Future supply and demand of net primary production in the Sahel

Sallaba, Florian; Olin, Stefan; Engström, Kerstin; Abdi, Abdulhakim M.; Boke-Olén, Niklas; Lehsten, Veiko; Ardö, Jonas; Seaquist, Jonathan W.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1191-2017

Articles | Volume 8, issue 4

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1191-2017

© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

Climate, land use, and conflict in Africa

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1191-2017

© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 8, issue 4

Research article

|

19 Dec 2017

Research article |

| 19 Dec 2017

Future supply and demand of net primary production in the Sahel

Florian Sallaba, Stefan Olin, Kerstin Engström, Abdulhakim M. Abdi, Niklas Boke-Olén, Veiko Lehsten, Jonas Ardö, and Jonathan W. Seaquist

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Final revised paper (published on 19 Dec 2017)
Preprint (discussion started on 22 Nov 2016)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review of Sallaba et al.', Thomas Pugh, 22 Dec 2016
- AC2: 'Response to RC1', Jonathan Seaquist, 29 Jun 2017
RC2: 'Referee report', Anonymous Referee #2, 13 Jan 2017
- AC1: 'Response to RC2', Jonathan Seaquist, 29 Jun 2017
RC3: 'Review: Future supply and demand of net primary production in the Sahel', Anonymous Referee #3, 18 Apr 2017
- AC3: 'Response to RC3', Jonathan Seaquist, 29 Jun 2017

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Reconsider after major revisions (29 Jun 2017) by Tim Brücher

AR by Jonathan Seaquist on behalf of the Authors (30 Aug 2017)

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (04 Sep 2017) by Tim Brücher

RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (20 Sep 2017)

ED: Publish as is (04 Oct 2017) by Tim Brücher

AR by Jonathan Seaquist on behalf of the Authors (11 Oct 2017) Author's response Manuscript

Short summary

The UN sustainable development goals for eradicating hunger are at high risk for failure in the Sahel. We show that the demand for food and feed biomass will begin to outstrip its supply in the 2040s if current trends continue. Though supply continues to increase it is outpaced by a greater increase in demand due to a combination of population growth and a shift to diets rich in animal proteins. This underscores the importance of policy interventions that would act to mitigate such developments.