Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
Research article
14 Feb 2020
Research article |  | 14 Feb 2020

Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2)

Anders Levermann, Ricarda Winkelmann, Torsten Albrecht, Heiko Goelzer, Nicholas R. Golledge, Ralf Greve, Philippe Huybrechts, Jim Jordan, Gunter Leguy, Daniel Martin, Mathieu Morlighem, Frank Pattyn, David Pollard, Aurelien Quiquet, Christian Rodehacke, Helene Seroussi, Johannes Sutter, Tong Zhang, Jonas Van Breedam, Reinhard Calov, Robert DeConto, Christophe Dumas, Julius Garbe, G. Hilmar Gudmundsson, Matthew J. Hoffman, Angelika Humbert, Thomas Kleiner, William H. Lipscomb, Malte Meinshausen, Esmond Ng, Sophie M. J. Nowicki, Mauro Perego, Stephen F. Price, Fuyuki Saito, Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel, Sainan Sun, and Roderik S. W. van de Wal


Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (22 Oct 2019) by Yun Liu
AR by Anders Levermann on behalf of the Authors (22 Oct 2019)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (24 Oct 2019) by Yun Liu
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (09 Nov 2019)
RR by Daniel Gilford (25 Nov 2019)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (25 Nov 2019) by Yun Liu
AR by Anders Levermann on behalf of the Authors (26 Nov 2019)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (04 Dec 2019) by Yun Liu
AR by Anders Levermann on behalf of the Authors (05 Dec 2019)  Manuscript 

Post-review adjustments

AA: Author's adjustment | EA: Editor approval
AA by Anders Levermann on behalf of the Authors (09 Jan 2020)   Author's adjustment   Manuscript
EA: Adjustments approved (09 Jan 2020) by Yun Liu
Short summary
We provide an estimate of the future sea level contribution of Antarctica from basal ice shelf melting up to the year 2100. The full uncertainty range in the warming-related forcing of basal melt is estimated and applied to 16 state-of-the-art ice sheet models using a linear response theory approach. The sea level contribution we obtain is very likely below 61 cm under unmitigated climate change until 2100 (RCP8.5) and very likely below 40 cm if the Paris Climate Agreement is kept.
Final-revised paper