Articles | Volume 12, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1275-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1275-2021
Research article
 | 
26 Nov 2021
Research article |  | 26 Nov 2021

Reduced-complexity model for the impact of anthropogenic CO2 emissions on future glacial cycles

Stefanie Talento and Andrey Ganopolski

Download

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'The model has been tuned to the late Pleistocene variability. Why not to the early Pleistocene?', Mikhail Verbitsky, 16 Mar 2021
    • AC1: 'Reply on CC1', Stefanie Talento, 30 Mar 2021
  • RC1: 'Comment on esd-2021-2', Anonymous Referee #1, 09 Apr 2021
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Stefanie Talento, 08 Jul 2021
  • RC2: 'Comment on esd-2021-2', Anonymous Referee #2, 30 Apr 2021
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC2', Stefanie Talento, 08 Jul 2021
  • CC2: 'Comment on esd-2021-2', Alan Kennedy-Asser, 13 May 2021
    • AC4: 'Reply on CC2', Stefanie Talento, 08 Jul 2021
  • RC3: 'Comment on esd-2021-2', Anonymous Referee #3, 28 May 2021
    • CC3: 'Reply on RC3', Michel Crucifix, 31 May 2021
    • AC5: 'Reply on RC3', Stefanie Talento, 08 Jul 2021
      • AC6: 'Reply on AC5', Stefanie Talento, 12 Jul 2021

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (13 Jul 2021) by Gabriele Messori
AR by Stefanie Talento on behalf of the Authors (04 Oct 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (09 Oct 2021) by Gabriele Messori
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (22 Oct 2021)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (25 Oct 2021)
ED: Publish as is (27 Oct 2021) by Gabriele Messori
Download
Short summary
We propose a model for glacial cycles and produce an assessment of possible trajectories for the next 1 million years. Under natural conditions, the next glacial inception would most likely occur ∼50 kyr after present. We show that fossil-fuel CO2 releases can have an extremely long-term effect. Potentially achievable CO2 anthropogenic emissions during the next centuries will most likely provoke ice-free conditions in the Northern Hemisphere landmasses throughout the next half a million years.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint