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Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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ESD | Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 35–76, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-35-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 35–76, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-35-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 14 Feb 2020

Research article | 14 Feb 2020

Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2)

Anders Levermann et al.

Data sets

LARMIP A. Levermann http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~anders/larmip

Model code and software

LARMIP 2019 A. Levermann https://github.com/ALevermann/Larmip2019

Publications Copernicus
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Short summary
We provide an estimate of the future sea level contribution of Antarctica from basal ice shelf melting up to the year 2100. The full uncertainty range in the warming-related forcing of basal melt is estimated and applied to 16 state-of-the-art ice sheet models using a linear response theory approach. The sea level contribution we obtain is very likely below 61 cm under unmitigated climate change until 2100 (RCP8.5) and very likely below 40 cm if the Paris Climate Agreement is kept.
We provide an estimate of the future sea level contribution of Antarctica from basal ice shelf...
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