Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 8, issue 4
Articles | Volume 8, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1191-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1191-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 8, issue 4
Research article
 | 
19 Dec 2017
Research article |  | 19 Dec 2017

Future supply and demand of net primary production in the Sahel

Florian Sallaba, Stefan Olin, Kerstin Engström, Abdulhakim M. Abdi, Niklas Boke-Olén, Veiko Lehsten, Jonas Ardö, and Jonathan W. Seaquist

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Short summary
The UN sustainable development goals for eradicating hunger are at high risk for failure in the Sahel. We show that the demand for food and feed biomass will begin to outstrip its supply in the 2040s if current trends continue. Though supply continues to increase it is outpaced by a greater increase in demand due to a combination of population growth and a shift to diets rich in animal proteins. This underscores the importance of policy interventions that would act to mitigate such developments.
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Climate, land use, and conflict in Africa
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