Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 12, issue 4
Articles | Volume 12, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1275-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1275-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 12, issue 4
Research article
 | 
26 Nov 2021
Research article |  | 26 Nov 2021

Reduced-complexity model for the impact of anthropogenic CO2 emissions on future glacial cycles

Stefanie Talento and Andrey Ganopolski

Viewed

Total article views: 6,599 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
4,729 1,746 124 6,599 73 77
  • HTML: 4,729
  • PDF: 1,746
  • XML: 124
  • Total: 6,599
  • BibTeX: 73
  • EndNote: 77
Views and downloads (calculated since 01 Mar 2021)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 01 Mar 2021)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 6,599 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 6,265 with geography defined and 334 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Latest update: 23 Dec 2024
Download
Short summary
We propose a model for glacial cycles and produce an assessment of possible trajectories for the next 1 million years. Under natural conditions, the next glacial inception would most likely occur ∼50 kyr after present. We show that fossil-fuel CO2 releases can have an extremely long-term effect. Potentially achievable CO2 anthropogenic emissions during the next centuries will most likely provoke ice-free conditions in the Northern Hemisphere landmasses throughout the next half a million years.
Read more
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint