Articles | Volume 11, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-563-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-563-2020
Research article
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25 Jun 2020
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 25 Jun 2020

The role of prior assumptions in carbon budget calculations

Benjamin Sanderson

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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (17 Apr 2020) by Ben Kravitz
AR by Ben Sanderson on behalf of the Authors (22 Apr 2020)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (27 Apr 2020) by Ben Kravitz
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (07 May 2020)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (13 May 2020) by Ben Kravitz
AR by Ben Sanderson on behalf of the Authors (20 May 2020)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
Levels of future temperature change are often used interchangeably with carbon budget allowances in climate policy, a relatively robust relationship on the timescale of this century. However, recent advances in understanding underline that continued warming after net-zero emissions have been achieved cannot be ruled out by observations of warming to date. We consider here how such behavior could be constrained and how policy can be framed in the context of these uncertainties.
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