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Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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ESD | Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 35–76, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-35-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 35–76, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-35-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 14 Feb 2020

Research article | 14 Feb 2020

Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2)

Anders Levermann et al.

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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (22 Oct 2019) by Yun Liu
AR by Anders Levermann on behalf of the Authors (22 Oct 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (24 Oct 2019) by Yun Liu
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (09 Nov 2019)
RR by Daniel Gilford (25 Nov 2019)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (25 Nov 2019) by Yun Liu
AR by Anders Levermann on behalf of the Authors (26 Nov 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (04 Dec 2019) by Yun Liu

Post-review adjustments

AA: Author's adjustment | EA: Editor approval
AA by Anders Levermann on behalf of the Authors (09 Jan 2020)   Author's adjustment   Manuscript
EA: Adjustments approved (09 Jan 2020) by Yun Liu
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Short summary
We provide an estimate of the future sea level contribution of Antarctica from basal ice shelf melting up to the year 2100. The full uncertainty range in the warming-related forcing of basal melt is estimated and applied to 16 state-of-the-art ice sheet models using a linear response theory approach. The sea level contribution we obtain is very likely below 61 cm under unmitigated climate change until 2100 (RCP8.5) and very likely below 40 cm if the Paris Climate Agreement is kept.
We provide an estimate of the future sea level contribution of Antarctica from basal ice shelf...
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