predicted by the model itself. Our equilibrium climate sensitivity and future temperature projection estimates are consistent with those estimated by complex climate models.
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